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It was the Jewish fog.

I have a hard time seeing how anyone can seriously argue this point - Texas turnout patterns in 2020 were clearly favorable to Republicans as has been the case for quite a while. The only high turnout Democrat area of Texas is Austin and if you equalize turnout across precincts, you actually get a narrow Biden win. Biden also won precincts worth more people than Trump in TX by a couple million.

I’m saying that the TX turnout patterns were more favourable to the Dems in 2020 than it had historically been in the past, and crucially more favourable than I expect them to be in 2024. By the way, which method are you using to calculate the size of the voter pool in each precinct specifically?

I don't see anything different that Trump does to restore the economy. The unemployment rate is going up, I have neighbors and roommates that don't want to work, but I have an income

What a pity this country has become when the opposition party resorting to impeachment has become a norm.

Kind of getting ahead of yourself there.

Unless Ds win the H in 24/26 which they likely will there won't be impeachment

Only Minnesota is a plausible and conceivable flip. New Jersey and Virginia is just too suburban and too affluent for Trump to win.

Virginia and Colorado are the 2 ex-battleground states that won’t vote GOP again in the foreseeable future in today’s political alignments.

I think Trump gains in the suburbs, but yeah there are no major inner cities in either NJ or VA for Trump to make major gains in.

I am willing to bet real money with you Biden will win VA by at least 5% margin.

If he wins VA by barely 5% that won’t be a good sign for him, considering Biden had a double-digit margin there in 2020 and it’s still a leftward-trending state.

Only Minnesota is a plausible and conceivable flip. New Jersey and Virginia is just too suburban and too affluent for Trump to win.

Virginia and Colorado are the 2 ex-battleground states that won’t vote GOP again in the foreseeable future in today’s political alignments.

And also, I don’t see New Jersey as actually in play at all this cycle, I don’t see any polling to suggest that.

RIP HP

Where's Iranian version of Snake Plissken when you need him?

"There was an accident about an hour ago.  A small jet went down inside New York City. The President was on board."              

"President of what?"

"That's not funny, Plissken. You go in, find the President and bring him out in 24 hours and you're a free man."

"24 hours, huh?"

"I'm making you an offer."

"Bullsh**t."

"Straight just like I said."

"I'll think about it."

"No time. Give me an answer."

"Get a new president."

"We're still at war, Plissken. We need him alive."

"I don't give a f**k about your war... or your president."

Lee Van Cleef!  God he was a great actor....