Texas is also a state with low turnout, where Dems seem to have more overall potential with non-voters.
And therein lies their problem, because they barely got the overall statewide margin to budge in 2020 despite heightened enthusiasm levels across the board, not to mention favourable turnout patterns. I don’t expect lightning to strike twice again in that regard this fall.
Both states are quite urban/suburban in nature as well, with most of its population being constrained to its major metro areas.
TX has a larger rural population than most people give it credit for.