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May 19, 2024, 01:28:36 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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 1 
 on: Today at 01:28:27 PM 
Started by heatcharger - Last post by The Economy is Getting Worse
Yes, MN is a battleground. I still think Biden is favoured but it's definitely in play. I expect a Biden +1/+2 win. In case Trump wins by as much the polls currently predict than I believe MN might flip.
I think MN does not vote far off WI and MI. Trump is gaining mostly in urban areas.

 2 
 on: Today at 01:28:03 PM 
Started by AncestralDemocrat. - Last post by Dr Oz Lost Party!
Definitely a Lean D race, at this point. Gallego probably won't win by that much, and he certainly isn't going to outperform Biden by 18 points, but it's starting to become a pattern with Kari Lake badly underperforming Trump in these polls.

 3 
 on: Today at 01:27:02 PM 
Started by Greedo punched first - Last post by 7,052,770
I can't imagine a non-Christian like Gabbard having much appeal to the Trump-skeptics that he needs to win over. All of the weirdo bros who simp for Gabbard are already 100% on the Trump train.

 4 
 on: Today at 01:27:00 PM 
Started by ηєω ƒяσηтιєя - Last post by All Along The Watchtower
PROVOCATIVE: The Subcontinent

 5 
 on: Today at 01:25:47 PM 
Started by heatcharger - Last post by heatcharger
Look like trump definitely playing on his quite natural Memeness and trying to make Joe biden look like a complete idiot which honestly is kind of working on me
And i remember Republicans said they were now focusing on Minnesota and Virginia since they felt that the swing states were either pretty safe for the Rs or naturally leaning towards them So i got a feeling that trump is going to try to flip those 2 states.

A lot of people are congratulating me on calling Virginia as a battleground. Tremendous golf courses. Tremendous wine. We love our contractors and consultants.

I am willing to bet real money with you Biden will win VA by at least 5% margin.



Biden opened a Hampton Roads office, a clear sign of weakness with the Blacks. If Virginia is in play, what does that say about his standing in NC and GA?

 6 
 on: Today at 01:25:34 PM 
Started by AncestralDemocrat. - Last post by Oryxslayer
What the hell happened? All I can guess is Morrisey pissed off Trump somehow behind closed doors but not enough to get him to endorse somebody else in this race. The fact that Justice's endorsement did nothing while he won his own primary handily is quite a spectacle.

Did the other candidate siphon off would-be Capito voters?

It's not as absurd as the past, but the panhandle punches above it's weight in GOP primaries cause of how Republican voters elsewhere in the state may still have Dem registrations. The republicans of those eastern counties are different from the rest of the state - the counties are in the DC media market and look east economically and culturally. Their orientation towards the rest of the mid-Atlantic/beltway is why a few Maryland pols have been able to find an audience across the border.

Almost all of Morrisey's winning margin came from the panhandle. Almost every other part of the state was a mixed bag with multiple candidates receiving viable shares of the vote. There was no clear favorite in the rest of the state.

 7 
 on: Today at 01:25:27 PM 
Started by Greedo punched first - Last post by Yelnoc
Updated odds:

CANDIDATE   BET365   SPORTSINTERACTION
Tim Scott   +400   +450
Doug Burgum   +550   +700
J.D. Vance   +600   +600
Tulsi Gabbard   +750   +600
Marco Rubio   +1000   +1000
Elise Stefanik   +1100   +1000
Ben Carson   +1200   +1200

Looks like essentially a four-way race between Scott, Burgum, Vance, and Gabbard.

 8 
 on: Today at 01:23:54 PM 
Started by Logical - Last post by LAKISYLVANIA
I know there will be champagne corks going off in Washington and Tel Aviv, but this is very sad. He was the legitimate head of state on a diplomatic mission. And the world has only Iran's restraint to thank for the fact that WWIII didn't break out after the wanton attack on its embassy last month.

His legacy is akin to pinochet, screw him.

Ironic than that he would be killed due to a helicopter incident.

 9 
 on: Today at 01:22:51 PM 
Started by Logical - Last post by Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas
I know there will be champagne corks going off in Washington and Tel Aviv, but this is very sad. He was the legitimate head of state on a diplomatic mission. And the world has only Iran's restraint to thank for the fact that WWIII didn't break out after the wanton attack on its embassy last month.

Iran was an accessory to the 10/7 genocide by arming Hamas and attempted a mass killing of Israeli civilians and nearly blew up Al Aqsa Mosque, spurring a worldwide civil war. Solidarity with the helicopter.

 10 
 on: Today at 01:22:38 PM 
Started by GeorgiaModerate - Last post by Dr Oz Lost Party!
Good, Biden deserves nothing.
Lol were you here in 22 when the Trafalgar polls were wrong on a red wave, yes you were but you are ignoring it, it's in the database the Trafalgar polls that were wrong

There are always surprise states that's why I hope Biden picks up NC/TX AZ and GA were supposed to be Lean R in 20 but Biden won then
There a major difference between midterms and presidential election though
Plus everyone could see from a bit of a mile away by July/august that 2022 wasn't going to be a Redwave with roe v wade being overturned and trump endorsing republicans in states were they hated him
Look the polls for months have been saying trump leading and the gap between biden and trump seem to be growing bigger and bigger for donnie so i'm just going to say that this election isn't looking good for joe.

Really? I was pretty active on the forum around that time, and that was certainly not the vibe amongst the users here. The media and pundit class were still very much beating the red wave war drums at that time.

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