Obvious junk is obvious.
There won't be a six point margin this year, and certainly not for Trump. He would be happy to win the popular vote at all.
There won't be a six point margin this year, and certainly not for Trump. He would be happy to win the popular vote at all.
While I do agree Trump doesn't win by 6, I'll just point out that this is the same mindset Atlas brought to the table in 2014. We all know how that went.
We've all been wrong over time. And I honestly would be more worried if this poll was out in late September or into October (assuming other polls were as they are, but even then this one is an outlier).
Sure, having two (or more) sides in a factual dispute means someone has to be wrong. I bring it up to caution that maybe we should be more circumspect than saying "obvious junk is obvious", because I heard that once before when the obvious junk actually turned out to be fairly accurate.