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May 30, 2024, 11:44:41 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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 1 
 on: Today at 11:43:52 AM 
Started by TDAS04 - Last post by JMT

 2 
 on: Today at 11:43:14 AM 
Started by Harry Hayfield - Last post by Torrain

And when he says *former* Tory MP, Pikes means when Parliament was dissolved this morning.

 3 
 on: Today at 11:43:01 AM 
Started by mileslunn - Last post by Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
I believe you mean Tunisia would be the first Arabic speaking country, not Muslim speaking country

 4 
 on: Today at 11:42:54 AM 
Started by Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver - Last post by Utah Neolib
Current US House:
218 R
213 D

2024 US House Projection:
222 R
213 D

AL-2: Solid D [GAIN]
AK-AL: Lean D
AZ-1: Tilt D [FLIP]
AZ-6: Tilt R
CA-3: Lean R
CA-9: Lean D
CA-13: Tilt R
CA-21: Likely D
CA-22: Tilt R
CA-27: Tilt R
CA-40: Lean R
CA-41: Lean R
CA-45: Lean R
CA-47: Tilt D
CA-49: Lean D
CO-3: Lean R
CO-5: Likely R
CO-8: Lean D
CT-5: Lean D
FL-7: Safe R
FL-9: Safe D
FL-13: Likely R
FL-15: Safe R
FL-23: Lean D
FL-27: Likely R
GA-2: Likely
IL-17: Lean D
IN-1: Tilt D
IA-1: Likely R
IA-4: Likely R
IA-3: Lean R
KS-3: Tilt D
LA-6: Solid D [GAIN]
MA-2: Tilt D
MD-6: Likely D
MI-3: Lean D
MI-4: Likely R
MI-7: Tilt R [FLIP]
MI-8: Tilt D
MI-3: Tilt R
MN-2: Tilt D
MO-2: Likely R
MT-1: Lean R
NE-2: Tilt R
NV-1: Tilt D
NV-3: Tilt R [FLIP]
NV-4: Tilt D
NH-1: Lean D
NH-2: Lean D
NJ-3: Likely D
NJ-5: Likely D
NJ-7: Tilt R
NM-1: Likely D
NM-2: Lean D
NY-1: Likely R
NY-2: Solid R
NY-3: Lean D
NY-4: Tilt D [FLIP]
NY-17: Lean D [FLIP]
NY-18: Lean D
NY-19: Tilt D [FLIP]
NY-22: Tilt D [FLIP]
NC-1: Tilt R [FLIP]
NC-6: Solid R [GAIN]
NC-11: Solid R
NC-13: Solid R [FLIP]
NC-14: Solid R [FLIP]
OH-1: Likely D
OH-9: Likely D
OH-13: Tilt D
OR-4: Lean D
OR-5: Tilt D [FLIP]
OR-6: Lean D
PA-1: Lean R
PA-7: Tilt R [FLIP]
PA-8: Tilt R [FLIP]
PA-10: Lean R
PA-17: Lean D
SC-1: Solid R
TN-5: Solid R
TX-15: Likely R
TX-28: Tilt D
TX-34: Lean D
VA-1: Solid R
VA-2: Tilt R
VA-7: Tilt D
VA-10: Likely D
WA-3: Tilt D
WA-8: Likely D
WI-1: Lean R
WI-3: Lean R


I don’t see Susie Lee or Susan Wild losing.
Nevada dems will lose at least one seat imo, since the state as a whole will shift to the right. Susie Lee was my pick as the likeliest casualty from this.

Susan Wild lucked out on a mediocre retread opponent as well as running in a year where the GOP got utterly curb-stomped. Turnout and republican vote share will be better in 2024 than 2022 especially in PA, and that alone will be enough to flip her seat.
I don’t even think the Republican house campaign organization placed any money in Nevada this year so far. If Trump doesn’t win Nevada there probably won’t be a succeeding downballot effect and Lee and the others will probably be fine.

 5 
 on: Today at 11:42:34 AM 
Started by iceman - Last post by iceman
are you even reading the question right? you sound like a broken record literally and figuratively.

 6 
 on: Today at 11:41:42 AM 
Started by Harry Hayfield - Last post by Torrain
He has a new rival in the soon to be MP for Makerfield who in his role as a think tank director said we should deport human traffickers to Scotland 😋

You have no idea how many times I’m going to hear that repeated over the next five years 😒

 7 
 on: Today at 11:40:16 AM 
Started by America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS - Last post by Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
They all except Tester have double digit leads

 8 
 on: Today at 11:38:24 AM 
Started by WV222 - Last post by GeorgiaModerate
Trump got a TV brought into his waiting room, lol. You can only Truth so much I guess.

Probably watching Fox or Newsmax commentators talk about how Trump is being treated so unfairly.

 9 
 on: Today at 11:38:02 AM 
Started by iceman - Last post by Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
I said TX it depends on Allred and how he comes back from his new deficit, but ALLRED winning not Biden winning TX will be key in expanding our Senate majority and of course Osborn, Tester and Brown winning

Trump hasn't been convicted yet if he does TX not FL will be key

If Trump wins TX only by 6 and we won the PVI by 5 like last time Allred not Powell can win, but he faces a 10 pt deficit, but Cruz blocked the border Wall

Our best case scenario was always either Ds win WV or TX for 52/48 and Osborn and Tester and Brown winning

 10 
 on: Today at 11:36:49 AM 
Started by Harry Hayfield - Last post by JimJamUK
It’s fair to say at least a couple of them are hyper factional/a bit thick and won’t have much to contribute in government.
I can't possibly imagine who you might be thinking of here, no sirree Smiley

Though if They Who Must Not Be Named *does* have to be given a seat, there are worse options.
He has a new rival in the soon to be MP for Makerfield who in his role as a think tank director said we should deport human traffickers to Scotland 😋

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