Official 2022 Congressional Election Results Thread

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

https://twitter.com/maricopacounty/status/1590830383222095873

Lol. I love the sass here.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Frisch just netted about 160 votes but not from Pueblo, not sure from where

It was La Plata

This makes me think a few other smaller counties could still randomly dump small batches so be aware.

[Torie]

Well I trusted you guys in a lapse of judgement (trust but verify), but in MD-06 the Pub Parrot is ahead and the splits absent a somewhat material variation between counted and uncounted votes (the uncounted votes per the county splits also favor Parrot a bit, and the notion it was the opposite seems to be an urban legend, or at least an Atlas legend), so MD-06 moves in the Torie universe moves from likely Dem to lean Pub. So the Torie projection moves from 219.5 to 220.25.

Where are you seeing this info btw. I'm surprised how remarkably quiet people have been about MD-06.

If Dems lose it, another big L considering it's a Biden + 10 seat in the DC area.

I look at CNN for the county splits and percentage of vote counted.

[It’s so Joever]

So no source on MD-06 being mail ballots left? I guess that was copium by Ds.

[7,052,770]

Well I trusted you guys in a lapse of judgement (trust but verify), but in MD-06 the Pub Parrot is ahead and the splits absent a somewhat material variation between counted and uncounted votes (the uncounted votes per the county splits also favor Parrot a bit, and the notion it was the opposite seems to be an urban legend, or at least an Atlas legend), so MD-06 moves in the Torie universe moves from likely Dem to lean Pub. So the Torie projection moves from 219.5 to 220.25.

Where are you seeing this info btw. I'm surprised how remarkably quiet people have been about MD-06.

If Dems lose it, another big L considering it's a Biden + 10 seat in the DC area.

I look at CNN for the county splits and percentage of vote counted.

But shouldn't you use a breakdown of the type of votes outstanding when you make your projections?

[soundchaser]

SO no source on MD-06 being mail ballots left? I guess that was copium by Ds.

Ah yes, copium in a midterm election where the House is going to come down to a couple of races in California.

Get over yourself, seriously.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Someone tell me if I’m wrong on any of this because the constant bombardment of info

CO-3 seemed D and now appears R
CO-8 seemed D and now appears tilt R?
MD-6 seemed D and now appears R
CA-41 seemed R and could go D….

Which puts the house either 100% R or R with 1 more GOP win?

The Senate races appear to being going D at least in AZ and probably NV

Governors ….Arizona is a tossup and Nevada is a Likely R, Oregon is obviously D despite no call.

CO-03 is genuinely a coin flip still
CO-08 is still leaning towards Caravero, but I think the call was premature
MD-06 I'd still rather be Trone given the outstanding vote
CA-41 is going to be interesting. Cali is completely unpredictable and it's done wild things in the past as the votes come in, but I think I'd rather be Rollins

[MillennialModerate]

Frisch just netted about 160 votes but not from Pueblo, not sure from where

Pitkin? They said they had 100+ votes left

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

If the remaining ballots in MD-06 are indeed mail-in, I really don't see Trone losing.

[It’s so Joever]

SO no source on MD-06 being mail ballots left? I guess that was copium by Ds.

Ah yes, copium in a midterm election where the House is going to come down to a couple of races in California.

Get over yourself, seriously.

It is copium if you have literally no source.

[ProgressiveModerate]

If the remaining ballots in MD-06 are indeed mail-in, I really don't see Trone losing.

That's the thing. In a lot of these House races, things are kinda speculate based on what reporters have said which is usually true but isn't necessarily.

[😥]

Someone tell me if I’m wrong on any of this because the constant bombardment of info

CO-3 seemed D and now appears R
CO-8 seemed D and now appears tilt R?
MD-6 seemed D and now appears R
CA-41 seemed R and could go D….

Which puts the house either 100% R or R with 1 more GOP win?

The Senate races appear to being going D at least in AZ and probably NV

Governors ….Arizona is a tossup and Nevada is a Likely R, Oregon is obviously D despite no call.

NO, but can go either way
NO
NO
Kinda of

Can you just not complain how everything is bad until we get a clearer picture?

[MillennialModerate]

If the remaining ballots in MD-06 are indeed mail-in, I really don't see Trone losing.

What’s the percentage left ?

[LimoLiberal]

Trone has literally a 101% chance of winning MD-06. Zero mail-in ballots counted in Frederick and Montgomery and they will break 70% D. And there are like 30K of them.

[Spectator]

Well I trusted you guys in a lapse of judgement (trust but verify), but in MD-06 the Pub Parrot is ahead and the splits absent a somewhat material variation between counted and uncounted votes (the uncounted votes per the county splits also favor Parrot a bit, and the notion it was the opposite seems to be an urban legend, or at least an Atlas legend), so MD-06 moves in the Torie universe moves from likely Dem to lean Pub. So the Torie projection moves from 219.5 to 220.25.

Where are you seeing this info btw. I'm surprised how remarkably quiet people have been about MD-06.

If Dems lose it, another big L considering it's a Biden + 10 seat in the DC area.

It’s much ado about nothing. Take Frederick County where there’s only about 80k votes in. In 2018, there were over 105k votes cast there. Tyrone will make up the margin in Frederick alone, let alone the Montgomery mail ballots.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

If the remaining ballots in MD-06 are indeed mail-in, I really don't see Trone losing.

That's the thing. In a lot of these House races, things are kinda speculate based on what reporters have said which is usually true but isn't necessarily.

Yeah, that's true.

[Citizen (The) Doctor]

Where did the info come from that CO-08 was called to early?

[GeorgiaModerate]

Someone tell me if I’m wrong on any of this because the constant bombardment of info

CO-3 seemed D and now appears R
CO-8 seemed D and now appears tilt R?
MD-6 seemed D and now appears R
CA-41 seemed R and could go D….

Which puts the house either 100% R or R with 1 more GOP win?

The Senate races appear to being going D at least in AZ and probably NV

Governors ….Arizona is a tossup and Nevada is a Likely R, Oregon is obviously D despite no call.

CO-03 is genuinely a coin flip still
CO-08 is still leaning towards Caravero, but I think the call was premature
MD-06 I'd still rather be Trone given the outstanding vote
CA-41 is going to be interesting. Cali is completely unpredictable and it's done wild things in the past as the votes come in, but I think I'd rather be Rollins

I think I'd call NV-GOV Lean R given the percentage D's are winning in the urban mail ballots.

[Torie]

Well I trusted you guys in a lapse of judgement (trust but verify), but in MD-06 the Pub Parrot is ahead and the splits absent a somewhat material variation between counted and uncounted votes (the uncounted votes per the county splits also favor Parrot a bit, and the notion it was the opposite seems to be an urban legend, or at least an Atlas legend), so MD-06 moves in the Torie universe moves from likely Dem to lean Pub. So the Torie projection moves from 219.5 to 220.25.

Where are you seeing this info btw. I'm surprised how remarkably quiet people have been about MD-06.

If Dems lose it, another big L considering it's a Biden + 10 seat in the DC area.

I look at CNN for the county splits and percentage of vote counted.

But shouldn't you use a breakdown of the type of votes outstanding when you make your projections?

Sure if there is any info in the public square that I don't know, and some other Atlasian does.
Do you have some info you want to share to enlighten all of Atlasia, and perhaps cause great rejoicing, or at least declare that it is beer time?

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

If the remaining ballots in MD-06 are indeed mail-in, I really don't see Trone losing.

What’s the percentage left ?

I'd like to know as much as you.

[It’s so Joever]

Trone has literally a 101% chance of winning MD-06. Zero mail-in ballots counted in Frederick and Montgomery and they will break 70% D. And there are like 30K of them.

Where are you getting this?

[ProgressiveModerate]

Where did the info come from that CO-08 was called to early?

I'm just saying based on the info I have now, I personally wouldn't call it, but the networks and Kirkmeyer campaign may have more info than us. I also said some of the NY House calls were premature, but they ended up being correct, at least so far.

[Anti-Trump Truth Socialite JD Vance Enjoying Juror]

Is there any kind of schedule for updates on the competitive races today?

[Oryxslayer]

Frisch just netted about 160 votes but not from Pueblo, not sure from where

Pitkin? They said they had 100+ votes left

La Plata

https://twitter.com/GalenMetzger1/status/1590846625043578885?s=20&t=sE66V2sK...

[Minnesota Mike]

Trone has literally a 101% chance of winning MD-06. Zero mail-in ballots counted in Frederick and Montgomery and they will break 70% D. And there are like 30K of them.

Very small ballot dump in MD-06 from bright red Garrett County, Trone 862 - Parrot 652. If absentees are are coming in like that in an 80% Republican county Trone is a lock.