2020 Poll Hype Thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Poll Hype Thread  (Read 191456 times)
YE
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« Reply #825 on: July 15, 2020, 03:11:53 PM »
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #826 on: July 15, 2020, 04:22:25 PM »
Quote from: Senator YE on July 15, 2020, 03:11:53 PM



NBC/WSJ poll has Biden+11 nationally
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #827 on: July 16, 2020, 10:33:54 AM »
Larry Sabato has just donated 500$ for the KS/ME/GA-SurveyUSA fundraising project.

Huge FF.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #828 on: July 16, 2020, 12:36:48 PM »
Could be a new Fox News poll tonight if their usual timeline is intact
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SaneDemocrat
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« Reply #829 on: July 16, 2020, 01:28:56 PM »
There havent been any CNN and Fox polls this month. Any reason?
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #830 on: July 16, 2020, 01:31:09 PM »
Patience, my son.
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SaneDemocrat
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« Reply #831 on: July 16, 2020, 01:35:16 PM »

Wonder if they just skipped July
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #832 on: July 16, 2020, 01:38:35 PM »

I mean, we're only half way through the month. They'll probably put something out.
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n1240
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« Reply #833 on: July 16, 2020, 01:51:34 PM »


Re: Fox polls - possible they might have some tonight or a week from now since they usually release on Thursdays if my memory serves correct
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SaneDemocrat
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« Reply #834 on: July 16, 2020, 04:57:19 PM »
Yeah I figure there will be obviously some. Just feels like polling has been lacking this cycle.2016 had way more polls.
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
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« Reply #835 on: July 16, 2020, 05:10:47 PM »
« Edited: July 16, 2020, 05:17:20 PM by Monstro »
Quote from: SaneDemocrat on July 16, 2020, 04:57:19 PM
Yeah I figure there will be obviously some. Just feels like polling has been lacking this cycle.2016 had way more polls.

Newspapers & polling firms are also fairly worse off than 4 years ago. Plus, this race is looking a lot more stagnant than 4 years ago. It seemed like Hillary & Trump's numbers were changing by the hour and the undecideds even moreso.

I'm sure we'll get a slew of polls coming daily when we get past the conventions & particularly when Biden announces his running mate. We're not even 100 days away from the election.

Everything will be alright. Just be patient
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #836 on: July 16, 2020, 05:58:26 PM »
Nothing from Fox tonight, so I expect either national or state polls from them next Wed/Thur

CNN may be waiting till early next week too; usually they like to drag theirs out for 1-3 days

ABC/Wapo is also due, could be this Saturday night
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #837 on: July 16, 2020, 11:15:42 PM »
Good news:

Election Twitter has just passed the 7.000$ fundraising goal for their KS / SurveyUSA poll.

An anonymous person has donated more than 1.000$ in the past hour.

Their Maine poll is also more than 1.000$ funded already.

https://www.gofundme.com/f/PollCrowdfunding
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Gass3268
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« Reply #838 on: July 17, 2020, 09:16:28 AM »
Looks like we'll be getting ABC/Washington Post numbers this weekend, probably not looking great for Trump based on the coronavirus numbers:
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #839 on: July 17, 2020, 06:20:29 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on July 17, 2020, 09:16:28 AM
Looks like we'll be getting ABC/Washington Post numbers this weekend, probably not looking great for Trump based on the coronavirus numbers:



It's astounding how much good-will he squandered from March, and he was even objectively f***ing up then.
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Lognog
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« Reply #840 on: July 17, 2020, 06:49:04 PM »
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on July 17, 2020, 06:20:29 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on July 17, 2020, 09:16:28 AM
Looks like we'll be getting ABC/Washington Post numbers this weekend, probably not looking great for Trump based on the coronavirus numbers:



It's astounding how much good-will he squandered from March, and he was even objectively f***ing up then.

If he handled it well he had a real shot at expanding his win from 2016 and taking the house
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #841 on: July 18, 2020, 05:47:25 AM »
With the ElectionTwitter KS/SurveyUSA poll financed, their 2nd poll (Maine) will take longer.

About 2.000$ have been collected so far, out of 7.000 needed - but this won’t be reached until the end of July ...
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SaneDemocrat
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« Reply #842 on: July 18, 2020, 10:43:25 AM »
TONIGHT: Brand new
@ABC
 News/Washington Post poll numbers on Pres. Trump’s job approval, the 2020 presidential election and more.

Fox news poll tomorrow
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #843 on: July 18, 2020, 12:43:06 PM »
Prediction

ABC: Biden+13
Fox: Biden+10
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #844 on: July 18, 2020, 06:10:14 PM »


Much better.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #845 on: July 18, 2020, 11:51:06 PM »
Quote from: Oryxslayer on July 18, 2020, 06:10:14 PM

Much better.

Excellent.

This will allow for an unprecedented look at a red state and how it potentially changes this year, due to the higher sample size and mixed mode methodology ... 👍
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G_Master
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« Reply #846 on: July 19, 2020, 07:22:31 PM »
« Edited: July 19, 2020, 07:26:47 PM by G_Master »
I would really like to see Nebraska. I think that the three districts would show some interesting contrasts. It would be interesting to see how District 1 does, with Lincoln, and some of the small to medium-sized cities in between like Columbus, Norfolk and Fremont. District 2 would show if Biden can compete in Omaha and it’s suburbs. District 3 can show if Trump’s base is eroding in the places where it’s most concentrated.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #847 on: July 20, 2020, 05:14:04 AM »
Some people were saying on Twitter - and I think it's so accurate and true - if people involved with campaigns see these campaigns from Election Twitter, they might as well donate themsevles. Probably cheaper than campaign polling and they can use the results for fundraising. Plus, it's Go Fund Me, so anyone can donate whatever they want
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #848 on: July 20, 2020, 01:24:20 PM »
The KS/SurveyUSA/Election Twitter poll will go into the field on August 5, a day after the primary.

Polling both the primary and GE was impossible, because it would have cost a lot more than the 15.000$ that were raised on GoFundMe ...
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SaneDemocrat
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« Reply #849 on: July 20, 2020, 03:35:33 PM »
Quote from: Ferguson97 on July 18, 2020, 12:43:06 PM
Prediction

ABC: Biden+13
Fox: Biden+10

Got the average right
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