2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Left Wing]

This Logan Act stuff with the Biden transition the Republicans are trying to drum up is bs. Flynn was doing this behind everyone’s backs while Biden is publicly stating what he’s said in the calls and isn’t undermining foreign policy.

[Skill and Chance]

California is overwhelmingly likely to trend R from 2016!  It's a close call now and we haven't even seen the NY absentees yet. 

[Non Swing Voter]

i'm annoyed at this result as a republican, but it's fired me up as hell to vote these liberals out in 2022. leggo

I disagree with almost everything you stand for, but that's a perfectly fine response - "We lost. We'll get them next time."

How do you feel that the sitting President is attempting to invalidate election results? Does it bother you that the country looks like it is on its way to becoming a failed state? How do you feel that the President hinted at this behavior over the course of his term and was not taken seriously?

nah i'm fine with this because i had to deal with the liberals complaining and bitching about trump for 4yrs so anything to mess with the biden administration with incoming susan rice getting a job again it's so sad LOL i hope hillary gets something too the old hag needs something too

Okay, let me make sure I understand this.

If the election results are legitimate, you would still overturn them to "own the libs?"

duh

You just lost your last shred of credibility.

[Never Made it to Graceland]

i'm annoyed at this result as a republican, but it's fired me up as hell to vote these liberals out in 2022. leggo

I disagree with almost everything you stand for, but that's a perfectly fine response - "We lost. We'll get them next time."

How do you feel that the sitting President is attempting to invalidate election results? Does it bother you that the country looks like it is on its way to becoming a failed state? How do you feel that the President hinted at this behavior over the course of his term and was not taken seriously?

nah i'm fine with this because i had to deal with the liberals complaining and bitching about trump for 4yrs so anything to mess with the biden administration with incoming susan rice getting a job again it's so sad LOL i hope hillary gets something too the old hag needs something too

Okay, let me make sure I understand this.

If the election results are legitimate, you would still overturn them to "own the libs?"

duh

You just lost your last shred of credibility.

Did he ever have any?

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

https://twitter.com/cliffordlevy/status/1326375877349941249

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

California is overwhelmingly likely to trend R from 2016!

What?

As of right now with 92% of the vote in, Biden has 64% of the vote in California (Trump 33%) and with over 10 million votes.

In 2016, Hillary won California 61%-31% over Trump with 8 million votes.

Biden so far has gained 3% more than Hillary. Trump has gained 2%. That's not trending R.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

California is overwhelmingly likely to trend R from 2016!

What?

As of right now with 92% of the vote in, Biden has 64% of the vote in California (Trump 33%) and with over 10 million votes.

In 2016, Hillary won California 61%-31% over Trump with 8 million votes.

Biden so far has gained 3% more than Hillary. Trump has gained 2%. That's not trending R.

Yes, it is.  He didn't say swing Republican, but trend Republican.  The NPV swung by more than that.  I would say, with what we know about Asian and Hispanic swings in 2020, along with California potentially being almost maxed-out, it would make a lot of sense for it to trend slightly Republican in this election.

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

California is overwhelmingly likely to trend R from 2016!

What?

As of right now with 92% of the vote in, Biden has 64% of the vote in California (Trump 33%) and with over 10 million votes.

In 2016, Hillary won California 61%-31% over Trump with 8 million votes.

Biden so far has gained 3% more than Hillary. Trump has gained 2%. That's not trending R.

Yes, it is.  He didn't say swing Republican, but trend Republican.  The NPV swung by more than that.  I would say, with what we know about Asian and Hispanic swings in 2020, along with California potentially being almost maxed-out, it would make a lot of sense for it to trend slightly Republican in this election.

Well, if so, that's just noise.

[Holmes]

California is overwhelmingly likely to trend R from 2016!

What?

As of right now with 92% of the vote in, Biden has 64% of the vote in California (Trump 33%) and with over 10 million votes.

In 2016, Hillary won California 61%-31% over Trump with 8 million votes.

Biden so far has gained 3% more than Hillary. Trump has gained 2%. That's not trending R.

Yes, it is.  He didn't say swing Republican, but trend Republican.  The NPV swung by more than that.  I would say, with what we know about Asian and Hispanic swings in 2020, along with California potentially being almost maxed-out, it would make a lot of sense for it to trend slightly Republican in this election.

Well, if so, that's just noise.

Most trends are just noise unless they happen consecutively over the course of many election cycles or a very large trends.

[Bootes Void]

This is getting pathetic
https://twitter.com/nicklutsko/status/1326375815572025344?s=21

[GP270watch]

This is getting pathetic
https://twitter.com/nicklutsko/status/1326375815572025344?s=21

This can't be real life?


 

[AndyHogan14]

This is getting pathetic
https://twitter.com/nicklutsko/status/1326375815572025344?s=21

That's not a real clip...is it sad that it's believable that Fox News might do something like this though?

[Roll Roons]

This is getting pathetic
https://twitter.com/nicklutsko/status/1326375815572025344?s=21

My sources tell me that man's name is John Barron.

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

California is overwhelmingly likely to trend R from 2016!

What?

As of right now with 92% of the vote in, Biden has 64% of the vote in California (Trump 33%) and with over 10 million votes.

In 2016, Hillary won California 61%-31% over Trump with 8 million votes.

Biden so far has gained 3% more than Hillary. Trump has gained 2%. That's not trending R.

Yes, it is.  He didn't say swing Republican, but trend Republican.  The NPV swung by more than that.  I would say, with what we know about Asian and Hispanic swings in 2020, along with California potentially being almost maxed-out, it would make a lot of sense for it to trend slightly Republican in this election.

Well, if so, that's just noise.

Most trends are just noise unless they happen consecutively over the course of many election cycles or a very large trends.

Do you think that CA will continue to trend R in future elections?

[ملكة كرينجيتوك]

California is overwhelmingly likely to trend R from 2016!

What?

As of right now with 92% of the vote in, Biden has 64% of the vote in California (Trump 33%) and with over 10 million votes.

In 2016, Hillary won California 61%-31% over Trump with 8 million votes.

Biden so far has gained 3% more than Hillary. Trump has gained 2%. That's not trending R.

Yes, it is.  He didn't say swing Republican, but trend Republican.  The NPV swung by more than that.  I would say, with what we know about Asian and Hispanic swings in 2020, along with California potentially being almost maxed-out, it would make a lot of sense for it to trend slightly Republican in this election.

Well, if so, that's just noise.

It means Biden’s gains in the popular vote weren’t concentrated in Titanium Safe D states like CA. Which we know to be true, since he won the Electoral College and got most states to swing D.

[Bootes Void]

Looks like Trump will beat Bush 2004 vote total(5.5 million) in California when it's all said and done

[Never Made it to Graceland]

Is Joe Biden the first presidential candidate to ever get 10,000,000 votes in a single state?

[Bootes Void]

Is Joe Biden the first presidential candidate to ever get 10,000,000 votes in a single state?

Seems like it

[Never Made it to Graceland]

Is Joe Biden the first presidential candidate to ever get 10,000,000 votes in a single state?

Seems like it

Thank you Bernie.

[NOVA Green]

So, while we are still waiting for results, I thought I would comment on the latest numbers out of Alaska.

I took the liberty of running the current numbers for Anchorage Alaska by State House District.



*** Key Note District #12 is a split district with two precincts located within the City Limits of Anchorage and Two located outside (Gets even trickier since we can't do VbM vs ED / EV ballots since they don't break down by precinct so tougher to parse) ***

1.) It appears that there are still a significant number of Mail-In-Ballots remaining to be counted within Anchorage, unless something really weird happened between '16 and '20.

Here are some numbers that I crunched for Anchorage for GE PRES 2016 from another thread:

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=386520.msg7502296#msg7502296

2.) A conservative estimate would be that we likely have something like 10k Ballots remaining from the City of Anchorage.

3.) Currently even including the split District HD-12 (Most Republican Part of Anchorage) it's something like 53.6% Trump  vs 42.9% Biden with a +10k Trump Lead.

4.) I haven't even attempted to perform the exercise yet of doing a C&P of 2016 vs 2018 GE PRES TV by State District, let alone Turnout (TO %) by HD.

5.) That being said, I would continue to expect Alaska late ballots to heavily favor Biden, and although so far Trump appears to have a clear advantage, I can certainly understand why it hasn't been called yet.

Anybody want to actually take a look at election results incoming as opposed to some of these extremely bizarre on occasions, as well as expected bickering about non-related items, as one might expect on this thread when folks start to get bored....   

[T'Chenka]

i'm annoyed at this result as a republican, but it's fired me up as hell to vote these liberals out in 2022. leggo

I disagree with almost everything you stand for, but that's a perfectly fine response - "We lost. We'll get them next time."

How do you feel that the sitting President is attempting to invalidate election results? Does it bother you that the country looks like it is on its way to becoming a failed state? How do you feel that the President hinted at this behavior over the course of his term and was not taken seriously?

nah i'm fine with this because i had to deal with the liberals complaining and bitching about trump for 4yrs so anything to mess with the biden administration with incoming susan rice getting a job again it's so sad LOL i hope hillary gets something too the old hag needs something too

Okay, let me make sure I understand this.

If the election results are legitimate, you would still overturn them to "own the libs?"

duh

You are a traitor to democracy. Please note that this is not a personal attack, as I am not saying this in a negative way. I am simply noting that your statement by literal definition of the word "traitor" describes an abandonment of any and all duty to democracy.

[Tender Branson]

Anything interesting happening overnight ?

[John JJ]

What is Donald Trump’s legal strategy at this point?

His strategy is not to win lawsuits, but to convince people that there is a giant election fraud going on.
Republicans don't need to win any court case, as long as the sea of fake news websites/channels continues flooding americans with this conspiracy theory.

[NOVA Green]

Please Mods--- can we find a way to merge / police the thread for various items such as:

1.) Military Coups

2.) Supreme Court / Legal Decisions Speculations

3.) Any such similar extraneous content

It's getting to a point where I was relieved to see the numbers of daily / hourly posts decrease, but still we got all of this extra crap floating around still, and some posters apparently still don't understand the concept of "self-policing", while really many of us are actually interested in looking at the actual election votes currently being reported, swings / exit polls, etc...

I get that we have many folks still concerned about these various scenarios, but really it starts to get old after awhile, and if people can't self-police in a "CHOP-ZONE", maybe the "Police" need to help clear the streets a bit and divert the crowds to their appropriate "Kettles" in order to be able to shout at each other back and forth from behind the Concrete Barriers, while not obstructing traffic in the interim.

Reality is that we are getting to a point in the thread where many us actually interested in looking at incoming results have to wade through the swamps and the muck and the mire in order to occasionally find an outpost, where we can create our "Jungle Camp" after having crossed the Big Muddy, but now want to check out the actual results from the Street Combat and Battles from Alaska, Georgia, Arizona, Pennsylvania, as well as assessing the data from places like Tejas, Florida, Ohio, Iowa, Maine, North Carolina.... not to mention incoming data from California, New York, and Maryland....

[Annatar]

Biden's margin in CA has dropped below 31%, it is at 30.7%, looks like 2020 will be the year CA trends Republican.