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May 31, 2024, 10:07:27 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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 1 
 on: Today at 10:07:00 AM 
Started by Sir Mohamed - Last post by LBJer
1 year in jail.

 2 
 on: Today at 10:06:49 AM 
Started by AncestralDemocrat. - Last post by wbrocks67
I have no doubt the MAGAs donated, like they did with the indictments and mug shots. I do call BS on it being $34M, the exact same # as the # of counts.

 3 
 on: Today at 10:06:25 AM 
Started by °Leprechaun - Last post by GP270watch
 The GOP reaction has been so sad and pathetic.

 4 
 on: Today at 10:06:15 AM 
Started by WV222 - Last post by Landslide Lyndon
Hey, look at the bright side of things blue avatars.
At least nobody can say now that Trump isn't a man of convictions.

 5 
 on: Today at 10:06:11 AM 
Started by Tender Branson - Last post by wbrocks67
This is not a favorability poll, nor an election poll- this should not be in this sub forum

 6 
 on: Today at 10:04:05 AM 
Started by Harry Hayfield - Last post by afleitch
Worth noting that the Tories at the end of Week 1 find themselves 4 points behind where they were end of Week 1 in 1997.

Labour were of course generally overstated in part because the 'I'm voting Labour' portion of those in Tory/Lib Dem seats ended up voting Lib Dem which wasn't picked up in the polls until the last few days of the campaign.

 7 
 on: Today at 10:03:56 AM 
Started by Matty - Last post by wbrocks67
looking at the crosstabs, Biden winning NYC by only 24 points is unfathomable.

Which just shows that polling in New York is cooked right now

Probably, but New York is the most unique locality in the United States. There’s really nothing like the patchwork of ethnic enclaves in Brooklyn and Queens elsewhere. Swings in those places could have no bearing on the rest of the country. Right now it’s mostly mirroring Biden’s decline with non-Whites, just accentuated. Siena and Emerson are both relatively high quality but Siena especially has been finding acute weakness with non-Whites in its partnership with NYT.

The thing is, the NY polls are showing a weakness with White voters too that basically no other poll is showing. That's why I'm particularly suspect. So Biden is holding up with white voters virtually everywhere in the country - but not New York? Seems odd

 8 
 on: Today at 10:02:51 AM 
Started by wbrocks67 - Last post by MillennialModerate
A jury of my peers, selected partially by my own lawyers, reviewing the evidence of the things I said I did, found me guilty of financial crimes, something I have also said I did

I'M THE VICTIM!

The verdict can be correct and legitimate and the case be politically motivated. I happen to agree that this one is and it takes away from the seriousness and significance that the other 3 need to be viewed as.

Meanwhile I continue to be saddened and annoyed at what this man is doing to his families reputation and the stain it has the potential to put on the legacy of his father and uncle.

It sounds wild but RFK JR is a bold example of the butterfly effect. I’m convinced if any of the famous members of the family were still alive - he wouldn’t be doing this.

 9 
 on: Today at 10:00:31 AM 
Started by Mike88 - Last post by Hash
Dawie Scholtz's KZN prediction:

MK 44.2%
ANC 18%
IFP 17.8%
DA 13.8%
EFF 2.2%

MK landslide results in gargantuan ANC collapse - down about 37 points compared to 2019 - as well as the annihilation of EFF, which had gotten nearly 10% in 2019, and kneecapped IFP, which is up only 2-3 points from 2019 and down 7 points from 2021. Also a disappointment for the DA which is stagnant.

 10 
 on: Today at 09:59:50 AM 
Started by JMT - Last post by Rand
“This changes everything”

“DEVASTATING for Biden.”

“How will Democrats recover from THIS?”

“Bad news for Biden.”

“Trump’s election odds just got better.”

“Manchin party switch eclipses Trump verdict.”

“What outgoing West Virginia senator’s change in party affiliation says about Biden’s poll numbers in Arizona.”

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