Florida 2022 Megathread

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

When we get results I have it colored D just in case it turns blue because FL is the first Battleground state up I know it's a 303 map but Rs stl think Oz is gonna win too and Mastriano and Oz are down 51/39 more than Crist and Demings you have Ancestor Democrat s think Oz is gonna win, he's not

Then it's NC and we're gonna win PA, NY and NH then it's battleground OH, WI and IL and skip TX we're gonna win Cali, WA and NV and GA is going to Runoff

[JMT]

https://twitter.com/mdixon55/status/1564950298346545152?s=21&t=WWM15TbkaUZ8_...

[Sir Mohamed]

https://twitter.com/mdixon55/status/1564950298346545152?s=21&t=WWM15TbkaUZ8_...

Awww, as if our majority wasn't close enough already. Really should stay till January. He's not going to win the governorship anyways.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://twitter.com/mdixon55/status/1564950298346545152?s=21&t=WWM15TbkaUZ8_...

Awww, as if our majority wasn't close enough already. Really should stay till January. He's not going to win the governorship anyways.

Lol , we're gonna pickup AK and replace him, you really can't wait until EDay to declare Crist Doomed lol stop Dooming until Crist or DeSantis are declared the winner

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rubio only up 1 and Crist down by 3, blue wave DeSantis isn't winning by 8

[UWS]

https://www.foxnews.com/media/trust-linked-gavin-newsoms-in-laws-made-contribution-desantis-pac

[ProgressiveModerate]

https://www.foxnews.com/media/trust-linked-gavin-newsoms-in-laws-made-contribution-desantis-pac

Tbf, we see children/relatives of GOP politicians publicly anti-endorse them all the time so this doesn't really mean much. I think it does show how even in these political families that are associated with a certain brand of politics, there can still be internal political divides.

[2016]

UWS,
Check this out: Karla Hernandez-Mats Selection as running mate for Crist did not go over so well with the Miami Herald Editorial Board. The Miami Herald is her Home Town Paper too.
https://twitter.com/DeSantisWarRoom/status/1565742775831875585
I told you that this MARX Woman would be a complete Disaster for Crist.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Newsom is a terrible Gov in Cali the only reason why Calis rejected Elder because Leader McCarthy isnt well liked by Cali residents because he protects Matt GAETZ and Gingrich impeached Bill Clinton on sex crimes and Matt GAETZ is pals with DeSantis

But, Cali is bad

[Mr. Matt]

[2016]

Florida Republicans once again expand Voter Registration Edge by almost 34,000 Voters, 33,873 to 262,827.

https://twitter.com/mantlehog/status/1565700740684955651

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Florida Republicans once again expand Voter Registration Edge by almost 34,000 Voters, 33,873 to 262,827.

https://twitter.com/mantlehog/status/1565700740684955651

GOP GAINED 40,000 NEW VOTERS! MIDTERMS NEUTRAL -> R+15

[2016]

You cannot be serious with this, can you?

https://twitter.com/FLVoiceNews/status/1566063467844358152

That Women has some serious mental issues telling Volunteers to wear masks outside in 90 Degree Fahrenheit.

What bollocks!!!

[Calthrina950]

You cannot be serious with this, can you?

https://twitter.com/FLVoiceNews/status/1566063467844358152

That Women has some serious mental issues telling Volunteers to wear masks outside in 90 Degree Fahrenheit.

What bollocks!!!

I don't know why Crist went with this woman as his running mate. I can't imagine that teacher's unions are that popular right now in a state like Florida. Yes, that she is a Hispanic woman from Miami-Dade County would be a characteristic expected to bolster Crist there, but her policy positions and her background effectively negate the advantages that this could confer.

[SnowLabrador]

I mean, I don't think it mattered much who he picked. DeSantis was never losing. But Florida is demographic whac-a-mole for Democrats. Biden did well enough in rural areas to win the state, but collapsed in Miami-Dade. Even if this helps Crist in Miami-Dade, the rest of the state will swing rightward. That's just how Florida works.

[2016]

You cannot be serious with this, can you?

https://twitter.com/FLVoiceNews/status/1566063467844358152

That Women has some serious mental issues telling Volunteers to wear masks outside in 90 Degree Fahrenheit.

What bollocks!!!

I don't know why Crist went with this woman as his running mate. I can't imagine that teacher's unions are that popular right now in a state like Florida. Yes, that she is a Hispanic woman from Miami-Dade County would be a characteristic expected to bolster Crist there, but her policy positions and her background effectively negate the advantages that this could confer.

Imagine what a Crist/Hernandez Administration would do if they're telling Volunteers to wear masks in that sort of heat. They lock the whole State down and Florida is going back to the Heat of the COVID-Pandemic Terms!

USA has for goodness to realize that we are in an Endemic not a Pandemic.

I mean there is an obvious reason she is nicknamed Karla MARX!

[Hollywood]

Christ doesn't stand a chance against DeSantis.  Even if Republicans didn't have a greater advantage this cycle, I think the Governor would still be able to pull Rubio over the top against Demming. 

I am outright rejecting polls due to bias, because I've taken two surveys already.  They don't include the party of the candidates, and they allow you to change answers after they ask you biased questions that defame Rubio and DeSantis.  The most recent poll asked who I'm voting for Governor, and then asked me whether if I agree with DeSantis' policy of, and I'm paraphrasing, 'banning masks from schools and then focusing on prohibitions against discussing LGBT and Women's Rights Issues in School'.  I answered 'don't know', because it wouldn't let me skip.

Three problems with the question:
1) DeSantis never banned masks from school, but instead, prohibited mask mandates
2) Desantis did not prohibit discussions of Women's Rights.  That one is just complete BS.
3) The Parental Rights Act does not prohibit casual conversation about LGBT issues, but rather classroom instruction about sexual conduct and relations with students in third grade or younger.   

[2016]

@Hollywood,
Great to have you back and speaking TRUTH about these Polls

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's only 46/45 Rubio and 48/45 DeSathis aren't blowout numbers

Crist maynot win but we don't need the Governorship all pundits are predicting Ryan and Demings have a 50/50 chance over Crist and Nan W and Beasley, we will be watching OH, NC and FL Sen races and FL 15 and NC 13

[2016]

It's only 46/45 Rubio and 48/45 DeSathis aren't blowout numbers

Crist maynot win but we don't need the Governorship all pundits are predicting Ryan and Demings have a 50/50 chance over Crist and Nan W and Beasley, we will be watching OH, NC and FL Sen races and FL 15 and NC 13

You still don't get it. To win in Florida as a Democrat or have a chance to win you need to be at 48 % or above, what Gillum posted in 2018 throughout the entirety of the Campaign. And Crist & Demings are both at 45 %

All the Polls you mentioned are Democratic PUSH-POLLS who have a Democratic Agenda. We haven't seen one Independent Poll in Florida in 3 Months.

Like the User @Hollywood mentioned:
A) DeSantis never banned Masks from Schools, that is just a blatant lie by Democrats.
B) DeSantis never prohibted discussions about Womens & LGBT Rights. That is a total LIE by the Democrats.

538 has DeSantis with an 94-6 Chance winning the Election
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/governor/florida/

538 gives Rubio an 88-12 Chance winning the Election
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/florida/

538 gives Tedd Budd 63-37 Chance of winning BUT look where Beasley is. Like Demings she is stuck between 42-45 %. That's not good enough to win in NC
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/north-carolina/

Finally 538 gives JD Vance a 74 % Chance of winning
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/ohio/
Whether you like it or not almost all of the Undecided Voters in Ohio are Blue Collar White Working Class Voters and they will come home to Vance eventually.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Vance has lost every poll except Traggy and Ryan is at 50(47 Ryan is definitely gonna win and Budd has been tied in every poll

That Impact poll that shows Ryan up is a reputable poll it is an AARP all the Vance and Ryan leafs are all 3/5 pts within MOE

Just a note on 2008 Liddy Dole and Gordon Smith were favored to win they LOST, and don't give me Iraq War as an excuse, because Bush W had similar Approvals as Trump

Chambliss was expecting to win by a landslide and he had to go to a runoff and Ted Stevens was favored whom was Veep back then Joe Biden he campaign his butt off for Merkley, Hagen and Begich

The same rule applies as in OH, NC and FL all the internals had Gordon Smith, Liddy Dole and Ted Stevens

It's wave insurance but the maps are blank on EDay just like Rs were underdogs in netting H seats 538 gave D's a 56% of netting H seats D's can overperform on the Senate side

Rs never talk about 538 and how it gave Rs a very low chance if netting H seats, the same rule applies and Biden hasn't been impeached Trump has

[ProgressiveModerate]

It's only 46/45 Rubio and 48/45 DeSathis aren't blowout numbers

Crist maynot win but we don't need the Governorship all pundits are predicting Ryan and Demings have a 50/50 chance over Crist and Nan W and Beasley, we will be watching OH, NC and FL Sen races and FL 15 and NC 13

You still don't get it. To win in Florida as a Democrat or have a chance to win you need to be at 48 % or above, what Gillum posted in 2018 throughout the entirety of the Campaign. And Crist & Demings are both at 45 %

All the Polls you mentioned are Democratic PUSH-POLLS who have a Democratic Agenda. We haven't seen one Independent Poll in Florida in 3 Months.

Like the User @Hollywood mentioned:
A) DeSantis never banned Masks from Schools, that is just a blatant lie by Democrats.
B) DeSantis never prohibted discussions about Womens & LGBT Rights. That is a total LIE by the Democrats.

538 has DeSantis with an 94-6 Chance winning the Election
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/governor/florida/

538 gives Rubio an 88-12 Chance winning the Election
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/florida/

538 gives Tedd Budd 63-37 Chance of winning BUT look where Beasley is. Like Demings she is stuck between 42-45 %. That's not good enough to win in NC
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/north-carolina/

Finally 538 gives JD Vance a 74 % Chance of winning
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/ohio/
Whether you like it or not almost all of the Undecided Voters in Ohio are Blue Collar White Working Class Voters and they will come home to Vance eventually.

Generally a good rule is if on EDay the Dem is polling above 49.5%, they’re prolly favored whereas if they’re below 49.5% they lose. As EDay comes closer, both sides should gain a bit in the polls but there’s a HUGE difference between a Dem being at 47% and 50%. The only 2 competative Dems who are already at or close to the % they need are Fetterman and Kelly; we’ll see how that holds up.

Secondly, polls tend to be bad at picking up turnout dynamics. If turnout dynamics are lopsided in an unexpected way what I said above could be null.

[2016]

It's only 46/45 Rubio and 48/45 DeSathis aren't blowout numbers

Crist maynot win but we don't need the Governorship all pundits are predicting Ryan and Demings have a 50/50 chance over Crist and Nan W and Beasley, we will be watching OH, NC and FL Sen races and FL 15 and NC 13

You still don't get it. To win in Florida as a Democrat or have a chance to win you need to be at 48 % or above, what Gillum posted in 2018 throughout the entirety of the Campaign. And Crist & Demings are both at 45 %

All the Polls you mentioned are Democratic PUSH-POLLS who have a Democratic Agenda. We haven't seen one Independent Poll in Florida in 3 Months.

Like the User @Hollywood mentioned:
A) DeSantis never banned Masks from Schools, that is just a blatant lie by Democrats.
B) DeSantis never prohibted discussions about Womens & LGBT Rights. That is a total LIE by the Democrats.

538 has DeSantis with an 94-6 Chance winning the Election
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/governor/florida/

538 gives Rubio an 88-12 Chance winning the Election
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/florida/

538 gives Tedd Budd 63-37 Chance of winning BUT look where Beasley is. Like Demings she is stuck between 42-45 %. That's not good enough to win in NC
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/north-carolina/

Finally 538 gives JD Vance a 74 % Chance of winning
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/ohio/
Whether you like it or not almost all of the Undecided Voters in Ohio are Blue Collar White Working Class Voters and they will come home to Vance eventually.

Generally a good rule is if on EDay the Dem is polling above 49.5%, they’re prolly favored whereas if they’re below 49.5% they lose. As EDay comes closer, both sides should gain a bit in the polls but there’s a HUGE difference between a Dem being at 47% and 50%. The only 2 competative Dems who are already at or close to the % they need are Fetterman and Kelly; we’ll see how that holds up.

Secondly, polls tend to be bad at picking up turnout dynamics. If turnout dynamics are lopsided in an unexpected way what I said above could be null.

I think Fetterman & Kelly will win.

Be honest: Do you really believe Ryan has a chance to beat Vance. From the Polling Data out of Ohio we have thus far it looks like the bulk of the Undecided Voters are Non-College Educated Blue Collar White Working Class Whites and those are Trump Voters.

[ProgressiveModerate]

It's only 46/45 Rubio and 48/45 DeSathis aren't blowout numbers

Crist maynot win but we don't need the Governorship all pundits are predicting Ryan and Demings have a 50/50 chance over Crist and Nan W and Beasley, we will be watching OH, NC and FL Sen races and FL 15 and NC 13

You still don't get it. To win in Florida as a Democrat or have a chance to win you need to be at 48 % or above, what Gillum posted in 2018 throughout the entirety of the Campaign. And Crist & Demings are both at 45 %

All the Polls you mentioned are Democratic PUSH-POLLS who have a Democratic Agenda. We haven't seen one Independent Poll in Florida in 3 Months.

Like the User @Hollywood mentioned:
A) DeSantis never banned Masks from Schools, that is just a blatant lie by Democrats.
B) DeSantis never prohibted discussions about Womens & LGBT Rights. That is a total LIE by the Democrats.

538 has DeSantis with an 94-6 Chance winning the Election
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/governor/florida/

538 gives Rubio an 88-12 Chance winning the Election
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/florida/

538 gives Tedd Budd 63-37 Chance of winning BUT look where Beasley is. Like Demings she is stuck between 42-45 %. That's not good enough to win in NC
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/north-carolina/

Finally 538 gives JD Vance a 74 % Chance of winning
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/ohio/
Whether you like it or not almost all of the Undecided Voters in Ohio are Blue Collar White Working Class Voters and they will come home to Vance eventually.

Generally a good rule is if on EDay the Dem is polling above 49.5%, they’re prolly favored whereas if they’re below 49.5% they lose. As EDay comes closer, both sides should gain a bit in the polls but there’s a HUGE difference between a Dem being at 47% and 50%. The only 2 competative Dems who are already at or close to the % they need are Fetterman and Kelly; we’ll see how that holds up.

Secondly, polls tend to be bad at picking up turnout dynamics. If turnout dynamics are lopsided in an unexpected way what I said above could be null.

I think Fetterman & Kelly will win.

Be honest: Do you really believe Ryan has a chance to beat Vance. From the Polling Data out of Ohio we have thus far it looks like the bulk of the Undecided Voters are Non-College Educated Blue Collar White Working Class Whites and those are Trump Voters.

No barring pretty extraordinary circumstances which would likely already allowed Dems a decent Senate and Housr majority. It may be closer than Rs would like though.

[EastwoodS]

Why do y’all even try to argue with this olawakandi fool? Can’t y’all see he’s a bot account?