Recent Posts

Show posts from buddies only

Cunningham had a scandal in 20 we don't know how NC vote in 24 without a Cunningham scandal

I know I take those goofy polls online and they go bye zip code You Gov and I know NV isn't 48/40 as the same as TX

I have no doubt that TX is 48/40 Trump but NV isn't 48/40 Trump Emerson has it 51/49% NV


TX is solely an upset but I know how there can be surprised on Eday AZ and GA were supposed to Lean R in 20, WI S went to Johnson but the liberal candidate for Judge won in 23 after Johnson won by 12

It's a 270/319 map but I know NC and TX are upsets

North Carolina and Virginia would also be heavily affected.  Trump could potentially be the first Republican since George W. Bush to win all of the former Confederacy, and nearly all of the slave states in existence in 1860 -if this was real.

Which makes me think about Mississippi as well, not because it is competitive at the national level, but because the racial polarization in the state is pretty much the only reason Democrats remain remotely competitive at the state level, while it presents a hard ceiling for the Mississippi Democratic Party-and a hard floor for Democratic presidential candidates.  

Even if Trump makes massive gains with Black voters, he will still lose VA. White voters in suburbs are entrenched Democrats atp.

I said Virginia would be heavily affected, not that he would win it.  Though if he made the gains with black voters that all the hype is suggesting, he could make Virginia a swing state again, for a time.  

It's kind of interesting how fast Georgia went from the swing state Democrats felt most optimistic about to arguably the state they're most pessimistic about.

After 2020 and 2021, Democrats sort of had a honeymoon phase in Georgia where it was assumed Atlanta's growth and increasing black population would pull the state left for the long run. Then in 2022 Democrats had a pretty underwhelming midterm in GA outside the Senate race failing to come close at the state level. Now in 2024, polling and pundits both suggests Trump winning Georgia with relative ease.

Regardless of if Trump ends up winning GA or not, this shows how fast a narrative about a state can turn around.

Georgia could possibly follow the direction of North Carolina where it lent it’s electoral votes to democrats in 2008 then stubbornly vote GOP cycles after albeit by small margins.

NC has always voted 6-7% to the right of the nation since 2008. GA went from voting 13% to the right to only 4%. Imo it is more of a Virginia or Colorado than a NC, even if Trump gets a dead cat bounce there.

THE BROOKLYN TIMES JULY 29, 2032

Detailed Polls

NY-01

	D	R	S
West Queens	42	16	42
North Brooklyn	42	22	36
Northwest Brooklyn	48	10	42

NY-02

	D	R	S
Central Brooklyn	62	34	4
Southwest Brooklyn	46	52	2
Southeast Brooklyn	36	62	2

NY-03

	D	R	S
West Brooklyn	60	36	4
North Staten Island	58	40	2
South Staten Island	34	64	2

GOP no votes - Davidson, MTG, Massie

Who knew that MTG was one of the 3 sanest Republicans?

Irrelevant idiot does dumb thing.  News at 11:00

Ok

It's important to note that McBride's motives for leaking the information, as conceded by his own lawyers in court,  was not to 'expose the crimes,' but because he believed the soldiers had done nothing wrong and were being unfairly investigated. This is the slant he went to the ABC with, who upon receiving the material realized that no, actually the soldiers had committed serious war crimes. I'm not entirely comfortable with his prison sentence, but honesty is important. He wasn't trying to bring the truth to light but rather derail active investigations

No, because aipac has from the get-go been an advocacy voice for stronger American Israeli relations, whereas the NAACP of course has been a preeminent voice for opposing depression of African-Americans in this country. But I suspect you already knew that and were playing the edge Lord card again.

or I was trying to make a light joke aimed at a known bigot.  But feel free to dictate another paragraph.

The significant difference between Vosem and Mann's rhetoric is that Mann's is a fair bit harsher. Anyone on this forum who said 'the lesson is everything must be paid for' about dead Palestinian civilians would get a permaban