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GA?

Trump doing really well in Georgia which is GA, might be the reddest swing state.

People say the rust belt will be a great place to live later in the century if climate change and resource constraints really hit home, lots of water, arable land, no major natural disaster phenomena, so I think. Detroit will rise again, cities have long lives

I hope this is the case, but OTOH, what's stopping people from just moving to Columbus or Green Bay instead? The cities in the Midwest that are growing currently aren't the ex-industrial places; they're metro areas that are more like sunbelt cities except for location.

FWIW I do think redrawing the states is a good idea; there are a few too many and there are a lot with nonsensical borders. But I don't think they should be redrawn willy-nilly or to have equal population.

50 states would remain, but each of them would have as close to equal as a population as possible neglecting the need to create propositional representation in Congress.

IMO the obvious solution to this is to actually have proportional representation, not to redraw basic government entities for no reason constantly. Imagine how annoying this would be!

I think they will win at least one of them probably MI-07 since that's the part of the state where downballot Rs probably outperform Trump whereas MI-08 is more ancestrally Dem.

GA?

I think I'm finished with maps for both Trump and Biden 2020 based on the normal apportionment above but I never bothered posting them because I didn't think the community was interested.

Feel free to use this thread to post Biden districts based on normal apportionment. If you want.

Reapportionment method: 1 seat given to each state by default. 385 assigned by population using a single divisor, with fractions being round down.
All districts within states will seek to have roughly equal numbers of Biden voters relative to other districts in the same state.

You should use the actual method used by the US House to be honest, I could do the calculations for you if you're interested.

Feel free to run the calculations, I'm curious to see what would change from the numbers I've got. I'm effectively doing an apportionment method favorable to bigger states, as opposed to one favoring smaller ones, or Huntington-Hill, which is in the middle.

Alabama   5
Alaska   1
Arizona   9
Arkansas   2
California   59
Colorado   10
Connecticut   6
Delaware   2
(DC would have 2 seats if we count it)
Florida   28
Georgia   13
Hawaii   2
Idaho   2
Illinois   18
Indiana   7
Iowa   4
Kansas   3
Kentucky   4
Louisiana   5
Maine   2
Maryland   11
Massachusetts   13
Michigan   15
Minnesota   9
Mississippi   3
Missouri   7
Montana   1
Nebraska   2
Nevada   4
New Hampshire   2
New Jersey   14
New Mexico   3
New York   28
North Carolina   14
North Dakota   1
Ohio   14
Oklahoma   3
Oregon   7
Pennsylvania   18
Rhode Island   2
South Carolina   6
South Dakota   1
Tennessee   6
Texas   28
Utah   3
Vermont   1
Virginia   13
Washington   13
West Virginia   1
Wisconsin   9
Wyoming   1

I think I'm finished with maps for both Trump and Biden 2020 based on the normal apportionment above but I never bothered posting them because I didn't think the community was interested.

He might get bigger swings with some states' blacks than others. The thing to look for is where the AAs in a state are more non-college and low income, I'm not sure yet if there's an urban/rural difference. The Democratic vote is so high with them everywhere but perhaps in some states there is more vote to lose than in others.

[Between Elon Musk buying Twitter and universities crushing the protests, conservatives (and libertarians!!!) are really now having the last laugh in the "free speech" debate]

VOX, if anyone on the left still cares about them, I know how you are about canceling entities that don't toe the exact line you want, suddenly remembers that free speech is important

ROFLMAO

Between Elon Musk buying Twitter and universities crushing the protests, conservatives (and libertarians!!!) are really now having the last laugh in the "free speech" debate. You really don't hear "it's a private company, they can do whatever they want" or "freedom of speech doesn't mean freedom from consequences" from leftists these days.

I think plenty of people have said this about Twitter/X, specifically people who have voted with their feet and stopped using it. Twitter is still huge obviously but it has shrunk pretty dramatically and is an openly bleeding money wound with a lot of advertisers wanting nothing to do with it.

Twitter usage hasn't dropped dramatically, where are you getting that from? I see still it used just as much as before, just look at this thread (or really any thread in this forum).

VOX, if anyone on the left still cares about them, I know how you are about canceling entities that don't toe the exact line you want, suddenly remembers that free speech is important

ROFLMAO

Between Elon Musk buying Twitter and universities crushing the protests, conservatives (and libertarians!!!) are really now having the last laugh in the "free speech" debate. You really don't hear "it's a private company, they can do whatever they want" or "freedom of speech doesn't mean freedom from consequences" from leftists these days.

Most leftist/liberals would say these two events validate their beliefs that the right was engaging in bad faith from the start of these “free speech” and that it was always about defending reactionary/bigoted statements that the right agreed with or at the minimum defended out of political tribalism. I mean it’s pretty hard to argue against that when the guy who acted as the biggest right wing free speech warrior bought twitter and showed his definition of free speech is Nazis freely running around and saying the most openly vile things with no crackdown but people who make fun of Elon personally get kicked off

I honestly feel that this is moreso a case of "when used to privilege, equality feels like oppression". The left isn't censored on twitter, like at all. In fact, when it comes to Israel/Palestine, twitter is easily the mainstream media where you'll find the most pro-Palestinian support after TikTok (and ahead of of the likes of Facebook, Instagram or even reddit). It's just that, since the right isn't censored either, they also have a pretty huge presence on it and the left just doesn't feel like thay should happen.

A good example is to look at any anti-trans tweet made by JK Rowling. You will end up with a similar number of people agreeing and disagreeing with her which is probably just about where the UK population is on the issue. Previously though, anyone agreeing with her would be shadow banned.

About Elon Musk banning people making fun of him, maybe that's true but it's such a drop in the ocean though, like does it even affect a double digit number of people?