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May 19, 2024, 11:39:46 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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 1 
 on: Today at 11:38:17 AM 
Started by Obama24 - Last post by Frodo
No, just Trump like any normal person would answer.  I can't say the same for Trump's supporters who exist in an alternate reality, however...

 2 
 on: Today at 11:36:13 AM 
Started by Logical - Last post by Frodo
Was the helicopter sabotaged by Mossad by any chance?  If we find out it resulted in the deaths of everyone on it, then well done!

 3 
 on: Today at 11:35:50 AM 
Started by wbrocks67 - Last post by Rubensim
Well i'm happy that at least he isn't getting called Genocide Joe for once
But i suspect that his remarks will leave some pro-Israeli and pro-Palestinian a bit angry that he didn't lean into one side but well what remark he made on this situation haven't made at least some side angry.

 4 
 on: Today at 11:35:17 AM 
Started by Woody - Last post by All Along The Watchtower
If Biden is in a solid position this fall, I think Georgia will come home for him.

GA still is full of the types of voters and communities that are shifting towards Democrats. But there will always be a very high floor of very conservative voters since it’s still in the Bible Belt. So for this race, I see it as a turnout battle.
I’m excited to see you cry when the Democrats get flushed down the sh**tter of human history.

Is this what passes for political discussion these days?

 5 
 on: Today at 11:33:14 AM 
Started by Logical - Last post by Torrain
Per BBC Persia:
  • The helicoptor has still not been found.
  • Major weather system expected to bring serious rain overnight, slowing efforts.
  • 3 Red Crescent rescue volunteers have gone missing in the search.

 6 
 on: Today at 11:33:13 AM 
Started by Logical - Last post by CookieDamage
Rest in Piss

 7 
 on: Today at 11:32:55 AM 
Started by Ashley Biden's Diary - Last post by Alcibiades
Yes if I was talking to Castilian Franco nostalgists, no if I was talking to FYIGM-minded Puigdemont cultists.

 8 
 on: Today at 11:32:41 AM 
Started by AncestralDemocrat. - Last post by Skill and Chance
We’re in a weird place right now where the national polls are looking better for Biden but the swing state polls are still looking pretty bad for him. However this looks to be the same polling outfit that showed close races in the rust belt trio.

I’m not skilled enough to offer a thorough explanation for this, but I still feel better about Biden’s chances compared to a few months ago.

I don't think the national polls are looking that great for Biden?  It generally averages to Trump by less than +1.  Biden does have a few +1 or +2 leads out there, but that's not really consistent with the median state in the EC being all that competitive.  If 2020 was Biden +2, he probably gains nothing over Clinton 2016 in the EC except maybe Michigan.  If you assume Trump is getting an additional 1-2% out of NYC and Florida, maybe that nets Biden Pennsylvania and Michigan while Trump wins all his other 2016 states (and with the clear Hispanic R trend, NV).  That's basically what current state polling looks like.  Biden might be up in PA and/or MI but he's in huge trouble everywhere else, and state level polling in WI understates Trump like nobody's business.

 9 
 on: Today at 11:31:45 AM 
Started by Cyrusman - Last post by Cyrusman
Considering how many awful polls there have been for her, is there any chance the GOP goes with Mark Lamb?
Clearly there’s a ton of Trump-Gallego voters out there.

 10 
 on: Today at 11:30:49 AM 
Started by Logical - Last post by Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin

While losing contact like this obviously isn't good news for Iran's predient and his party, autorotation is a thing, and helicopters have different landing options that aircrafts. (How well the Iranian military trains its pilots for emergency landings under autorotation, I have no idea.)

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