Largest city in each state that Trump won

[Roll Roons]

Arizona: Mesa
Colorado: Colorado Springs?
Connecticut: Southington
Florida: Hialeah
Maine: Standish
Massachussetts: Dracut
New Hampshire: Derry
New Jersey: Lakewood
Pennsylvania: Altoona
Rhode Island: Coventry
Texas: Lubbock
Vermont: Derby
Wisconsin: Waukesha

New England makes this easy.

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

Georgia: Warner Robbins?
Hawaii: Laie or nowhere
Oklahoma: Tulsa?
Oregon: Medford
Nevada: Henderson?
Utah: Provo

[NOVA Green]

Arizona: Mesa
Colorado: Colorado Springs?
Connecticut: Southington
Florida: Hialeah
Maine: Standish
Massachussetts: Dracut
New Hampshire: Derry
New Jersey: Lakewood
Pennsylvania: Altoona
Rhode Island: Coventry
Texas: Lubbock
Vermont: Derby
Wisconsin: Waukesha

New England makes this easy.

I like this thread and looking forward to adding / crunching numbers once we get precinct results.

For anybody who wants a bit of a frame of reference, here is the 2020 thread which TDAS04 started:

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=386520.msg7497338#msg7497338

Here is a link to the 2016 equivalent thread started by ncLib:

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=272471.msg5816898#msg5816898

Arkansas: Fort Smith appears to likely be a Trump 2020 hold, even though ~6% of votes still haven't been reported by the County (NYT).

[Non Swing Voter]

so in other words he didn't win any large cities.

[E-Dawg 🇺🇦🇦🇲]

Very likely Bakersfield for California

[Kuumo]

Idaho: Meridian
Kansas: Wichita?
Montana: Billings
Nebraska: Grand Island?

[Roll Roons]

Very likely Bakersfield for California

Kern County, yes. But I don't think he wins the city proper.

[Alben Barkley]

so in other words he didn't win any large cities.

Yup, that’s why there were celebrations in just about every city in the country today. The rurals had their turn in 2016; the urbans got their revenge this year.

[AGA]

Where do you find this information?

[Roll Roons]

Where do you find this information?

For New England states, results are broken down by town on NYT. Mostly just eyeballing for the rest.

[cg41386]

In New Jersey, probably Lakewood.

[lfromnj]

Georgia: Warner Robbins?
Hawaii: Laie or nowhere
Oklahoma: Tulsa?
Oregon: Medford
Nevada: Henderson?
Utah: Provo

https://twitter.com/SenhorRaposa/status/1325154749029572609

[NYDem]

Certainly Rome, NY again.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Montgomery County (Clarksville) seemed to have a decent swing to Biden, so my best guess is that the answer for Tennessee will be Franklin, but we won't know the answer until precinct information is released by the SOS office after the results are certified.

[SingingAnalyst]

Michigan: Sterling Heights (4th largest city in MI; Trump 55% Biden 44%)

[they don't love you like i love you]

Minnesota appears to be Lakeville...but with a huge swing and under 50%.

Andover is the largest won he broke 50% in, 56.9 to 40.8% for Biden.

[E-Dawg 🇺🇦🇦🇲]

Very likely Bakersfield for California

Kern County, yes. But I don't think he wins the city proper.

According to Wikipedia, in 2016 Trump won Bakersfield 50.4-44. So Biden would have to close a 6 point gap there to carry the city.

[NOVA Green]

South Dakota- #1 City- Sioux Falls Confirmed for Trump (44.1k R vs 40.9k D)--- 87.4k TV

50.4% TRUMP- 46.8% BIDEN    (+3.6% TRUMP).

South Dakota has now certified their election results, so these should be final numbers.





HONESTLY DON'T KNOW WHERE TO START WITH THIS???

1.) Sioux Falls +6.7% DEM SWING

2.) + 14,960 TV increase from '16 > '20

3.) Lincoln County parts of Sioux Falls swung +8.7% D vs in Mennehaha County only 6.4% D.

Not totally sure exactly what's going on there, but I had previously posted on this topic on 9/6/20 looking at educational attainment levels and household incomes by precinct, so it would definitely be a worthwhile subject of investigation---- Counties shifted /added a few precinct lines here and there between '16 and '20 in both Counties, but I'm pretty confident all of the precincts are located within City Limits...

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=386520.msg7562858#msg7562858

[Crumpets]

Washington State it's almost certainly Spokane Valley.

[NOVA Green]

Wyoming- #1 City- Cheyenne- Confirmed for Trump (16.1k R vs 11.4 k D)--- 28.8k TV

55.8% TRUMP- 39.6% BIDEN    (+16.2% TRUMP).   + 5.6% DEM SWING

Wyoming has now certified their election results, so these should be final numbers.

Haven't run numbers by precinct yet, but DEM SEN Candidate outperformed Biden in Cheyenne it appears, and likely the DEM running against Liz Cheney.

For whatever reason I haven't been able to locate my County / CITY PRES data-sets from '08 to '16, so apologies for not having a more detailed breakdown.

Could always locate them as needed, but lots of other data am looking at elsewhere.

[𝕭𝖆𝖕𝖙𝖎𝖘𝖙𝖆 𝕸𝖎𝖓𝖔𝖑𝖆]

Tennessee: Nashville
North Carolina: Charolitte
Arkansas: Little Rock
Texas: Houston

No, it's not the largest city of each Republican state, it's the largest Republican city of each state.

[Bismarck]

Probably Fort Wayne for Indiana, but Biden may have narrowly won it. After Fort Wayne it would be Noblesville, given that Biden won Carmel and Fishers by very narrow margins.

[MarkD]

Missouri: Springfield.

[Del Tachi]

Georgia: Warner Robbins?

I seriously doubt Trump won Warner Robbins.  In 2010, Warner Robbins was only 50% White and (per DRA) the precincts that most correspond to the city limits were 51% Clinton/56% Abrams.

Of the NF cities, Trump might have only won Milton (was 58/40 Kemp).  Roswell and Alpharetta were narrow Kemp wins in 2018, but probably flipped to Biden based on his overall statewide performance (Trump maybe eked out a narrow win in either of these, we'll have to wait and see for certified results though).

After the NF cities, Gainesville is my next instinct (but it looks like Abrams actually narrowly won there in 2018, too.)  So then comes Newnan, which was likewise a narrow Abrams win 2018.

In terms of size, that takes us back to Milton (pop. 40k) as the biggest Trump city in Georgia.  If Biden somehow manages to eke out a win in Milton (I'd be very surprised if he did), then the answer would have to be next on the list:  Rome.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

South Carolina is probably Mount Pleasant