Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[MT Treasurer]

New Hampshire (UNH):

43% Approve
55% Disapprove

Feb 18-22, 2022
MoE 3%

https://scholars.unh.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1687&context=survey_center_polls

Texas (Emerson)

39% Approve
53% Disapprove

https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/texas-2022-beto-and-abbott-matchup-likely-in-governor-s-race-ag-paxton-tries-to-avoid-runoff-in-republican-primary

Feb 21-22, 2022
MoE 4%

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Cheri Beasley is gonna get a huge bump from KENTAJI BROWN, do Rs ever stop with these Approvals, it's VBM not same day voting we won 80 M votes in 2020 not Rs, polls don't elect Politicians, yes, DeWine, Abbott and DeSantis will win but we can net Senate seats, Beto has zero chance

Hassan is gonna win in NH because she was only beatable by SUNUNU he isn't running so 45 percent Approvals don't matter

[Calthrina950]

New Hampshire (UNH):

43% Approve
55% Disapprove

Feb 18-22, 2022
MoE 3%

https://scholars.unh.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1687&context=survey_center_polls

Texas (Emerson)

39% Approve
53% Disapprove

https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/texas-2022-beto-and-abbott-matchup-likely-in-governor-s-race-ag-paxton-tries-to-avoid-runoff-in-republican-primary

Feb 21-22, 2022
MoE 4%

It continues to astound me that Biden has sunk down to Trump's levels with regards to his approvals.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's VBM not same day voting Biden already said he doesn't believe the polls and every D are outperforming Biden Approvals so the Approvals are a lie Beto is at 45 percent, Murray, Kelly and SISOLAK are at 50 percent, Approvals matter in Prez elections not Midterms

I keep saying this over and over Minorities and females are the urban vote and D's will get a huge bump in Early voting due to VBM and Rural vote vote last that's why Ds won 80 M votes and it's still not October it's only March

[It’s so Joever]

Biden’s approvals are TANKING after Ukraine and honestly for good reason.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Biden’s approvals are TANKING after Ukraine and honestly for good reason.

Really?  Do cite the polls that have had field dates since the start of the invasion.  Go ahead, we'll wait.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Ukraine is not the sole reason why Biden Approvals are low, first of all it's not MIDNIGHT, AND OCTOBER, SECONDLY IF WE WENT BY POLLS THE SAME POLLS SHOWS TRUMP AT 40 PERCENT AND WE DIDNT WIN A 538 LANDSLIDE WE DONT ELECT PEOPLE BY POLLS, AND LASTLY ITS AN ENDEMIC, OF COURSE ESPECIALLY WHITE MEN ARE GONNA SOUR ON A D PREZ HE IS THE BLAME, ITS COVID OUT THERE AND WE THOUGHT COVID WAS GONNA END EVEN WE GOT VACCINES

I DONT HAVE COVID, NOT EVERYONE BODY IS THE SAME DUE TO UNVACCINATED HOMELESS AND IMMIGRANTS KEEPS THE COVID VIRUS ONGOING


THESE BOMBINGS ARENT GONNA LAST TILL ELECTION DAY, PUTIN ISNT GOING TAKE OVER UKRAINE HE SAID HE WANTS UKRAINE TO RECOGNIZE THE TWO INDY PROVINCE HE HOLDS NOW

[It’s so Joever]

Biden’s approvals are TANKING after Ukraine and honestly for good reason.

Really?  Do cite the polls that have had field dates since the start of the invasion.  Go ahead, we'll wait.

Rasmussen’s index fell rapidly.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Go ahead and think that D's are gonna lose bigly on EDay like the other uses that make R Nut maps, it's 4 percent unemployment, I don't make R Nut maps because with VBM we won 80 M not Rs D's will overperform in the polls we have the largest three metros and make up 2/3 rds of the economy LA, Chicago, and NY while the South entirety make up only 1)3 Rd of the economy that's why we won 80 M votes in 2020 not Rs

[GeorgiaModerate]

Biden’s approvals are TANKING after Ukraine and honestly for good reason.

Really?  Do cite the polls that have had field dates since the start of the invasion.  Go ahead, we'll wait.

Rasmussen’s index fell rapidly.

Well, if Rasmussen is your only data point, it's not a strong case (to say the least).  But let's explore Rasmussen a little further...

They use a three-day rolling average.  Biden's approval rating in their poll from the start of this month until today:

39
39
41
43
43
41
40
43
42
42
40
41
41
43
45
46
45
42
40

So this has really been in a fairly narrow range all month, except for a few days earlier this week.  This pattern occurs when they get an outlier of a daily sample -- it perturbs the average for a few days until it rolls out again.  This can happen in both directions and is a normal fluctuation for Rasmussen.

Moral of the story: don't make generalizations based on a single pollster, especially when the movement is very typical of their fluctuations.  More generally: don't jump to conclusions that fit your narrative but aren't actually supported by the data.

[It’s so Joever]

Mark my words, this is the end of the Biden presidency. Between the nonstop media coverage of Ukraine falling and the higher gas prices, even the most loyal Dems will defect. The only question now is whether Democrats recover after his failed term or go the way of the Whigs.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Mark my words, this is the end of the Biden presidency. Between the nonstop media coverage of Ukraine falling and the higher gas prices, even the most loyal Dems will defect. The only question now is whether Democrats recover after his failed term or go the way of the Whigs.

I mean this in the kindest possible way: perhaps you should take a short break from following politics.

[It’s so Joever]

Mark my words, this is the end of the Biden presidency. Between the nonstop media coverage of Ukraine falling and the higher gas prices, even the most loyal Dems will defect. The only question now is whether Democrats recover after his failed term or go the way of the Whigs.

I mean this in the kindest possible way: perhaps you should take a short break from following politics.

Why? Because I am saying things you don’t like to hear?

[GeorgiaModerate]

Mark my words, this is the end of the Biden presidency. Between the nonstop media coverage of Ukraine falling and the higher gas prices, even the most loyal Dems will defect. The only question now is whether Democrats recover after his failed term or go the way of the Whigs.

I mean this in the kindest possible way: perhaps you should take a short break from following politics.

Why? Because I am saying things you don’t like to hear?

Not at all.  I've heard multiple predictions of the demise of each party over the 50+ years I've been following politics.  They never come true; one of the strongest trends in American politics is that the pendulum always swings back the other way.  I made the suggestion because there is an increasing tone of agitation coming through your posts, and I thought that a short break might make you feel less agitated.

[It’s so Joever]

Mark my words, this is the end of the Biden presidency. Between the nonstop media coverage of Ukraine falling and the higher gas prices, even the most loyal Dems will defect. The only question now is whether Democrats recover after his failed term or go the way of the Whigs.

I mean this in the kindest possible way: perhaps you should take a short break from following politics.

Why? Because I am saying things you don’t like to hear?

Not at all.  I've heard multiple predictions of the demise of each party over the 50+ years I've been following politics.  They never come true; one of the strongest trends in American politics is that the pendulum always swings back the other way.  I made the suggestion because there is an increasing tone of agitation coming through your posts, and I thought that a short break might make you feel less agitated.

History repeats itself...until it doesn't. The past few decades may have looked similar, but there is no specific reason a party can't collapse. Yes there are barriers in the US political system that make it less likely than say a country like the UK, but it still can and has happened. Additionally, an increasing number of young Americans have zero registered political allegiance. It's not the likeliest scenario, but to dismiss it because it didn't happen in the past ew decades despite major differences between then and now is flawed analysis. Again this could be more like 1980 or 2008, which only temporarily wiped out a party before a strong resurgence, but never discredit the possibility.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Its only MARCH I don't know why users are getting worked up and the Ukraine bombings aren't driving out Ukraine Govt bombings by Russia, Russia already said they want Ukraine to recognize two provinces not the whole country if it's too long NATO will launch an air War not ground war Al la Kosovo

[It’s so Joever]

I will be proven correct, the GOP will sweep the midterms because of this and will even flip seats we didn’t think would flip such as NY-6 and GA-2.

[2016]

https://twitter.com/ABC/status/1497297482920841220

https://twitter.com/IAPolls2022/status/1497319180399521797

Russia/Ukraine could be Bidens "Katrina"!

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lol no they won't sweep the Midterms we haven't voted yet, we don't elect people by Approvals they don't poll state by state polls

[It’s so Joever]

https://twitter.com/ABC/status/1497297482920841220

https://twitter.com/IAPolls2022/status/1497319180399521797

Russia/Ukraine could be Bidens "Katrina"!

In this case, the impacts of Russia Ukraine will be felt for much later than Katrina.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The reason why Americans disapprove of Biden they can't physically see sanctions but they can only see Russia overrunning the country but Biden has sanctioned Russia already

[Buffalo Mayor Young Kim]

Like with Afghanistan, do any of the disapprovers mean have a better course of action than what Biden took?

As best I can tell, Biden’s approval problems stem from him not being wizard who can magic the world’s problems away.

[It’s so Joever]

Biden should not have said “I won’t send troops to Ukraine if Russia invaded.”
Even if he wouldn’t, he should have kept it a question for Putin’s calculus. The fact he said this gave a green light for Russia to March into Kyiv if they were willing to take the sanctions.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden should not have said “I won’t send troops to Ukraine if Russia invaded.”
Even if he wouldn’t, he should have kept it a question for Putin’s calculus. The fact he said this gave a green light for Russia to March into Kyiv if they were willing to take the sanctions.

Lol Boris Johnson on NATO TV as PM of England said Russia will nuke us if we interfered and said that armed sales are being given to Ukraine, so even Boris Johnson said it was dangerous to send in troops, but Americans can't physically see sanctions they only see Russia not Ukraine Troops in combat


What do we see on TV Russia troops having a field day in Ukraine we never see Ukrainian troop combat

I disagree with NATO on that we should of tested it anyways is Russia gonna nuke us with the UN in NY, they're bluffing they could of sent in peacekeepers not ground troops to  test it

[2016]

Lol no they won't sweep the Midterms we haven't voted yet, we don't elect people by Approvals they don't poll state by state polls

Every State Poll where are competitive Races has Biden in the high 30ties to low 40ties.