Wisconsin Megathread v2: Hagedorn vs. Neubauer

[Gass3268]

Good or bad that Neubauer is underperforming Evers in WOW?

Seems like Hagedorn is getting near-normal GOP levels in that region.

This is looking like a more typical close Wisconsin election.

[Gass3268]

That Lafayette number is very good for Neubauer, especially if its indicative of the rest of the rest of Southwest Wisconsin.

[Sestak]

That Lafayette number is very good for Neubauer, especially if its indicative of the rest of the rest of Southwest Wisconsin.

What’s the margin there? (Sorry, can’t see from my phone)

[ajc0918]

That Lafayette number is very good for Neubauer, especially if its indicative of the rest of the rest of Southwest Wisconsin.

What’s the margin there? (Sorry, can’t see from my phone)

60-40

[Scottholes 2.0]

Democrats elsewhere in the state should've really turned out more.

[Sestak]

Statewide margin down to 3 with 55% in.

[Bidenworth2020]

Statewide margin down to 3 with 55% in.

please explain to me how neubauer is going to win with all of dane and milwaukee in.

[Gass3268]

Statewide margin down to 3 with 55% in.

please explain to me how neubauer is going to win with all of dane and milwaukee in.

The entire Southwest part of the state is still left to report and we really don't know what's going on there yet, but early clues look pretty good for Neubauer.

[Xing]

Statewide margin down to 3 with 55% in.

please explain to me how neubauer is going to win with all of dane and milwaukee in.

I don't have access to county results, but it's my understanding that Dane is not entirely in.

[💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)]

All precincts up in Eau Claire. Neubauer +16, up ~3K votes.

Both candidates saw their vote share go up relative to the judicial race last year; Neubauer by about 500, Hagedorn by about 2K.

With 3% out in Milwaukee Neubauer is down about 5K relative to Dallet and Hagedorn is up about 5K from Screnock.

[Gass3268]

Statewide margin down to 3 with 55% in.

please explain to me how neubauer is going to win with all of dane and milwaukee in.

I don't have access to county results, but it's my understanding that Dane is not entirely in.

Still 5% left, plus 3% in Milwaukee County.

[Scottholes 2.0]

Statewide margin down to 3 with 55% in.

please explain to me how neubauer is going to win with all of dane and milwaukee in.

The entire Southwest part of the state is still left to report and we really don't know what's going on there yet, but early clues look pretty good for Neubauer.

Sauk County hasn't even reported yet.

[Brittain33]

Statewide margin down to 3 with 55% in.

please explain to me how neubauer is going to win with all of dane and milwaukee in.

WOW is all in, too, and much of the territory out is in the 3rd district, like LaCrosse.

Doesn’t mean she’s certain to win but it’s not like the remaining territory is all rural death for Dems.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Who has a link to a map result?

[Tartarus Sauce]

Ugh this is way too close.

I would think things actually look better for Hagerdorn considering where the vote is outstanding.

[Boston Bread]

Who has a link to a map result?

https://projects.jsonline.com/topics/election/2019/4/2/april-2019-wisconsin-election-results.html?utm_source=jsonline-News%20Alert&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=news_alerts&utm_term=news_alert

[💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)]

If the last 5% out of Dane is at the same margin as the other 95% is then Neubauer should net another 5000 votes there.

[Sestak]

Who has a link to a map result?

https://projects.jsonline.com/topics/election/2019/4/2/april-2019-wisconsin-election-results.html#statewide

[ajc0918]

Margin just ticked up to N+3.4%. Might be Dane's last votes?

[IceSpear]

The rural surge for Hagdorn is really surprising me tbh.

Why in the world would that surprise you? That would be like a Republican saying they're surprised that their performance in Madison is abysmal.

[Sestak]

Margin just ticked up to N+3.4%. Might be Dane's last votes?

Possibly. We’ll see in a few minutes.

[LimoLiberal]

Hmmm. An apparent Neubauer over-performance in the driftless area has be reconsidering my call.

[Brittain33]

Hmmm. An apparent Neubauer over-performance in the driftless area has be reconsidering my call.

You don’t say.

[libertpaulian]

Hmmm. An apparent Neubauer over-performance in the driftless area has be reconsidering my call.

But of course.

[💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)]

Vernon and Jackson are about 50% in but so far Neubauer is beating Evers's margins there (Evers lost Jackson and won Vernon by 2%).