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overall sensible shifts except for Alaska, I’d say it’s lean R not safe R and I think this is the one state to have a profound shift to Biden among the Trump 2020 states.

Also it doesnt make sense to put Maine-AL as safe D if the 2nd district is safe R. Maine should be Lean D at least. And time to move Florida to safe R.

Only things I disagree with are Alaska and ME-2 being considered "safe." Just not enough data to say much at all about either.

I also wouldn’t move Georgia just yet, or not if one of the rust belt trio states also aren’t being moved to lean.

He says being a mom is more important than having a career or education, but being a father isn't? These guys never seem to value fatherhood much.

Isn't that usually one of Trump's better pollsters? If so, it's not a good poll for him.

It seems like after the drop following Biden's SOTU gain, he's back on the offensive for now.

I have noticed this over the last couple of weeks

Only things I disagree with are Alaska and ME-2 being considered "safe." Just not enough data to say much at all about either.

hahahahaahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaahahahahahahahaahahahahahaahahahahahahahahahaahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha

https://split-ticket.org/2024/05/18/temperature-check-2024-presidential-election/

Eight rating changes, all to the right:

Michigan and Nevada from Lean D to Tossup.

Georgia and North Carolina from Tossup to Lean R.

Alaska, Ohio, ME-2, and NE-1 from Likely R to Safe R.

Overall: Trump 251, Biden 226, Tossup 61 (AZ, MI, NV, PA, WI).

As an aside, why do all of these f**kboys look the same nowadays?

Ugly unkempt beard
Vacant lead paint stare
Proud Boys haircut



This cuck thinks he's an alpha male but he's probably sh**tting his pants when he has to drive his oversized truck briefly through an urban area to get to the Chiefs' practice facility.

Isn't that usually one of Trump's better pollsters? If so, it's not a good poll for him.

It seems like after the drop following Biden's SOTU gain, he's back on the offensive for now.

Edison Research has Twitter losing nearly a third of its American users between Jan 2023 and Jan 2024 (mostly in the late summer when the Twitter to X name change happened...hypothesis is a number of the more casual users literally didn't recognize the X app on their phone).

The pattern seems to be that the more casual users are drifting away while more hardcore posters continue to post steadily but with fewer and fewer people hearing what they're saying. Generally less impactful vs its heyday.

Slowly but surely a number of people who are big account holders with 500k followers will realize that only 300k of those are people who ever actually use Twitter anymore and their microphone is way weaker than they think it is.