Largest city in each state that Trump won

[NOVA Green]

Arizona: Mesa
Colorado: Colorado Springs?
Connecticut: Southington
Florida: Hialeah
Maine: Standish
Massachussetts: Dracut
New Hampshire: Derry
New Jersey: Lakewood
Pennsylvania: Altoona
Rhode Island: Coventry
Texas: Lubbock
Vermont: Derby
Wisconsin: Waukesha

New England makes this easy.

I like this thread and looking forward to adding / crunching numbers once we get precinct results.

For anybody who wants a bit of a frame of reference, here is the 2020 thread which TDAS04 started:

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=386520.msg7497338#msg7497338

Here is a link to the 2016 equivalent thread started by ncLib:

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=272471.msg5816898#msg5816898

Arkansas: Fort Smith appears to likely be a Trump 2020 hold, even though ~6% of votes still haven't been reported by the County (NYT).

[NOVA Green]

South Dakota- #1 City- Sioux Falls Confirmed for Trump (44.1k R vs 40.9k D)--- 87.4k TV

50.4% TRUMP- 46.8% BIDEN    (+3.6% TRUMP).

South Dakota has now certified their election results, so these should be final numbers.





HONESTLY DON'T KNOW WHERE TO START WITH THIS???

1.) Sioux Falls +6.7% DEM SWING

2.) + 14,960 TV increase from '16 > '20

3.) Lincoln County parts of Sioux Falls swung +8.7% D vs in Mennehaha County only 6.4% D.

Not totally sure exactly what's going on there, but I had previously posted on this topic on 9/6/20 looking at educational attainment levels and household incomes by precinct, so it would definitely be a worthwhile subject of investigation---- Counties shifted /added a few precinct lines here and there between '16 and '20 in both Counties, but I'm pretty confident all of the precincts are located within City Limits...

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=386520.msg7562858#msg7562858

[NOVA Green]

Wyoming- #1 City- Cheyenne- Confirmed for Trump (16.1k R vs 11.4 k D)--- 28.8k TV

55.8% TRUMP- 39.6% BIDEN    (+16.2% TRUMP).   + 5.6% DEM SWING

Wyoming has now certified their election results, so these should be final numbers.

Haven't run numbers by precinct yet, but DEM SEN Candidate outperformed Biden in Cheyenne it appears, and likely the DEM running against Liz Cheney.

For whatever reason I haven't been able to locate my County / CITY PRES data-sets from '08 to '16, so apologies for not having a more detailed breakdown.

Could always locate them as needed, but lots of other data am looking at elsewhere.

[NOVA Green]

Alaska- #1 Anchorage- Too Early to Call- 11/12/20 PM Update

To quote a post I made on another thread a few minutes ago:

https://twitter.com/Eggymceggerson3/status/1327063771290931203?s=20

Indeed. The last batch of votes went like this:

Biden +15,690
Trump +8,761

It also appears that Biden is likely currently ahead in Anchorage Alaska...

I crunched the 11/12/20 PM batch into the mix and currently Trump is leading by only (396) Votes.

This include State House Districts 12-28, and HD-12 is a "Partial Anchorage" district, where the four non-City precincts are overwhelmingly Republican.

Including HD-12 ALL, current % numbers are 48.4% Trump- 48.2% Biden   (+0.2% Trump).

I had previously attempted to review Anchorage Alaska 2016 numbers in a post on 8/8/20:

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=386520.msg7502296#msg7502296

2016: Anchorage Alaska (Excluding the Absentee Ballots from HD-12) was 48.6% Trump- 39.6% Biden   (+9.0% R)

Here is a link to my Anchorage Alaska Update on 11/10/20 on this very thread:

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=409870.msg7761321#msg7761321

Also it looks like there are still some votes potentially out in Anchorage in HD-15 & HD-19 at a minimum, and quite possibly some of the other HD's showing only ~50% Turnout (TO).

[NOVA Green]

New Hampshire--- Largest Trump City- #5 Rochester-

*** Note Write-Ins Not Included in Total Numbers ***

Trump-         8,367   (49.7%)        (+1.4% Trump)    +8.8% DEM SWING '16-'20
Biden-          8,132   (48.3%)
Libertarian-      346     
TOTAL-        16,845   


2016:

Trump-        7,789    (52.2%)       (+10.2% Trump)
Clinton-       6,267    (42.0%)
Misc-             879     ( 5.9%)
TOTAL-        14,935

[NOVA Green]

Alaska- #1 Anchorage- Too Early to Call- 11/12/20 PM Update

To quote a post I made on another thread a few minutes ago:

https://twitter.com/Eggymceggerson3/status/1327063771290931203?s=20

Indeed. The last batch of votes went like this:

Biden +15,690
Trump +8,761

It also appears that Biden is likely currently ahead in Anchorage Alaska...

I crunched the 11/12/20 PM batch into the mix and currently Trump is leading by only (396) Votes.

This include State House Districts 12-28, and HD-12 is a "Partial Anchorage" district, where the four non-City precincts are overwhelmingly Republican.

Including HD-12 ALL, current % numbers are 48.4% Trump- 48.2% Biden   (+0.2% Trump).

I had previously attempted to review Anchorage Alaska 2016 numbers in a post on 8/8/20:

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=386520.msg7502296#msg7502296

2016: Anchorage Alaska (Excluding the Absentee Ballots from HD-12) was 48.6% Trump- 39.6% Biden   (+9.0% R)

Here is a link to my Anchorage Alaska Update on 11/10/20 on this very thread:

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=409870.msg7761321#msg7761321

Also it looks like there are still some votes potentially out in Anchorage in HD-15 & HD-19 at a minimum, and quite possibly some of the other HD's showing only ~50% Turnout (TO).

Alaska did another vote dump today, and to quote from my Update on the Election Results Thread :

Trump-  +10,110
Biden-   +11,336

It went from the 11/12 numbers:

Trump- 168,954 (53.6%)    +12.0% Trump
Biden-  131,233 (41.6%)

Here are the 11/13 numbers:

Trump- 179,064 (53.0%)    +10.8% Trump.
Biden-  142,569 (42.2%)

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=409870.msg7769078#msg7769078

Now we have updated numbers from Alaska State House Districts, as part of that vote dump and we see the following from Anchorage based House Districts (Including HD-12 which is a split district between the City and Non-City precincts).



Trump actually expanded his lead in Anchorage based State House districts from +396 Trump to +775 Trump.

This was largely a result of additional numbers from more heavily Trump House Districts...

Still, why did NOVA GREEN call Anchorage as too early to call?

1.) Alaskan House District Numbers look suspiciously low in HD-15 and HD-19 (Roughly only 40% Turnout).

2.) We did not really have an idea in a High Turnout Election about how many votes were actually floating out there in different parts of the City.

3.) Most Importantly: HD-12 is split between the City of Anchorage and (4) Rural Precincts:

Fairview #1
Fairview #2
Snowshoe
Butte

I did not subtract their numbers from the Anchorage math yet....

Collectively according to the latest precinct data from the Alaska SoS these four precinct not part of Anchorage:

https://www.elections.alaska.gov/results/20GENR/resultsbyprecinct.txt

Trump: 2,502    (83.4% Trump)
Biden:   388      (12.9% Biden)
Misc:     109      ( 3.6%  Misc)
TOTAL: 2,999

Trump +2,114   (+70.5% Trump Margins).

Subtract Trump, Biden, and Misc numbers from the Total Anchorage House District numbers above, and it looks like currently Biden is winning Anchorage by something like  +1,339 Votes.

Trump: 65,355
Biden:  66,694 

I stand by Anchorage is Too Early to Call, but really I'm finding it a bit difficult to see where Trump can scrape up the votes here...      

[NOVA Green]

Vermont- #20 Fair Haven

2020:

Trump: 647   (48.9%)        (+1.7% R)   +2.7% DEM Swing 2016 to 2020
Biden:  624   (47.2%)
MISC:    52    ( 3.9%)
TOTAL:  1,323

2016:

Trump:   529   (46.0%)      +4.4% R
Clinton:  478   (41.6%)
Misc:      142   (12.4%)
TOTAL:   1,149

[NOVA Green]

Louisiana: #4 Lafayette- Too Frustrated to Call

So I just recently spent 30 Minutes of my Life manually transcribing precinct level results from Lafayette County Louisiana to see if it might have flipped between '16 and '20 (According to reagente's research in 2016 it was only (48.2 % Trump and 46.0% HRC)

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=272471.msg5833956#msg5833956

I spent all of that time only to find out at the end of the day there is a huge bucket of votes classified as early votes and not broken down by Municipality, let alone precinct.

Frustrated to all frackin' hell, but let that be a lesson to all of you Atlas precinct number crunchers, desperate for data, only to end up finding that the county numbers are not compatible with results and reporting structures from previous elections.

Sigh... not even going to post the numbers I have compiled at this point.

[NOVA Green]

South Carolina- #4- Mount Pleasant- Confirmed for Trump

SC has now certified their election results, so here's the data I pulled off from the ENR engine.

I spot checked Charleston and North Charleston and both looked like straight-forward Biden victories as expected.

2020: Mt Pleasant

Trump: 31,901      (53.6%)      (+8.8% Trump)
Biden:  26,676      (44.8%)
Misc:        992      (  1.7%)     
Total:   59,569

2016: Mt Pleasant

*** Results not inclusive because in 2016 Charleston County did not add absentee votes back into the Totals by precinct--- one of my HUGE pet peeves, so these numbers are for illustrative purposes only ***

Trump:  15,225     (53.7%)
HRC  :   10,729     (37.8%)
Misc  :    2,417      ( 8.5%)
Total :   28,371

[NOVA Green]

South Carolina- #4- Mount Pleasant- Confirmed for Trump

SC has now certified their election results, so here's the data I pulled off from the ENR engine.

I spot checked Charleston and North Charleston and both looked like straight-forward Biden victories as expected.

2020: Mt Pleasant

Trump: 31,901      (53.6%)      (+8.8% Trump)
Biden:  26,676      (44.8%)
Misc:        992      (  1.7%)     
Total:   59,569

2016: Mt Pleasant

*** Results not inclusive because in 2016 Charleston County did not add absentee votes back into the Totals by precinct--- one of my HUGE pet peeves, so these numbers are for illustrative purposes only ***

Trump:  15,225     (53.7%)
HRC  :   10,729     (37.8%)
Misc  :    2,417      ( 8.5%)
Total :   28,371

Interesting how almost all “other” votes went Biden while Trump’s margin stayed the same. 

Similar patterns we have seen in many other places IMHO, especially those with extremely high levels of 2016 3rd Party votes....

[NOVA Green]

North Dakota- #1 Fargo- Confirmed Trump > Biden Flip

Fargo: (City Only Precincts)  +10.0% Biden Swing (!!!)
Fargo: (Split Precincts)         +7.8%  Biden Swing (!)
Fargo: (City + Split)             +8.8% Biden Swing



Here are the 2016 comparative numbers:




North Dakota- # 2 Bismarck- Confirmed Trump 2020:



*** I would do a 2016 to 2020 compare / contrast, but the precinct names / coding, etc appear to have shifted between these two elections, so I can't get an "apples to apples comparison"...

I could try running a stab against precinct locations, if it's really up someone's area of interest, but personally not sure it's the best use of my time at this point.  ***

[NOVA Green]

Oregon- #8- MEDFORD- TRUMP HOLD

I already looked at precinct results for Portland, Gresham, and scanned over Hillsboro & Beaverton.

It's also pretty clear unless something totally bizarre happened that Biden won Salem, Eugene, and Bend.

2020 GE PRES:

Trump:   22,170   (50.3%)       +4.0% R       (+8.1% D Swing 2016 to 2020)
Biden:    20,402   (46.3%)
Misc:       1,466    ( 3.3%)
TOTAL:  44,038                       +20.6% increase from 2020 TV

2016 GE PRES:

Trump:   18,463   (50.6%)       +12.1% R
HRC:      14,045   (38.5%)
Misc:       4,013    (11.0%)
TOTAL:   36,521

I will be exploring in further detail on my 2020 OR PRES GE Thread before too long.

It does look like my assessment prior to the election was pretty close in that if Biden flipped Medford, he would likely end up winning Jackson County, Oregon.

[NOVA Green]

Oregon- #8- MEDFORD- TRUMP HOLD

I already looked at precinct results for Portland, Gresham, and scanned over Hillsboro & Beaverton.

It's also pretty clear unless something totally bizarre happened that Biden won Salem, Eugene, and Bend.

2020 GE PRES:

Trump:   22,170   (50.3%)       +4.0% R       (+8.1% D Swing 2016 to 2020)
Biden:    20,402   (46.3%)
Misc:       1,466    ( 3.3%)
TOTAL:  44,038                       +20.6% increase from 2020 TV

2016 GE PRES:

Trump:   18,463   (50.6%)       +12.1% R
HRC:      14,045   (38.5%)
Misc:       4,013    (11.0%)
TOTAL:   36,521

I will be exploring in further detail on my 2020 OR PRES GE Thread before too long.

It does look like my assessment prior to the election was pretty close in that if Biden flipped Medford, he would likely end up winning Jackson County, Oregon.

Which is odd as usually biggest city votes to left of county.  But it appears in Jackson County, its Ashland that makes it close as while smaller in size, Biden won that by close to 60 points.  Large university there so not a total surprise as usually Democrats win big in college towns.

IIRC: Southern Oregon State University (Used to be SOSC) is actually relatively small in terms of the total % of voters in Ashland.

Ashland is more a mixture of an older style "counter-culture" city from the '70s / '80s, which relies heavily on Tourism (Oregon Shakespearean Festival), not to mention wealthier liberal Californians who have increasingly gentrified the City.   

You also have some of the "Ski Bum" population types since Mount Ashland is a pretty damn good Ski Resort in Southern Oregon for those who dig that kind of thing....

Back to Medford, it appears upon my brief survey (which I will go into elsewhere) that Biden was able to continue to hold HRC '16 gains in the more upper-middle-class and educated precincts of East Medford.

Still, I will need to review that further since precinct lines changed between '18 and '20 (GRRH... pet peeve of mine changing precinct lines prior to redistricting)....

[NOVA Green]

UTAH- #3- Provo- 2020- Trump HOLD:

2020:

Trump:   22,086    (54.9%)       +18.2% R      (+2.0% DEM SWING '16-'20)
Biden:    14,787    (36.7%)
Misc:       3,368     ( 8.4%)
Total:     40,241                        +23.2% Increase in TV 2016 to 2020.                                           

2016:

Trump:   12,857    (39.4%)       +20.2% R
HRC:        6,277    (19.2%)
Misc:      13,530    (41.4%) 
Total:     32,664

[NOVA Green]

UTAH- #3- Provo- 2020- Trump HOLD:

2020:

Trump:   22,086    (54.9%)       +18.2% R      (+2.0% DEM SWING '16-'20)
Biden:    14,787    (36.7%)
Misc:       3,368     ( 8.4%)
Total:     40,241                        +23.2% Increase in TV 2016 to 2020.                                           

2016:

Trump:   12,857    (39.4%)       +20.2% R
HRC:        6,277    (19.2%)
Misc:      13,530    (41.4%) 
Total:     32,664

That's incredible! Dems more than doubling their vote share since 2012. Looks like Biden got ~60% of McMullin voters.

Possibly the case...

Trump netted something like +7k in '20 vs 6.6k in '16...

McMullin voters in many parts of UT likely broke something like 60-40 Biden, Other Places 50-50, and in certain places 40-60.

Maybe Desert Times '20 polling numbers had a heartbeat on the pulse of UT voters earlier in the election season, and late breakers voted Trump?

I believe I already posted the numbers from the precincts of BYU on another thread....

[NOVA Green]

Oregon- #8- MEDFORD- TRUMP HOLD

Makes sense, seeing as the one time I've been to Medford, OR, the experience consisted of me buying oil for my car and having some guys come up to me and tell me I was putting oil in my engine wrong, the car was broken, and they could "take it off my hands" for a couple thousand dollars.

Must be a relative of the gas station attendant who once told me that my car needed a new water pump.

It was a 1969 Volkswagen Beetle.

Off topic, but Oregon is one of the two states you still cannot pump your own gas legally although I think from certain hours if in a rural county self service allowed.  New Jersey is other one that bans self service.

Off topic as well, but there are plenty of Gas Station attendants in Medford (Since it is the largest City off of I-5 between Redding and Eugene-Springfield OR.

The advantage of not being able to pump your own gas provides plenty of jobs in OR (Just like Budtenders are now since Recreational Legalization of MJ).

I have not been to Medford since I drove back to OR after having lived in TX for Four Years back in 2015, and did not have an unfortunate Gas Station attendant issue thank goodness, although I have had a few *interesting* experiences in Medford over the Years.

Interestingly enough, I threw out the possibility of moving to Medford with my Spouse a few Months back, since she grew up in the Rogue Valley, and I was trying to convince her that Medford of 2020, was not the same Medford of the 1980s.

[NOVA Green]

Ohio just dumped all of their precinct results in one easily downloadable Excel spreadsheet earlier today.

I posted the results for the (10) largest Cities between '16 and '20 on another thread:

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=412697.msg7798173#msg7798173

So the cross-post the numbers from elsewhere: Parma, Ohio- TRUMP 2020 HOLD


"7.) Parma- 2020

              Biden:       18,183   (46.7%)        +5.3% Trump      (+1.4% PUB Swing '16 > '20)
              Trump:      20,253   (52.0%)
              Misc:             540   ( 1.4%)   
              Total:        38,976                      +9.5% from 2016 Total Votes

          Parma- 2016

              HRC:        16,268    (45.7%)       +3.9% Trump     
              Trump:     17,649    (49.6%)
              Misc:         1,672    (4.7%)
              Total:       35,589[/i]"

[NOVA Green]

New Hampshire--- Largest Trump City- #5 Rochester-

*** Note Write-Ins Not Included in Total Numbers ***

Trump-         8,367   (49.7%)        (+1.4% Trump)    +8.8% DEM SWING '16-'20
Biden-          8,132   (48.3%)
Libertarian-      346     
TOTAL-        16,845   


2016:

Trump-        7,789    (52.2%)       (+10.2% Trump)
Clinton-       6,267    (42.0%)
Misc-             879     ( 5.9%)
TOTAL-        14,935

As far as I'm aware, Derry is slightly larger than Rochester, by about 2k.

So I was pulling my numbers from here:

https://statisticalatlas.com/state/New-Hampshire/Population#figure/place

Are your numbers outdated based upon more recent Census info?

Don't mind adjusting the numbers accordingly, but am trying to be consistent about ranking of City POP, recognizing that POP numbers can and will shift around.

I believe there was a similar situation where I was trying to predict the largest Trump City in Idaho where #3 became #2, or something of a similar nature...

[NOVA Green]

This has Derry slightly ahead. https://www.newhampshire-demographics.com/cities_by_population

All right, so we have the esteemed poster Nyvin from NH who knows his backyard, and you posted a link from what appears to be more recent census data.

So, you 2nd the motion, and unless someone posts any objections within the next couple hours regarding the current estimated population of both Cities, I will consider the motion passed and move Derry to the top of the list for NH.

Fair enough everyone?

[NOVA Green]

One issue I ran into in the 2016 thread is that in some places, particularly the Northeast, some towns (or townships, etc.) are larger in population than some cities. so the largest city that Trump won in some states is different than the largest municipality that Trump won. IIRC, Derry, NH is a town and Rochester, NH is a city. So if Trump won both of them, there could be a discrepancy between largest city that Trump won in NH and than the largest municipality that Trump won in NH.

Good point nclib---

Hadn't considered that since it's been awhile since the '16 thread, but you were an active poster / updater, plus New England is not a particular Forte of mine, and I hadn't considered that as part of the reason for the potential discrepancy.

I believe part of the way we looked at the issue in 2016 was largest City or Municipality, so that for example folks would post both numbers for Townships and Cities / Towns in various parts of the US.

Although the title of this particular thread is "Largest City", it might be of interest to either / or post both numbers or simply reframe as the "largest Municipality" as a unit of Government.

Thoughts all y'all?

[NOVA Green]

Arizona- #3- MESA- TRUMP HOLD

2020:

Biden:     108,396      (43.7%)         +10.2% Trump     (+6.1% DEM Swing)
Trump:    133,673      (53.9%)
Misc:          5,765       ( 2.3%)
Total:      247,948                           +34.1% increase from 2016 to 2020      

2016:

HRC:       68,370        (37.0%)        +16.5% Trump
Trump:    99,022        (53.5%)
Misc:       17,569        ( 9.5%)  
Total:     184,961

[NOVA Green]

Kansas- #1 Wichita- Confirmed Trump Hold

+7.4% Biden Swing        +17.0% Total Vote increase 2016 > 2020 GE PRES

[NOVA Green]

Ohio just dumped all of their precinct results in one easily downloadable Excel spreadsheet earlier today.

I posted the results for the (10) largest Cities between '16 and '20 on another thread:

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=412697.msg7798173#msg7798173

So the cross-post the numbers from elsewhere: Parma, Ohio- TRUMP 2020 HOLD


"7.) Parma- 2020

              Biden:       18,183   (46.7%)        +5.3% Trump      (+1.4% PUB Swing '16 > '20)
              Trump:      20,253   (52.0%)
              Misc:             540   ( 1.4%)   
              Total:        38,976                      +9.5% from 2016 Total Votes

          Parma- 2016

              HRC:        16,268    (45.7%)       +3.9% Trump     
              Trump:     17,649    (49.6%)
              Misc:         1,672    (4.7%)
              Total:       35,589[/i]"

Just thought I'd throw this in as someone who used to live immediately adjacent to Parma - it was solidly Democratic until 2016, and its further rightward movement does not surprise me. It's a white-working-class, formerly white-ethnic, cookie-cutter suburb.

Perhaps the biggest question should be why did Parma move so heavily Republican for President with Trump at the top of the ticket?

Even in 2012, Parma was something like 20,942 (56.6%) Obama vs 15,483 (41.8%) Romney....

[NOVA Green]

Fort Smith- Arkansas- #2: Trump 2020 HOLD

*** It likely includes a small number of unincorporated areas ***

2020 GE PRES:

Biden:         11,475      (39.1%)            +18.2% Trump      (+0.1% Biden Swing)
Trump:        16,820      (57.3%)
Others:         1,038      ( 3.5%)
Total:          29,333 

According to the work our esteemed colleague reagente's work on the 2016 GE "Largest City by State to Vote for Trump Thread, results were as follows for 2016:

Arkansas

Trump wins Fort Smith (#2). Clinton evidently won Little Rock (#1).

Some bits of unincorporated Sebastian County got included in this, but I don't think very many people live in those bits.

Trump - 13,958 (54.92%)
Clinton - 9,301 (36.59%)

I have not attempted to run precinct comparisons between 2016 and 2020, but Fort Smith has an extremely high % of minority residents and a relatively low % of Anglo residents for Arkansas (61%):

18% Latino
9% African-American
6% Asian-American

21% of the population is employed in manufacturing, including one of the largest chicken processing plants in the US ( OK Foods Inc...), as well as Baldor Electric Company...

I am especially interested in where the precinct shifts may or may not have happened based upon Social-Demographics....

The heavily Latino, AAPI, and African-American precincts are all located in the "Northern Neck" of the City where Anglo pop runs only something like 30%.

[NOVA Green]

Fort Smith- Arkansas- #2: Trump 2020 HOLD

*** It likely includes a small number of unincorporated areas ***

2020 GE PRES:

Biden:         11,475      (39.1%)            +18.2% Trump      (+0.1% Biden Swing)
Trump:        16,820      (57.3%)
Others:         1,038      ( 3.5%)
Total:          29,333 

According to the work our esteemed colleague reagente's work on the 2016 GE "Largest City by State to Vote for Trump Thread, results were as follows for 2016:

Arkansas

Trump wins Fort Smith (#2). Clinton evidently won Little Rock (#1).

Some bits of unincorporated Sebastian County got included in this, but I don't think very many people live in those bits.

Trump - 13,958 (54.92%)
Clinton - 9,301 (36.59%)

I have not attempted to run precinct comparisons between 2016 and 2020, but Fort Smith has an extremely high % of minority residents and a relatively low % of Anglo residents for Arkansas (61%):

18% Latino
9% African-American
6% Asian-American

21% of the population is employed in manufacturing, including one of the largest chicken processing plants in the US ( OK Foods Inc...), as well as Baldor Electric Company...

I am especially interested in where the precinct shifts may or may not have happened based upon Social-Demographics....

The heavily Latino, AAPI, and African-American precincts are all located in the "Northern Neck" of the City where Anglo pop runs only something like 30%.

I neglected to note in my previous post about the influence of the 1980 and the Mariel Boatlift upon the local community, where the KKK and local residents effectively performed vigilante action against refugee detainees, who rioted and breached the prison walls in order to escape the confines of the prison condition and effectively "walk through the park".

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fort_Chaffee_crisis#:~:text=The%20Fort%20Chaffee%20crisis%20occurred,still%20detained%20at%20the%20center.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fort_Chaffee_Maneuver_Training_Center

Klan Country is Klan Country, and despite the fact this ~40 years after the incident we still got "Caravan of Fools" type folks running as active vigilantes, reminds me of an awesome Biography which I read about Barry Goldwater, which described how the State of Mississippi had effectively ceded local law enforcement to goons running around the State in their Pick-Up Trucks and Johnny Reb flags as part of an "alternative law enforcement model"...