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https://bluevirginia.us/2024/05/new-internal-va07-democratic-primary-poll-by-eugene-vindmans-campaign-has-vindman-up-by-30-points

Congrats to John Dule on being the first Atlas user nominated for president!

Dule needs to be a green av. LP sucks.

SABC live coverage:

Very boring so far.

It wouldn't be an election in South Africa without "electricity challenges" (as the SABC title card puts it).

Is it possible that whatever gains DA makes among formers ANC voters are offset by defections to the PA, and that the party ends up with a similar vote share to 2019?

Certainly could be the case. I personally suspect the answer lies in differential turnout of whites vs coloured, and both vs the rest. That won't really be resolved until the count can be decently modeled. That said, the DA turning off former coloured voters was expected, as you can see further back in the thread. A bit of further evidence:

Spruitdrift Primary School, Matzikama, Western Cape, mostly coloured voters, but also some white voters:

DA 54% (-12)
ANC 22% (-1)
PA 14% (+14)
FF 6% (+1)

That -12% for the DA is the level that begins to threaten the provincial majority. But pending many other variables.

And some rural Western Cape coming as well:

Klaarstroom community hall, Prince Albert, coloured and white voters.

DA 51% (-12)
PA 46% (+46)
ANC 2% (-28)

Turnout: 94%

Even if I weren't hitched up, I doubt it would work. I dated a Republican for about a year when I was younger. It didn't work. It can't work if you are fundamentally opposed to that person's worldview.

If Josh Stein doesn’t win I’ll cry

The second Trump wins the election (if he wins, which looks increasingly likely) Netanyahu will withdraw all troops from Gaza. Biden only gave him 99% of what he wanted, and that's not enough for the most pampered, entitled country on the planet.

The fact that supposed moderates like Gantz still haven't pulled their war cabinet support to stop this madness reflects awfully on their character too. This is a very sick society.

Leftists are completely delusional about what Palestinian culture is. They think this is some indigenous, peaceful tribe like Mayan civilization in 3000 BC (of course they are wrong about this too) when you listen to some of their language. Unfortunately, reality on the ground suggests if given the capacity they would kill every Jewish person they could.

I'm sure bombing refugee camps will totally change their culture.

Both Gantz and Galland gave a three week deadline that hasn’t passed yet

Not holding my breath.

What is your solution to the conflict then? Eliminate Israel's Jewish majority?

Yeah.

End of minority rule (apartheid).

Glad you finally just came clean about the end game. You danced around it for months. Why is it that Israel gets eliminated but other countries like the Netherlands, Hungary, Romania don't? Couldn't at all be because of the country's Jewish majority? There is no minority rule because the West Bank and Gaza are to be part of a Palestinian state, not Israel.

It must be a scary prospect for Jews to be treated by Palestinians the way Palestinians are treated by Jews right now.

If you treat others the way that you want to be treated, it wouldn't be so scary when the shoe is on the other foot.

Yes, the Jews need to know what it’s like to be oppressed, they’ve never known that before

It’s looking like a repeat of 2021 in that everywhere is turning against whoever is the dominant party there.

Context aside, it's not exactly a phrase one associates with the good guys. Why do Republican women who try to look tough for Trump so often come across as sadists?

Just saying its weird to see Bangladeshis and Indonesians reject Rohingyas and not care about that but then care so much about Israel/Gaza at a unanimous level.

https://www.thejakartapost.com/opinion/2024/05/25/embracing-humanity-a-call-to-rethink-refugee-policies-in-indonesia.html

First line literally speaks about Aceh which is the most religious province in Indonesia and has Shariah law and shows how they now dislike Rohingyas. Almost certainly still avid supporters of the Palestinian cause.

Because it’s not about ‘solidarity’ with fellow Muslims, it’s about the continued rage at the loss of Jerusalem to the Yahood