Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

QU possibly can't make Biden Approvals at 39% anymore they are going up

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Biden needs to do what Bernie did in late October, he needs to build on the momentum that he has Been given, RN the narrative is being controlled by the media while only being countered by the awful Democratic messaging. Biden needs to be out there, touring and making public appearances touting his agenda and accomplishments, force the media to give him airtime. His campaign skills are very very underrated.

This. It's no surprise that Biden saw his ratings rise when HE controlled the narrative, and HE got the airtime right from HIS mouth. As soon as that faded, and the media brought back control of the narrative, then he fell again. Biden needs to do more addresses, and closer to primetime. People need to hear things from him directly.

Ye that’s one of the reasons I think he will win in 24 he will be able to appear more and speak about his accomplishments providing a counter to the opposition. His campaign skills are very underrated

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden needs to do what Bernie did in late October, he needs to build on the momentum that he has Been given, RN the narrative is being controlled by the media while only being countered by the awful Democratic messaging. Biden needs to be out there, touring and making public appearances touting his agenda and accomplishments, force the media to give him airtime. His campaign skills are very very underrated.

This. It's no surprise that Biden saw his ratings rise when HE controlled the narrative, and HE got the airtime right from HIS mouth. As soon as that faded, and the media brought back control of the narrative, then he fell again. Biden needs to do more addresses, and closer to primetime. People need to hear things from him directly.

Ye that’s one of the reasons I think he will win in 24 he will be able to appear more and speak about his accomplishments providing a counter to the opposition. His campaign skills are very underrated

Lol it's a 303/235 map SISOLAK Whitmer, Evers and Polis has a 51% Approval, if Biden polls are Even it's a 270 map that's why so many Rs are wrong about a nut map guess how many voters voted in 2010/2014 years when it was R waves 33/29 M a far cry from 65(62M and 80/75M votes D's received in 2016/2020

D's are gonna do just as good in 22/24


We can win wave insurance seats there were two FL polls that showed Crist leading 53/47 and GAETZ down to D 53/47


USERS ESPECIALLY RS SHOUT IN THEIR MINDS OH MY GOD R WAVE QU 39% BIDEN MIDTERM, OH MY GOD ITS AN R NUT MAP, BUT IT WAS 33/29M same day votes in 2010/2014/ a far cry from 65/62M that is predicted in 22 a downward trend slightly from 2020 as Midterms are

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://mobile.twitter.com/hashtag/pasen?src=hashtag_click
I guess it's not a D NUT MAP AFTER ALL, AND PBOWER WAS RIGHT UKRANIAN WAR IS HELPING RS BUT ITS STILL A 270 MAP


SLEEPY MAN PREDICTION OF NV ISMT GONNA GO ROGHT AND ALL THE OTHER 270 STAYES GO LEFT C AND SISOLAK WERE AHEAD

No wonder why PBOWER is hiding again

Pbower want polls well we have ONE
Fetterman leads by 30 the primary and leads Oz by 9 and Lamb leads Oz by 3 but loses to R Nominee McCormick by 3


If Fetterman is tied in PA, OH is over Ryan won't win and that's why they're not releasing polls abd Ryan didn't even debate Morgan Harper

[pbrower2a]

Senators can at times do far better than the President of their Party. This said, there is no clear R drift in Pennsylvania as there seems to be in Iowa and Ohio.

All I can offer in the absence of polls is bland generalities that can all go very wrong very fast. The Democrats have no easy pick-offs in the Senate.

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Why is a polling institute reporting about this?

https://mobile.twitter.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1506239551391555585?cxt=HHwWgoC...

[wbrocks67]

Why is a polling institute reporting about this?

https://mobile.twitter.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1506239551391555585?cxt=HHwWgoC...

This is exactly why I don't understand why anyone takes them serious, including serious polling trackers like 538. I'm convinced they literally just make up the #s.

[wbrocks67]

Emerson, March 18-20
(compared to their Feb poll)

43% approve (+1)
49% disapprove (-1)

https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/national-poll-march-2022-us-voters-report-increased-hardship-as-prices-rise-blame-biden-for-gas-prices

--

Hard to take this one seriously though... they have Trump at... wait for it... *59% favorability*

[GeorgiaModerate]

Emerson, March 18-20
(compared to their Feb poll)

43% approve (+1)
49% disapprove (-1)

https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/national-poll-march-2022-us-voters-report-increased-hardship-as-prices-rise-blame-biden-for-gas-prices

--

Hard to take this one seriously though... they have Trump at... wait for it... *59% favorability*

That's an extreme outlier; see https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/donald-trump/.  I wonder if they made a data entry error; it wouldn't be the first time a pollster has done so.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Emerson, March 18-20
(compared to their Feb poll)

43% approve (+1)
49% disapprove (-1)

https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/national-poll-march-2022-us-voters-report-increased-hardship-as-prices-rise-blame-biden-for-gas-prices

--

Hard to take this one seriously though... they have Trump at... wait for it... *59% favorability*

What gets me about these polls there are no state by state polls to back these low Approvals up where  are the polls


How are we supposed to make predictions map based on these Approvaks and no state by state polls the only poll came out was Feeterman tied with McCormick and 9 pts ahead of Oz

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The one thing that angers me more than anything is Merrick Garland abscense of prosecuting Trump, if Rs win, Student Loans Discharge and Abscense of Prosecuting Trump will be landed at the feet of Biden


Trump is doing the samething that he left office an Insurrectionists trying to get Rs in to decertify Biden, that's exactly whom he is trying to get not us, Trump isn't coming after us, he is ginnong for Biden in 24 on WI, PA and MI

Biden or DOJ are obviously protecting TRUMP

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Senators can at times do far better than the President of their Party. This said, there is no clear R drift in Pennsylvania as there seems to be in Iowa and Ohio.

All I can offer in the absence of polls is bland generalities that can all go very wrong very fast. The Democrats have no easy pick-offs in the Senate.

You do realize you forgot what you said earlier that this Ukraine War is benefits Rs not D's the longer it drags on the stronger the Rs get because gas prices keep going up and the need for voters to want Biden to open up Keystone

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

You can't be too sure about wave insurance JD Vance whom looks like Eric Trump,  DeSantis and Grietans may all cost Rs seats this isn't 2o20 where the Rs that won MT, IA and NC, Daines, Ernst and Tillis we're free of controversy, Vance, Grietans and DeSantis are weak in the polls

You know why sone forum members do t believe in wave insurance because they are young very young haven't been to College that did real surveys in Politics or sat as a juror to evaluate more than just Approvals I wasn't a juror but I did mock jury duty which is on the DOWNTREND now during Pandemic and evaluated politics


Just because you see an Approval rating it's futuristic and it's not the end all be all we got 70 M votes 33)33 M in 2010/14 well under the 65/60 M that pundits predict this yr, which is a DOWNTREND from 2020 80/75 M but in 2012 it was was a Landslide, this is the same Biden that helped Obama win In/NC in 2008, this isn't 2008 but we are in another Great Recession , what are IN/NC FL/TX Latino states it's only April we can update our user maps till Nov, just because you say one thing now you can change your mind next time because we still have user Predictions open, some think Biden is at 39 which he was really during the Debt Ceiling fight which he isn't now


But if we lose this isn't hurting us Trump and McCarthy are Angelina towards decertify Biden WI, MI and Pa that's why if Garland lacks the will to Prosecute Trump it's falls on Biden and the Rs will attempt to impeach Biden and imprison Hunter is they get control especially the H

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, March 19-22, 1500 adults including 1270 RV

Adults:

Approve 43 (+3)
Disapprove 48 (-2)

Strongly approve 20 (+4)
Strongly disapprove 36 (-2)

RV:

Approve 45 (+4)
Disapprove 49 (-4)

Strongly approve 22 (+4)
Strongly disapprove 39 (-2)

GCB (RV only): D 43, R 39 (not asked last week)

[Sir Mohamed]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, March 19-22, 1500 adults including 1270 RV

Adults:

Approve 43 (+3)
Disapprove 48 (-2)

Strongly approve 20 (+4)
Strongly disapprove 36 (-2)

RV:

Approve 45 (+4)
Disapprove 49 (-4)

Strongly approve 22 (+4)
Strongly disapprove 39 (-2)

GCB (RV only): D 43, R 39 (not asked last week)

I guess the large majority of the undecideds in the GCB question would/will break R in the end. Still significant the GOP has struggled in that category through various pollsters, even when Biden was lower than this. In 2018, Dems had a pretty consistent lead.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's important to note that Blk, Latino and Female clothes are understated that's why Ds are doing so well in state by state polls MO, and FL and you Gov has Biden at 47/39 I don't believe anymore that Biden is upside down in Approvals but he maybe underwater because I get Twitter likes by Females due to my D Nut maps, Females aren't Trumpian

I keep saying this over and over the Approvals can be futuristic and not the final indicator

Wave insurance candidates like Luke Mixon said don't stop donating because once Biden is 50 percent on EDay it's wave insurance

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The EC vote count is 3o3 to 125, we will have 50/51 votes in the Senate PA/WI/AZ/NV/NH minus GA runoff and Rs aren't assured 49 seats, they are only assured 125:votes and NC, OH and MO and FL are Tossups JD Vance looks like Eric Trump, Grietans has a Scandal and DeSantis is scandalous, Rs want us to forget they BBB, Voting Rights and the Insurrectionists

Blk, Brown and Females are underpoll we aren't Trumpian except Evangelical White females and even somee of them are D

[wbrocks67]

Reuters/Ipsos (March 21-22)
40% approve (-3)
54% disapprove (+1)

Fox News (March 18-21)
45% approve (+2)
54% disapprove (-2)

Grinell/Selzer (March 15-20)
34% approve (-3)
52% disapprove (+2)

Echelon Insights (March 18-21)
45% approve (+1)
53% disapprove (=)

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The War in Ukraine is definitely a drag on Biden Approvals, his sanction are obviously isn't hiring the Russian Govt that much that's the problem as I have said all along voters cannot see sanctions, they can only see that Russian is winning the war but killing civilians
As well as due to Labor Shortages they have cut off Stimulus checks it's okay to cut off Stimulus buy not in 7.5 percent inflation and say that you should carry yourself by the bootstraps

D's made a strategic error by not including Stimulus checks not just child tax credits in BBB it wasn't any urgency to pass with child tax credit


People that exhausted their deferments and have private loans are gonna resume Student Loans in May too there is definitely not gonna be and Debt Discharge because we are sending money to Ukraine

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Again this isnt a poll DRIVEN Election it's an Approval rating election , THERE ARE NO STATE BY STATE POLLS,helpingg Rs substantially, because D's can't pass more stimulus due to the War in Ukraine and aid to Ukraine, that's obvious

We can only guess it's a 3o3 map it can or cannot be


But, nothing has happened to TRUMP, if Rs win the big three states he and McCarthy aren't coming after us, he is coming after Biden and Hunter for 24 if Trump isn't Prez Pence will and Pence isn't an Insurrectionists, it's still very hard to believe it's not a 303 map but if D's do lose not Prosecuting Meadows is gonna be shouldered on the DOJ

[All Along The Watchtower]

So when we will consistently see sub-40% approvals?

[ElectionsGuy]

Biden, today: -12
Trump, 3/25/18: -11
Obama, 3/25/10: +1

Generic Ballot, today: R+3
Generic Ballot, 3/25/18: D+6
Generic Ballot, 3/25/10: R+3

Nothing wrong here.

[wbrocks67]

Biden, today: -12
Trump, 3/25/18: -11
Obama, 3/25/10: +1

Generic Ballot, today: R+3
Generic Ballot, 3/25/18: D+6
Generic Ballot, 3/25/10: R+3

Nothing wrong here.

Once again, this has been explained. Biden's #s are lower mostly in part by key Democratic demos who are open to saying they 'disapprove' (young people, minorities, etc.) but who are not going to vote for the GOP in November. [if anything, they'll sit out]

[BG-NY]

Do you know what Trump Approval was in 2018/2020 it was 43/54 the only way as I said to determine if these polls are accurate is to Get an election result not Approval ratings

The key differences…

(1) As we move from Adults->RV->LV, it benefits republicans more.
(2) With the exception of 2012, every polling error in recent memory has benefitted the republicans.

It’s not a matter of the president and his/her party being underestimated. It’s one party in particular.

[BG-NY]

Do you know what Trump Approval was in 2018/2020 it was 43/54 the only way as I said to determine if these polls are accurate is to Get an election result not Approval ratings

The key differences…

(1) As we move from Adults->RV->LV, it benefits republicans more.
(2) With the exception of 2012, every polling error in recent memory has benefitted the republicans.

It’s not a matter of the president and his/her party being underestimated. It’s one party in particular.

You do realize that it was a 33/33M electorate in 2010 and an 80/75M  election in 2020 there is no way Rs sweep in this environment with a 65/62M electorate that's why there is Voting Suppression, am I donating to Ds no I am not but will give them my vote I'm 2022 unless Biden Approvals make a miraculous recovery

But 2010/2014 was a 33/33 M vote in same day voting not 60/60 M big difference you need to look at Election results and stop looking at just Approvals

Turnout levels are directly related to education level and income. As the republican base gets increasingly downscale they benefit from higher turnout elections.