Florida 2022 Megathread

[lfromnj]

Charlie's running

Is the Florida governor mansion like just a really nice place to live ? Why does the man so want to be governor again ?

A 10% chance at winning a Gubernatorial race, is better than a 5% chance at winning a house seat after redistricting.

[lfromnj]

Charlie's running

Is the Florida governor mansion like just a really nice place to live ? Why does the man so want to be governor again ?

A 10% chance at winning a Gubernatorial race, is better than a 5% chance at winning a house seat after redistricting.

This is not the reason.

If he really wanted to run,why not run in 2018 for an open seat in what was shaping to be a favorable midterm?

[lfromnj]

Hung out at Trump's DC Hotel means... they had some kind of intimate relationship? Ugh, ugh.

Im probably guessing Weed lobbying lol.

Is that surprising the "dude weed lmao" AG woman would lobby one of the few Republicans and especially one from her state that supports weed legalization.

[lfromnj]

https://twitter.com/CharlieCrist/status/1454485752532946949

Unfortunately for FL Democrats they can't be Josh Mandel and still win.

[lfromnj]

https://twitter.com/BrianElections/status/1470086281975582721

[lfromnj]

https://twitter.com/NikkiFried/status/1472266564212871172

[lfromnj]

https://mobile.twitter.com/NikkiFried/status/1478530049078874113

Unlike Mandel she can't win the general.

[lfromnj]

https://mobile.twitter.com/Fla_Pol/status/1518672769420075008

Desantis got what he wants and he finally gives his crucial endorsement .

[lfromnj]

This is good news. FL-27 is still Lean R but she was not gonna win gov (priamry or GE) and is prolly one of the best canidates on the D side for the district.

She holds a Trump + 6 2020 seat in the state Senate and has respectable wins in the past, though she's no electoral titan who's a shoe-win. A lot of this race will come down to how special (or not special) Trump's 2020 performance was. Salazar could've had the district easily locked down for the decade but she's become progressively more conservative, and while she did overperform Trump in 2020, some of that could've been she was facing Shalala.

She holds a Trump +6 seat solely because the seat was up in 2018. She would have been cooked in 2020. Its likely r.

[lfromnj]

This is good news. FL-27 is still Lean R but she was not gonna win gov (priamry or GE) and is prolly one of the best canidates on the D side for the district.

She holds a Trump + 6 2020 seat in the state Senate and has respectable wins in the past, though she's no electoral titan who's a shoe-win. A lot of this race will come down to how special (or not special) Trump's 2020 performance was. Salazar could've had the district easily locked down for the decade but she's become progressively more conservative, and while she did overperform Trump in 2020, some of that could've been she was facing Shalala.

She holds a Trump +6 seat solely because the seat was up in 2018. She would have been cooked in 2020. Its likely r.

You could make the argument Trumps (and Salazar’s) performance was specific to the 2020 electorate. Both 2016 and 2020 are quite abnormal years in Miami so it’s a bit hard to tell.

It's a Trump (+1) seat with an incumbent who outperformed Trump by 7 points as the challenger. Likely R is being generous. Yes I know Taddeo is clearly a better candidate than Shalala but it simply does not matter here.