Some on this board here have discussed the idea of there being "2019 nostalgia", which might enable a Trump win.
I think there is actually a degree of this out there in the real world, too. I have nostalgia for 2019 but I recgonize that the economy of the Trump era was built by Obama, Trump just rode the wave of it, but your average voter doesn't realize that.
Back in 2016 however, despite a healthy economy, and despite Hillary being the First Lady during the bulk of the 90s, there was no similar nostalgia for the 90s at that time (ironically, there is massive 90s nostalgia now) that could've helped her pull ahead to victory.
My question is, why?
Having 2019 nostalgia now would be like having 2011 nostalgia in 2016 and that certainly wasn't there.
I did the math. Assuming your investments made 5% per year, Millennials that were screwed by 2000 and 2008 finally caught up in 2018 under Trump. 8 years of Obama's Great Recession put us wayyyy behind.
Of course, the pandemic haircut hurt us bigly, but actually less so than the 0.5%, 1% yearly increases under Obama. We shall see how it shakes out over the next while.