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Retain their current congressional seats and wait for a map that allows them to get the North Columbus metro district that would exist in a fair map. They aren’t going to win the state back anytime soon, but they are developing a geography advantage in the state at least.

It's crazy because back in 2016 his margin in Georgia was considered abysmal for a Republican, but today 5 points would be a huge victory. Shows you how fast the state trended left.

Brown is running literally the perfect ads on the air here, the kind that Moreno can't replicate b/c, well, he doesn't have a long record of concrete, bipartisan accomplishments for real Ohioans with real problems that Brown has.

Brown pulls it out, but b/c of the republican lean of the state his absolute ceiling in a Presidential year will be something like 53%.

McLaughlin is useless. Their data is worth next to nothing.

If you’re triggering the MAGAts, you’re probably doing something right

The US is factually not in a recession. Pointing this out is not being elitist nor is it "not listening to Americans". There's clearly a huge misunderstanding of what the word recession means coupled with a serious disinfo problem.

The thing is all of this doesn't really matter.

Because what matters is purchasing power and if people feel life goods are becoming more expensive and if the party in power ignores purchasing power of people (which also drives economy) than people will start to believe there is a recession, because well for them it is.

It also seems to differ from state to state whether there is a recession or not. Someone pointed out than the Sun Belt states are in a recession while the Midwestern states are less so.

So recessions are just feels now. That's not how it works or how its ever worked. Just say things are expensive.

I doubt most people even know what a recession is or what factually counts as a recession, but it doesn't mean that peoples worries aren't justified.

How would Canada excluding Quebec compare?

Anglo-Canada is literally just the U.S., but with single-payer, universal healthcare, more hockey, and fewer guns.

To no surprise, according to the crosstabs, Kamala Harris would do even more poorly vs Trump than Biden. She just can't take a break.

The US is factually not in a recession. Pointing this out is not being elitist nor is it "not listening to Americans". There's clearly a huge misunderstanding of what the word recession means coupled with a serious disinfo problem.

The thing is all of this doesn't really matter.

Because what matters is purchasing power and if people feel life goods are becoming more expensive and if the party in power ignores purchasing power of people (which also drives economy) than people will start to believe there is a recession, because well for them it is.

It also seems to differ from state to state whether there is a recession or not. Someone pointed out than the Sun Belt states are in a recession while the Midwestern states are less so.

So recessions are just feels now. That's not how it works or how its ever worked. Just say things are expensive.

The US is factually not in a recession. Pointing this out is not being elitist nor is it "not listening to Americans". There's clearly a huge misunderstanding of what the word recession means coupled with a serious disinfo problem.

The thing is all of this doesn't really matter.

Because what matters is purchasing power and if people feel life goods are becoming more expensive and if the party in power ignores purchasing power of people (which also drives economy) than people will start to believe there is a recession, because well for them it is.

It also seems to differ from state to state whether there is a recession or not. Someone pointed out than the Sun Belt states are in a recession while the Midwestern states are less so.

Eventually some people will vote with their wallet and compare 2016-2020 to 2020-2024 and they'll eventually go with Trump because of that.