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Imagine thinking this is a genocide while what is happening in Gaza is not.

On the question specifically, i lean towards no but i can see the case for yes to some extent.

Upside-down flag is the universal symbol of distress. It has also (ironically) reportedly been used as a protest against the decision that overturned Roe v Wade. I know the date and time of when the flag was flown matters, but this is ridiculous.

It was also common after Trump was elected in 2016.

Exactly my point, there's no need to read into this as anything more than a statement of displeasure at the result. Now, that does raise another question about whether that kind of statement is appropriate from a Supreme Court Justice, but it's not the same as supporting "Stop the Steal".

[or]

My ratings as of today would be this:

That's close to where I see it, except I think AZ is is Lean Biden. The recent 19th century abortion debacle, combined with Kari Lake being on the ballot again and the general shift in AZ will likely sink Trump unless Biden has such poor performance nationwide that AZ doesn't matter anyway. I.e. I think AZ will vote to the left of all the other undecided states.

Yes, I'm well aware of the polling that shows a strong Trump lead in AZ. I will believe it if I see it in November.

If I am correct, that means Biden needs GA or MI or WI+NV to win, while Trump needs MI and GA and WI or NV.

It is, of course, possible there's a significant nationwide swing for or against either candidate by November and the above becomes most irrelevant as, for example Trump wins PA or Biden wins NC. But if nothing significantly changes between now and November, I think the election is Lean Biden.

what’s your basis that the election as of the moment is lean biden wherein the state by state polls says otherwise?

So a another republican gain grounds?
Biden really need better campaign staff if he somehow failing against donald.

Biden should consider replacing his campaign manager, sometimes you have to do that. Trump fired Brad Parscale in July 2020.

I doubt Barrow can win but the margin will very interesting. Are suburban woman pissed off enough to swing the election in such a low turnout affair?
How weak will Barrow be among black voters?

Barrow winning would be a similar earthquake as the 2010 recall of Iowa judges over allowing gay marriage.
 

[Baby Shark Dance]

Once you get to 100K subscribers, your earnings will be around USD $10k per million views.

If you can pump out 52 videos a year, and they each get 1M views (then halving every successive year), your rolling income will be around

• 1st year - US $520k
• 2nd year - US $780k
• 3rd year - US $901k

and so on.

Baby Shark Dance

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XqZsoesa55w

This video has had 14,522,637,207 views. Based on the analysis above, it has earned around USD $145M for the owner.

So get yourself a couple of singing Eurasian kids, some cheesy underwater graphics and write some god-awful musical score.

Once a video starts, the secret is to avoid people disappearing in the early stages (0-10s). This is why scammy videos say "Watch Until End". The reality is you just need really good content to get people to stay.

A cooking video making pasts for example is a perfect example. If you want to know how to do it, you will stay until the end, or at least 75% of the video until you discover how to make the pasta.

One thing that will make it hard to watch a channel is bad audio and almost every channel starts out with bad autio, so get a good microphone.  If you're going to be a talking head, get good lighting too.

[or]

That's close to where I see it, except I think AZ is is Lean Biden. The recent 19th century abortion debacle, combined with Kari Lake being on the ballot again and the general shift in AZ will likely sink Trump unless Biden has such poor performance nationwide that AZ doesn't matter anyway. I.e. I think AZ will vote to the left of all the other undecided states.

Yes, I'm well aware of the polling that shows a strong Trump lead in AZ. I will believe it if I see it in November.

If I am correct, that means Biden needs GA or MI or WI+NV to win, while Trump needs MI and GA and WI or NV.

It is, of course, possible there's a significant nationwide swing for or against either candidate by November and the above becomes most irrelevant as, for example Trump wins PA or Biden wins NC. But if nothing significantly changes between now and November, I think the election is Lean Biden.

Imo Trump is neither an underdog in AZ nor PA right now.

I also wouldn’t move Georgia just yet, or not if one of the rust belt trio states also aren’t being moved to lean.

Why should any of those three states be moved out of the toss-up column? They’re all within 2 points in the polls right now.

I'm curious, what makes folks here choose NZ over Australia? Aside from the language thing, there doesn't seem to be much to suggest one over the other -- NZ has a cooler climate but it also seems to be pretty different qualitatively from the UK.

This may not really be meaningful, but I've been watching Taskmaster recently and I've been struck by the sheer number of people from the Antipodes on there; it seems like the U.K. entertainment industry might be a draw in the same way that ambitious Canadians (and people from everywhere else ofc) go to Hollywood.

Oh man this is amazing, I've also been watching Taskmaster recently and one of my first thoughts upon entering this thread (precisely inspired by that) was that every Kiwi media celebrity seems to have worked in the UK at some point.

Perpetua and Deepstate's maps have the Russians fighting within Liptsy's boundaries. The battle for the town has started. Back in 2022 when the town was under Russian control it was one of the staging areas for artillery shelling of Kharkiv City and it's outskirts:

https://map.ukrdailyupdate.com/?lat=50.211132&lng=36.431351&z=13&d=19860&c=1&l=0

https://deepstatemap.live/en#13/50.2163/36.4430