Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

The slings and arrows and data cause a revision, signifying not much as to even the most nerdish of them all.

This rating of districts in order is fascinating. Why are you rating WA-03 as Likely D, btw?

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

When will we get the final Pueblo drop?  IIRC there were about 2,000 in person and about 5,000 mail left before this batch

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/NoLieWithBTC/status/1590771129681342464

[Hope For A New Era]

Anna Lynn Winfrey apparently saying the drop that gave the 1229 lead was from Gunnison and not Pueblo?

I have no idea what's going on.

[Torie]

Tim,

The county splits my dear, absent chat about the partisan lean of late counted ballots in WA, or something else, by someone who knows and can back it up, as opposed to just one or none of the two.

[😥]

Democrats path for the House majority just became much more harder without CO-03. But Democratic majority in the House is still a possibility. I see this new path without CO-03 through CA-13, CA-22, CA-41, OR-05, WA-03 and one of AZ-01/AZ-06/CA-27/CA-45

[Crumpets]

If the GOP doesn't collectively dropkick Boebert the way they did to Cawthorn, who can we run in 2024? I hate to say it, but I suspect we might need a blue dog here.

Hi, I'm Crumpets and I'm running in CO-3 to unseat Lauren Boebert. I have long connections to this district including spending a week in Durango in 2008 and stopping for lunch in Grand Junction in 2011. Chip in $20.24 today and help me send this member of the Treason Caucus packing!

[Stockdale for Veep]

Odds that losing the House because they didn't rig the maps as much as the other side convinces blue state trifectas to send independent map commissions to Venus?

[brucejoel99]

https://twitter.com/paulsgkim/status/1590851867072135172

[TheReckoning]

https://twitter.com/NoLieWithBTC/status/1590771129681342464

Calling Nick Fuentes a “Republican Operative” is… a bit of a stretch.

[Coldstream]

What’s the timetable for results for the remaining outstanding seats?

[Hope For A New Era]

https://twitter.com/paulsgkim/status/1590851867072135172

wtf

What’s the timetable for results for the remaining outstanding seats?

unknown

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

Anna Lynn Winfrey apparently saying the drop that gave the 1229 lead was from Gunnison and not Pueblo?

I have no idea what's going on.

I think people were just misreading that tweet

[Skill and Chance]

Odds that losing the House because they didn't rig the maps as much as the other side convinces blue state trifectas to send independent map commissions to Venus?

With the exception of 1 or 2 states, the commissions were amended into the state constitutions, not just passed as laws.  It takes a referendum to amend the state constitution in every state but one (Delaware, which only has one US House seat anyway).  Redistricting commissions almost never fail when put on the ballot.  There's pretty much no way the voters would repeal one.  

[Badger]

https://twitter.com/NoLieWithBTC/status/1590771129681342464

Mr Fuentes is practically inviting second amendment remedies against those trying to steal our democracy.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Anna Lynn Winfrey apparently saying the drop that gave the 1229 lead was from Gunnison and not Pueblo?

I have no idea what's going on.

I think people were just misreading that tweet

I do too.  Here's the actual tweet:

https://twitter.com/annalynnfrey/status/1590852719891611648

[MillennialModerate]

Someone tell me if I’m wrong on any of this because the constant bombardment of info

CO-3 seemed D and now appears R
CO-8 seemed D and now appears tilt R?
MD-6 seemed D and now appears R
CA-41 seemed R and could go D….

Which puts the house either 100% R or R with 1 more GOP win?

The Senate races appear to being going D at least in AZ and probably NV

Governors ….Arizona is a tossup and Nevada is a Likely R, Oregon is obviously D despite no call.

NO, but can go either way
NO
NO
Kinda of

Can you just not complain how everything is bad until we get a clearer picture?

Where is the complaint?….

Okay, I apologize for being so harsh, it's just that your earlier posts here about how bad things are going made me write this. Forgive me, please. Actually, there's no telling who will win the House, I'd say 50/50, so we'll see

Apology accepted.

Everyone saying it’s a jump ball - was that factoring in CO-03 as a win or loss

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

If the GOP doesn't collectively dropkick Boebert the way they did to Cawthorn, who can we run in 2024? I hate to say it, but I suspect we might need a blue dog here.

Hi, I'm Crumpets and I'm running in CO-3 to unseat Lauren Boebert. I have long connections to this district including spending a week in Durango in 2008 and stopping for lunch in Grand Junction in 2011. Chip in $20.24 today and help me send this member of the Treason Caucus packing!

Endorsed

[Crumpets]

https://twitter.com/NoLieWithBTC/status/1590771129681342464

Like Lord Haw Haw if he was on coke instead of whiskey.

[Dani Rose]

MT-01 is another one. I'm reasonably confident in Tester's ability to hold the line, plus we'll have a chance at Gianforte in 2024 as well, so who can we run to knock off Zinke with presidential turnout? I feel like the ideal candidate there should be some moderate rancher sitting on a ton of cattle money.

[It’s so Joever]

Someone tell me if I’m wrong on any of this because the constant bombardment of info

CO-3 seemed D and now appears R
CO-8 seemed D and now appears tilt R?
MD-6 seemed D and now appears R
CA-41 seemed R and could go D….

Which puts the house either 100% R or R with 1 more GOP win?

The Senate races appear to being going D at least in AZ and probably NV

Governors ….Arizona is a tossup and Nevada is a Likely R, Oregon is obviously D despite no call.

NO, but can go either way
NO
NO
Kinda of

Can you just not complain how everything is bad until we get a clearer picture?

Where is the complaint?….

Okay, I apologize for being so harsh, it's just that your earlier posts here about how bad things are going made me write this. Forgive me, please. Actually, there's no telling who will win the House, I'd say 50/50, so we'll see

Apology accepted.

Everyone saying it’s a jump ball - was that factoring in CO-03 as a win or loss

Its definitely now like 20-80

[pppolitics]

https://twitter.com/paulsgkim/status/1590851867072135172

I didn't even know that Montana has two congressional districts.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Someone tell me if I’m wrong on any of this because the constant bombardment of info

CO-3 seemed D and now appears R
CO-8 seemed D and now appears tilt R?
MD-6 seemed D and now appears R
CA-41 seemed R and could go D….

Which puts the house either 100% R or R with 1 more GOP win?

The Senate races appear to being going D at least in AZ and probably NV

Governors ….Arizona is a tossup and Nevada is a Likely R, Oregon is obviously D despite no call.

NO, but can go either way
NO
NO
Kinda of

Can you just not complain how everything is bad until we get a clearer picture?

Where is the complaint?….

Okay, I apologize for being so harsh, it's just that your earlier posts here about how bad things are going made me write this. Forgive me, please. Actually, there's no telling who will win the House, I'd say 50/50, so we'll see

Apology accepted.

Everyone saying it’s a jump ball - was that factoring in CO-03 as a win or loss

CO-03 as a win.  At this point it's not a jump ball, but (if we can switch sports) the Democrats are in the position of a team that's down a touchdown with 5 minutes left.  Favored?  No.  Doable?  Yes.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/paulsgkim/status/1590851867072135172

I didn't even know that Montana has two congressional districts.

They got the second one in reapportionment after the 2020 Census.

[roxas11]

The fact that the race was even close at all should be a big wake up call to Lauren boebert

Her constituents were clearly not impressed by her antics and if I was her I would tone it down going forward.

It's one thing to be a very passionate conservative who is willing to fight with the Dems when it comes to their policies, its another thing entirely to behave, the way Lauren boebert has since she has been in office.