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The NYT poll suggests that the state will vote 6 points to the right of Maricopa. Both primary and midterm results suggest a huge dropoff among Native Americans for Biden.

All of the red counties that are 50%+ in so far, Barrow is doing much better than Jordan 2022

Trump always has the potential to shoot himself in the foot. However, his gaffes and slips never really last long enough in the public consciousness to harm him.

It's only 3% in, but based on the current counties in it looks like Pinson wins by high single digits.

How? Pinson is barely up and nothing is in from Atlanta.

Barrow's doing like 10 points worse than Biden in many rural counties that are half in.

Pierce county is 95% in and Barrow is doing over 10% better than Biden.

I'm going by NYT - maybe another site has a different count.

It's only 3% in, but based on the current counties in it looks like Pinson wins by high single digits.

How? Pinson is barely up and nothing is in from Atlanta.

Barrow's doing like 10 points worse than Biden in many rural counties that are half in.

Pierce county is 95% in and Barrow is doing over 10% better than Biden.

Candler is 60% in. Pinson +10. Carr +48 in AG 2022. Small rural area

So let me get this straight...

... when Biden greatly overperforms in fundraising, the Atlas consensus basically is "that's worthless because money can't buy elections, HRC also outspent Trump and still lost"

... and when Biden during one month has medicore, but not terrible, fundraising number, it "proves how he's done and should be replaced as a candidate"?

Got it.

It does not matter, but outspending Trump was supposed to be how Biden would catch up in polling. Now this advantage seems to be gone.

Yeah I'm looking at the AG 2022 map and I'm thinking maybe Pinson by 5? Unclear right now. Barrow holding his own in Trump rurals and in even some areas like Baldwin. Richmond looks good.

A few Dem counties look meh though, but they may cancel out the better performance in the rurals. Really want to see Atlanta metro

Trump is making a bunch of unforced errors (one on Social Security back in March) and Biden is still losing easily. Makes you think about why Biden decided to run again.

It's only 3% in, but based on the current counties in it looks like Pinson wins by high single digits.

How? Pinson is barely up and nothing is in from Atlanta.

Barrow's doing like 10 points worse than Biden in many rural counties that are half in.