2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook]

Yes! Only Georgia is left to call! (I only just saw that.)

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

THE Dan Daddy Onorato

[GeorgiaModerate]

Yes! Only Georgia is left to call! (I only just saw that.)

You're a bit behind the curve. Georgia was called hours ago.

[Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook]

Yes! Only Georgia is left to call! (I only just saw that.)

You're a bit behind the curve. Georgia was called hours ago.

Not by AP.

[Non Swing Voter]

Biden's national popular vote just ticked up to 50.9%.

[ucscgaldamez1]

Biden's national popular vote just ticked up to 50.9%.

What website do you use to track the popular vote total? It feels like CNN is behind.

Update: it is 50.9 @ CNN but still think other website have more recent updates.

[Badger]

Biden's national popular vote just ticked up to 50.9%.

What's Trump's at?

[Non Swing Voter]

Biden's national popular vote just ticked up to 50.9%.

What website do you use to track the popular vote total? It feels like CNN is behind.

Update: it is 50.9 in CNN but still think other website have more recent updates.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-president.html

[Non Swing Voter]

Biden's national popular vote just ticked up to 50.9%.

What's Trump's at?

47.3%

[Badger]

Biden's national popular vote just ticked up to 50.9%.

What's Trump's at?

47.3%

Seriously hoping it drops below 47.

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

Biden's national popular vote just ticked up to 50.9%.

What's Trump's at?

47.3%

Seriously hoping it drops below 47.

Yeah. Fingers crossed for 51-47. Which is probably Trump at 74 million and Biden at 81 million or so. Might be too ambitious.

[Non Swing Voter]

Biden's national popular vote just ticked up to 50.9%.

What's Trump's at?

47.3%

Seriously hoping it drops below 47.

I'm guessing it will.  The following are the only states with a lot of outstanding ballots: NY, MD, NJ, MA, ME.  There are no red states with many outstanding ballots other than OH, but it's mostly in the big cities.

[ucscgaldamez1]

Bragging rights for Romney if Trump falls below 47.15 (that's what Romney got in 2012, some sites have it at 47.2).

[Alben Barkley]

Bragging rights for Romney if Trump falls below 47.15 (that's what Romney got in 2012, some sites have it at 47.2).

Always loved the irony that Romney got 47%.

Between that and now the 306 table turn, the election gods clearly have a sense of humor.

[2952-0-0]

At least Trump kept one promise he made in 2015. He ran the country like a business.

It's now shut-down, bankrupt, in disarray, and unsanitary.

[NOVA Green]

Alaska appears to have done another update at some point today:




Trump-  +10,110
Biden-   +11,336

It went from the 11/12 numbers:

Trump- 168,954 (53.6%)    +12.0% Trump
Biden-  131,233 (41.6%)

Here are the 11/13 numbers:

Trump- 179,064 (53.0%)    +10.8% Trump.
Biden-  142,569 (42.2%)

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

https://twitter.com/BruneElections/status/1327423764821397504?s=20

Sad that it probably won’t be a tie. I was hoping for that.

[Rand]

Bragging rights for Romney if Trump falls below 47.15 (that's what Romney got in 2012, some sites have it at 47.2).

Always loved the irony that Romney got 47%.

Between that and now the 306 table turn, the election gods clearly have a sense of humor.

If God is real God is a liberal.

[NOVA Green]

Bragging rights for Romney if Trump falls below 47.15 (that's what Romney got in 2012, some sites have it at 47.2).

Always loved the irony that Romney got 47%.

Between that and now the 306 table turn, the election gods clearly have a sense of humor.

If God is real God is a liberal.

God is Dead.

Black Sabbath confirms it:

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Alaska appears to have done another update at some point today:




Trump-  +10,110
Biden-   +11,336

It went from the 11/12 numbers:

Trump- 168,954 (53.6%)    +12.0% Trump
Biden-  131,233 (41.6%)

Here are the 11/13 numbers:

Trump- 179,064 (53.0%)    +10.8% Trump.
Biden-  142,569 (42.2%)

Biden could become the first Dem in this century to bring Alaska within single digits in a presidential election.

[NOVA Green]

Alaska appears to have done another update at some point today:




Trump-  +10,110
Biden-   +11,336

It went from the 11/12 numbers:

Trump- 168,954 (53.6%)    +12.0% Trump
Biden-  131,233 (41.6%)

Here are the 11/13 numbers:

Trump- 179,064 (53.0%)    +10.8% Trump.
Biden-  142,569 (42.2%)

Biden could become the first Dem in this century to bring Alaska within single digits in a presidential election.

Biden appearing to have won Anchorage is likely a huge part of the math equation...

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=411611.msg7769150#msg7769150

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Alaska appears to have done another update at some point today:




Trump-  +10,110
Biden-   +11,336

It went from the 11/12 numbers:

Trump- 168,954 (53.6%)    +12.0% Trump
Biden-  131,233 (41.6%)

Here are the 11/13 numbers:

Trump- 179,064 (53.0%)    +10.8% Trump.
Biden-  142,569 (42.2%)

Biden could become the first Dem in this century to bring Alaska within single digits in a presidential election.

Biden appearing to have won Anchorage is likely a huge part of the math equation...

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=411611.msg7769150#msg7769150

You mentioning Anchorage helped me realize something.
In Alaska Dems have a geography advantage because the GOP has so many wasted votes from Mat-Su Borough and, to a lesser extent, Fairbanks.
The only Dem stronghold Ds get similar numbers in is the North Slope.

[NOVA Green]

Alaska appears to have done another update at some point today:




Trump-  +10,110
Biden-   +11,336

It went from the 11/12 numbers:

Trump- 168,954 (53.6%)    +12.0% Trump
Biden-  131,233 (41.6%)

Here are the 11/13 numbers:

Trump- 179,064 (53.0%)    +10.8% Trump.
Biden-  142,569 (42.2%)

Biden could become the first Dem in this century to bring Alaska within single digits in a presidential election.

Biden appearing to have won Anchorage is likely a huge part of the math equation...

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=411611.msg7769150#msg7769150

You mentioning Anchorage helped me realize something.
In Alaska Dems have a geography advantage because the GOP has so many wasted votes from Mat-Su Borough and, to a lesser extent, Fairbanks.
The only Dem stronghold Ds get similar numbers in is the North Slope.

TimTurner--- assuming you are talking about AK House District Seats?

Anchorage is something like 35% of the Total Vote in Alaska, and Mat-Su obviously heavily PUB and Native American dominates many other Alaska HDs...

Not quite sure yet what you are driving at, but thinking I'm starting to "Grok" where you are going with this....

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Alaska appears to have done another update at some point today:




Trump-  +10,110
Biden-   +11,336

It went from the 11/12 numbers:

Trump- 168,954 (53.6%)    +12.0% Trump
Biden-  131,233 (41.6%)

Here are the 11/13 numbers:

Trump- 179,064 (53.0%)    +10.8% Trump.
Biden-  142,569 (42.2%)

Biden could become the first Dem in this century to bring Alaska within single digits in a presidential election.

Biden appearing to have won Anchorage is likely a huge part of the math equation...

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=411611.msg7769150#msg7769150

You mentioning Anchorage helped me realize something.
In Alaska Dems have a geography advantage because the GOP has so many wasted votes from Mat-Su Borough and, to a lesser extent, Fairbanks.
The only Dem stronghold Ds get similar numbers in is the North Slope.

TimTurner--- assuming you are talking about AK House District Seats?

Anchorage is something like 35% of the Total Vote in Alaska, and Mat-Su obviously heavily PUB and Native American dominates many other Alaska HDs...

Not quite sure yet what you are driving at, but thinking I'm starting to "Grok" where you are going with this....

I meant House Districts to some extent but also meant State Senate and president to some degree as well (in terms of census-equivalents likely won).
If Alaska continues to get more competitive as time goes on, then we might see Rs really leaning on Mat-Su and Fairbanks to milk that margin, just to hold at bay heavy rates of Dem voting in the Native areas as well as slim-ish margins in Anchorage?

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/bluestein/status/1327618347027066880