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People say the rust belt will be a great place to live later in the century if climate change and resource constraints really hit home, lots of water, arable land, no major natural disaster phenomena, so I think. Detroit will rise again, cities have long lives

I hope this is the case, but OTOH, what's stopping people from just moving to Columbus or Green Bay instead? The cities in the Midwest that are growing currently aren't the ex-industrial places; they're metro areas that are more like sunbelt cities except for location.

I've always thought an enterprising corporation like amazon or something could buy up entire neighborhoods in detroit that are abandoned but still have good brick architecture and fix them up as an emplyment draw for employees.

for your question, nothing specific i guess favors detroit over columbus, i just think rising tides lift all boats and people will move back in/around the D evetually

Some background about the volcano.

This volcano has a history of supereruptive episodes (and also minor/less severe activity in between), like for instance the last eruption was in 1536. The last supereruptive episode was approximately 12.000 years ago, but the one 37.000 years ago was even larger and had widespread effects and is basically why this volcano is sometimes nicknamed a "supervolcano" in pop media. It is a volcano with a history or producing calderas and near a populated area in the developed world which is why it will get that label faster than other volcanoes with similar characteristics.

It may also be interconnected with the at the moment dormant Vesuvius volcano, which has been dormant since 1944, quite a bit of time already and it is suggested that its currently in a cycle of recharging where the next eruption could be similar to that of Pompeii or that of 1631 but that could easily take another few centuries, since before the eruption that devastated Pompeii in Roman Times happened it is assumed it was dormant for a few centuries (2-3 centuries). It also has produced more severe eruptions in the past prior to Pompeii that aren't recorded by humans. However that volcano is not showing any unrest at the moment.

Obviously, a volcano like this will have a lot of episodes with seismic swarms and crisises and in a lot of those, nothing would happen. We also have no real clue or idea what would be necessary to trigger the worst case scenario a massive eruption. But given the sheer timescale involved in those eruptions, it's usually safer to predict that something like that wouldn't happen as it's more likely an eruption would be minor or even more likely that nothing would happen at all. And it is assumed that the threshold of unrest for an eruption of some kind would have to be higher than the crisis in the 1980s since that one didn't lead to an eruption.

The problem with Campi Flegrei specifically is that even a minor eruption would be devastating because it is located under a populated area. And that there is good evidence - according to a paper i've read - that it is building up to another caldera forming eruption (basically supereruption) according to the observed cycle we see.

Iran seems to be blaming sanctions . Guess they do work.

If you transport important officials in vehicles you can't service that's your problem

yes but it could be a very dry explanation, I believe the the lawyers can talk about it to some extent too and they can give it more oomph.

is this a general election for this seat?

Yup -- winner take all

They'll have to do a good job explaining the law next Tuesday because there are probably jurors who feel the same.

Isn't that precisely the judge's role, though, in his jury instructions?

I agree. I'm trying to embrace the uncertainty.

That's one thing that bothers me about Atlas -- we focus too much on polls and we let them guide the discourse.

That was the case in 2020 when the great polls for Biden blinded many to Trump's strengths.

That was the case in 2022 when we let garbage polls convince us that a red wave was coming and that Dobbs, Jan 6, and horrible GOP candidates wouldn't stop it from crashing.

And I think it's the case now, when many are already writing Biden's obit and ignoring other advantages he has in this race.

I get that he needs to work with Bibi still, but for f***'s sake...

https://twitter.com/Michael45231497/status/1792670974653202615



4.4 earthquake which is the largest in 40 years, the last one this big basically being from the seismic swarm crisis in the 1980s in Naples.

GeologyHub had a video 2 weeks ago already sort of predicting a new seismic crisis due to rising activity here.