2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[sguberman]

It seems Biden is actually get what was expected for him in the West it's the East that seems to be the problem for him.

[sguberman]

The Hispanic swings don't seem to be extending into NM and CO. Biden may keep NV after all.

Is anyone doubting that?

There were several posters in here earlier - - all now curiously silent - - crowing that Biden was doomed in Nevada based on his collapse of Hispanic support in the Rio Grande Valley.

Does anyone have a reason for why this may be the case? Are Hispanics in Nevada/New Mexico more likely to be of a certain ethnicity?

[sguberman]

One minority group Biden seems to be doing better with is Native Americans.

[sguberman]

Does anyone else notice that it seems the most west you go the better it's getting for Biden relatively speaking.

[sguberman]

Does anyone else notice that it seems the most west you go the better it's getting for Biden relatively speaking.

2018?

For 2020, he doesn't appear to be running behind his polling in the western parts of the country.

[sguberman]

I know it will change, but I love the irony that Biden is currently doing worse than Hillary in terms of the popular vote and yet appears to be on his way to victory.

More importantly, though, it probably means a lot of the outstanding vote is going to Biden generally, not just in the swing states.

Didn't it also takes week for Clinton to get those numbers?

What are you talking about?  Biden is outperforming Hillary in the NPV.

In fact:

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1324089286384373761

[sguberman]

Trumpland
https://twitter.com/rooshv/status/1324183227951624194?s=20

It's the bread scientist!

If Daryush "legalize rape" Valizadeh would like to move to West Virginia, I'm sure whatever state he currently lives in would be happy to see him go.

Only legitimate rape, of course.

I thought it was rape on private property that he supported.

[sguberman]

I just checked and Starr County Texas's 55 point swing to Trump was the biggest swing to a party in a county since Tyler County WV in 2000 compared to 1996.

[sguberman]

Once Trump's out of office how often do you think he will criticize Biden and for what?

[sguberman]

Fun Fact: I was actually supposed to work for the Quinnipiac Poll but right before I was supposed to get a mentor Covid-19 hit and Quinnipiac went online. Because of that, I wasn't able to work for the poll which I found out a few hours before I was supposed to start polling for the poll.

[sguberman]

Why do you have all the ballots on one paper? In the UK, we'd have separate ballots for each election.

Because this is how long the ballots are:

Front side: https://i.ibb.co/RgPsjSn/FCFE6361-BBDC-4-BBA-81-EA-A510333-FD940.jpg

Back side: https://i.ibb.co/Wvx51v1/5-FC33672-2-A19-4-C05-AE71-65-D9-F8-D0-A6-A2.jpg

Tiny bit off topic but there seriously needs to be a discussion on how many elected officials there are at the local and state levels in this country. I say at best the only elected officials should be House, Senate, State Legislature, President, Governor, City/County council members, mayors and maybe attorney generals and district attorneys the rest should be appointed and in some cases such as sheriffs outright get rid of.

[sguberman]

My dad(and his friends) and sister are convinced that the vote in Miami and the Rio Grande are rigged/fake.

[sguberman]

https://twitter.com/kylegriffin1/status/1327103155662819328


https://twitter.com/MSNBC/status/1327103517669076995

[sguberman]

When do Colorado, Wisconsin, Nebraska, and Iowa certify today anyone have the times?

[sguberman]

https://twitter.com/WinWithJMC/status/1333537774486638594

[sguberman]

We will indeed be getting New York City results today:

https://twitter.com/BOENYC/status/1333838798430621698?s=20

Not sure what time exactly.

Is it a guarantee that Biden did worse in the City than Clinton no matter what or is it possible Biden ends up doing slightly better than Clinton did?

[sguberman]

I feel like the protests/riots must have helped Trump in cities as he seems to have improved in quite a few of them some by decently sized swings. Though ironically not in Minneapolis.

[sguberman]

I feel like the protests/riots must have helped Trump in cities as he seems to have improved in quite a few of them some by decently sized swings. Though ironically not in Minneapolis.

I also wonder if democratic voters in New York City fled due to Covid to their vacation houses and that may have been part of it.