The winner of Pennsylvania has won the presidency from 1972 to 2020 (excluding 2004), the longest such run by any state. Will that streak continue in 2024?
I have been keep track and, once this election ends, intend to offer an update to the following:
https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=556600.msg9122153#msg9122153
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Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin current hold the longest streak of having carried for United States presidential election winners. Since 2008, they are at four in a row. They will each carry for the winner, again, here in 2024…moving them to five in a row.
Record for the longest streak is a tie with Nevada and New Mexico. The latter state joined the Union and first voted in 1912. From that year until 1972…they carried every time. 60 years and 16 consecutive election cycles. (Ohio, from 1964 to 2016, ran 52 years and 14 consecutive election cycles. Florida carried the same as Ohio with exception in 1992.)
The five states with the best historic record in having carried for U.S. presidential winners, from 1789 to 2020, are as follows:
01. New Mexico • 92.85%
02. Illinois • 84.31%
03. California • 83.72%
04. New York • 83.62%
05. Pennsylvania • 83.05%
If Election 2024 ends up a Republican pickup for U.S. President—and bellwether Pennsylvania flips and carries while Illinois, California, and New York hold Democratic—the Keystone State will move up to No. 2.