Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Oh plse Everytime we get these 35 percent people goes bananas it's a blue wall map and Whitmer is tied in MI, we need to stop going by 35 percent Approvals he is at 47/51 like IPSOS HAS SAID WITH 3.0 UNEMPLOYMENT

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/RyanGirdusky/status/1482727068764934150?t=B2IWXlL_oinEQ-8Who...

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The Biden Administration has been a disaster.

Don't know if I would go that far, but he has been a disappointment, especially since Afghanistan fell and Delta Surged.  A year and a half ago things looked pretty good for Biden and the Democrats and even up until election night (or maybe the last week of that campaign), it looked like they could really do well.

The problem is we're still in a Pandemic and have Labor shortages what happened to BINF that said we had shovel ready jobs and Green jobs no one wants to take the same ol Manuel Labor jobs before the Pandemic

The samething happened with Obama the first two yrs they said there were shovel ready Green jobs and all there were was Obamacare

[OSR stands with Israel]

Remember well: the incumbent usually gets the edge in defining a somewhat-mysterious opponent. It doesn't always work well, as Jimmy Carter shows. Carter tried to show that Ronald Reagan was a capricious and reckless extremist just as the LBJ did to Goldwater and Nixon did to McGovern in blowout landslides. The Capitol Putsch will continue to fail in the 2022 and 2024 elections, and anyone connected to it will have some explaining to do.

President Biden did a good job of connecting the Putsch to a contempt for democracy among Republicans. The problem is that about 45% of Americans may have a contempt for democracy as pushed in high-school civics texts. Many Americans have a crazy idea that democracy simply means that the politicians pander to their views on cultural and ideological matters irrespective of other issues that can more severely affect their lives (economic downturns, wars that can cost the lives of their precious children, environmental degradation, and labor-management issues).

It was always a dumb strategy by the Democrats to use against Reagan given that Reagan when he was just as an actor won California by 15 points in a state LBJ won by 19 against Goldwater and against a Democratic incumbent who defeated two California Republican Powerhouses like Knowland and Nixon.

Its why he lost that debate so badly rather than Reagan doing extremely well in the debate. Its just that when the perception of being an extremist was proven to be false, Carter just lost the only thing that was keeping that election close(he was still down in the averages).


 

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Remember well: the incumbent usually gets the edge in defining a somewhat-mysterious opponent. It doesn't always work well, as Jimmy Carter shows. Carter tried to show that Ronald Reagan was a capricious and reckless extremist just as the LBJ did to Goldwater and Nixon did to McGovern in blowout landslides. The Capitol Putsch will continue to fail in the 2022 and 2024 elections, and anyone connected to it will have some explaining to do.

President Biden did a good job of connecting the Putsch to a contempt for democracy among Republicans. The problem is that about 45% of Americans may have a contempt for democracy as pushed in high-school civics texts. Many Americans have a crazy idea that democracy simply means that the politicians pander to their views on cultural and ideological matters irrespective of other issues that can more severely affect their lives (economic downturns, wars that can cost the lives of their precious children, environmental degradation, and labor-management issues).

It was always a dumb strategy by the Democrats to use against Reagan given that Reagan when he was just as an actor won California by 15 points in a state LBJ won by 19 against Goldwater and against a Democratic incumbent who defeated two California Republican Powerhouses like Knowland and Nixon.

Its why he lost that debate so badly rather than Reagan doing extremely well in the debate. Its just that when the perception of being an extremist was proven to be false, Carter just lost the only thing that was keeping that election close(he was still down in the averages).


 

Kennedy would have beaten Reagan in CA, I wasn't a Voter back then but income inequality was very small in 1980 compared to now, Housing cost, property tax, rents and mortgage have exploded and cars and automobile insurance

Insurance is very expensive even life insurance

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I was never a Biden fan anyways this just shows the D Establishment they might have been wrong of pushing everyone else out of the Primary except for Cory Booker or Bernie who could of beaten Trump as well has backfired

It maybe a 303 map but what's gonna happen in 24 the House is gone and if we do hold onto the Senate we're gonna lose in 24 no way on a Pandemic Environment 2 yrs from now Brown, OH, Tester, MT and Manchin survives in 24 leaving again a scenario where McConnell and Speaker McCarthy even if Biden is reelected are leaders of Congress on Jan 6, 2025

No way with these Civiqu polls are Biden in 22 or 24 gonna make up ground in red states because as soon as 22 is over 24 is around the corner and Covid isn't gonna end on 24 neither


Biden is too far down in red states but what is the reason, the economy is 3.0 INCUMBENT Red state Govs and Sens and House members are just as entrenched as blue state Govs, Sens and Rep but we need TX/FL to keep the H but we wont

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden Approvals are laughable in NC and they won't give us a single poll on OH or NC SEN but they give us DOOMED ABBY FINK -14 PT DEFICIT POLLS AGAINST GRASSLEY THATS HOW WE KNOW ITS A WAVE BY NC BUT BIDEN IS AT 34% APPROVAL in NC

[philly09]

CBS Poll: 44% Approval.

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/biden-inflation-first-year-opinion-poll/

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I don't know why Coviq polls are that far off in blue states because we're not losing MI, PA, WI, Biden isn't at 35 percent in blue wall states but maybe in 235 red wall states because the incumbent party is advantage because 3.0 unemployment just like DeSantis is bragging about low unemployment in FL, Wolf and Shapiro are bragging about low unemployment in PA, a 44 percent Approval doesn't equate a 35 percent Approvals inI, AZ because Whitmer and Kelly are narrowly ahead and GA the poll was tied Walker 49/48

But, as I said before why they won't give us an OH or NC SEN poll is baffling we know PA, WI are gonna go D and probably FL, IA are going R, but Ryan and Beasley have enough 💰💰💰 to compete but they're probably behind because last OH poll had Mandel up four and Beasley down two and Biden is at 34 percent in NC

Also Biden has a 30/65 Disapproval on the Border that affects FL/TX that's why a Nov poll that was bumped, Beto is down 15 not one, nice try though

The reason why Conservatives have R hack maps on Prediction map side a 304/234 blue wall and Biden at 50/48 maybe enough to hold the H at 223/215 D H 52/48 Senate and 25/23 D Govs and plus DC Statehood we don't need as I said earlier Red wall states even if we don't pass Voting Rights but it will help more in AZ and GA

[Hollywood]

Joe Biden has been thoroughly defeated in less than a year.  Can't even given Republicans the credit.  Biden and Progressive Democrats beat themselves up badly enough to never fully recover without some miraculous event outside their control.  

Going forward, the strategy for Republicans as explained to me will focus on the widespread nursing home deaths due to policies that New York spread to other states, and Republicans are 100% certain that multiple Governors released fraudulent Covid-19 death statistics just like Cuomo.  For example, it was just revealed that Whitmer undercounted by 30-40% after a Senate Republican investigation look into it.  Two other states with potentially fraudulent Covid-19 statistics include NJ and PA.  Democrat-controlled states like CT will not investigate due to the implications of a systemic Democrat Covid-19 scandal.  This is the motivation behind the investigation against Cuomo being dropped quietly, and the constant false accusations that DeSantis is fabricating numbers over insane allegations that he is killing people.  

From my conversations with Republicans, the demise of Biden has been effective in creating a vulnerability for Democrats in safe D districts.  The goal of the investigating nursing home deaths is to bring down all the state Democrat candidates that may have better favorables or approvals than Biden, and they are 100% confident that the D Governors hid nursing home deaths.  They know the evidence exists, and only have to pursue it.  The importance of the D stonewalling investigations at the Federal and State level is critical.  

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

A 44 percent Approvals in a CBS poll isn't the death penalty in Jan 2022 he only needs to be at 50/48 which he is on track to be at on Election day it's 3.0 Unemployment and 3.0 GDP and Whitmer, Warnock and Kelly aren't at 34 percent as Civiq says Biden Approvals are at in MI, AZ and GA they're at neat or close to 50 we will keep our blue states and Rs will keep the Red states because entrenched incumbent in 3.0 unemployment and Biden is at 30/65 at Border wall states especially in FL/TX but the H can go either way

How is Biden at 35 at MI and GA and Whitmer is at 48 percent and so is Warnock but Biden is at 35 percent in NC and OH because Tim Ryan and Beasley are at 40 percent

[Hollywood]

CBS Poll: 44% Approval.

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/biden-inflation-first-year-opinion-poll/

Based on that CBS Poll, I have a great amount of confidence that the real approval number may be somewhere between 44% and upper 30s that Civiqs, Rasmussen and Q are indicating.  Look at the economy number for Biden slipping to over 60% negative. His disapproval on inflation is 70%.  Every Republican has known that inflation was the biggest issues since Biden took office.  Some of us were drawing straight lines between Biden's action and inflation, but the Biden solution has bee denial, complacency, and then scapegoating.  It was very obvious to the veterans of the election forum that Democrats were focusing on the issues voters didn't care about, and kept doing it until voters became pissed that they were wasting time with 'Build Back Better' and Insurrection nonsense.  Outlets like CNN and MSNBC are truly rotting the minds of their viewers in a similar fashion to Fox with the War in Iraq.  

Additionally, 61% of people think Biden is doing a bad job handling Covid-19 cause of vaccine mandates and bad information, but 49% approve?  Doesn't make any sense to me.  How does 40% think Biden's policies are making the situation worse and 25% say no impact, but 49% approve?  Something is off with that number.  

At the end of the day, 44% approve and 56% disapprove.  That's close to the Rasmussen polls last month that had 42-56% approval.  The real disaster for Democrats is that a big majority of the people in that 44% that CBS has in the topline are more passive (25%).  Strongly disapproves outnumber the Strongly Approve by a margin of 2-1 margin.  Biden is down by about 60% on almost every major issue: Crime, inflation, immigration, foreign policy, race relations, etc., and this poll is also indicating that he is extremely vulnerable on Coronavirus.  57% think thinks are getting worse during his Administration.  

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

That's why hopefully, Sinema comes to her senses and pass Voting Rights, a 303/235 blue wall isn't guarenteed but it's not DOOMSDAY SCENRIO UNTIL ALL THE VOTES ARE COUNTED AND THATS ALL BIDEN NEEDS WITHOUT AZ, GA AND KS to get reelected

But, Rs blocking Biden on BBB and Voting Rights is hurting Rs with swing state voters top Collins which is a fake moderate is endangered her reelection prospects in 26

[Hollywood]

A 44 percent Approvals in a CBS poll isn't the death penalty in Jan 2022 he only needs to be at 50/48 which he is on track to be at on Election day it's 3.0 Unemployment and 3.0 GDP and Whitmer, Warnock and Kelly aren't at 34 percent as Civiq says Biden Approvals are at in MI, AZ and GA they're at neat or close to 50 we will keep our blue states and Rs will keep the Red states because entrenched incumbent in 3.0 unemployment and Biden is at 30/65 at Border wall states especially in FL/TX but the H can go either way

How is Biden at 35 at MI and GA and Whitmer is at 48 percent and so is Warnock but Biden is at 35 percent in NC and OH because Tim Ryan and Beasley are at 40 percent

The CBS Poll says voters don't care about anything you just said in regards to the economy.  Biden is not on track to be at 50-48%.  He is on track to be at 38-62% given that the is that deep underwater on practically every issue.  

Democrat Governor of Virginia had good numbers in comparison to Biden's much better approvals in November, and McAullife got smacked cause none of you understood the state and local issues.  Polls consistently show that solid Democrats haven't a clue which way the wind is blowing, or what issues are important to most people.  

In Michigan, it's been discovered that Whitmer hid Covid-19 nursing home deaths just like Cuomo, but came up with a better excuse for her deception.  The landscape in GA and AZ just keeps getting worse for Democrats.  Sinema might have saved AZ by opposing build back better.  

The fact that you think FL could flip just demonstrates my point about Democrats not having clue about the environment and issues in these states.  There are Democrats that don't even want DeSantis out of office, and many of them won't even donate cause it's so futile.  DeSantis is considered best Governor in the country by most Floridians.  Hundreds of thousands of refugees from blue states came to FL to get away from the Cuomos and the Whitmers.  Not only will Republicans be more enthusiastic in the next election, they will a voter registration advantage.  The Republicans had a 38-30% lead over the Democrats in turnout, because most of the independents are basically Republicans that didn't choose a party at the DMV.  

[Pericles]

My guess is that Biden still has more goodwill than Trump did and if things go right for him he had a higher ceiling. His approval rating is going to be more volatile than Trump's and this could be good or very bad for him.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

A 44 percent Approvals in a CBS poll isn't the death penalty in Jan 2022 he only needs to be at 50/48 which he is on track to be at on Election day it's 3.0 Unemployment and 3.0 GDP and Whitmer, Warnock and Kelly aren't at 34 percent as Civiq says Biden Approvals are at in MI, AZ and GA they're at neat or close to 50 we will keep our blue states and Rs will keep the Red states because entrenched incumbent in 3.0 unemployment and Biden is at 30/65 at Border wall states especially in FL/TX but the H can go either way

How is Biden at 35 at MI and GA and Whitmer is at 48 percent and so is Warnock but Biden is at 35 percent in NC and OH because Tim Ryan and Beasley are at 40 percent

The CBS Poll says voters don't care about anything you just said in regards to the economy.  Biden is not on track to be at 50-48%.  He is on track to be at 38-62% given that the is that deep underwater on practically every issue.  

Democrat Governor of Virginia had good numbers in comparison to Biden's much better approvals in November, and McAullife got smacked cause none of you understood the state and local issues.  Polls consistently show that solid Democrats haven't a clue which way the wind is blowing, or what issues are important to most people.  

In Michigan, it's been discovered that Whitmer hid Covid-19 nursing home deaths just like Cuomo, but came up with a better excuse for her deception.  The landscape in GA and AZ just keeps getting worse for Democrats.  Sinema might have saved AZ by opposing build back better.  

The fact that you think FL could flip just demonstrates my point about Democrats not having clue about the environment and issues in these states.  There are Democrats that don't even want DeSantis out of office, and many of them won't even donate cause it's so futile.  DeSantis is considered best Governor in the country by most Floridians.  Hundreds of thousands of refugees from blue states came to FL to get away from the Cuomos and the Whitmers.  Not only will Republicans be more enthusiastic in the next election, they will a voter registration advantage.  The Republicans had a 38-30% lead over the Democrats in turnout, because most of the independents are basically Republicans that didn't choose a party at the DMV.  

If you go bye the IPOS NOT CHERRY PICKING POLLS IPSOS HAS HIM AT 47/51 AND 50/48 AND ZOGBY HAS HIM AT 50/48 Job Approval and 43/50 Job Performance

He isn't there now but can be by Nov

Rassy is a partisan pollster from Fox news it's just like looking at PPP polls and PPP hasn't come out with Amy polls since they had Ds ahead in OH Sen

[Hollywood]

That's why hopefully, Sinema comes to her senses and pass Voting Rights, a 303/235 blue wall isn't guarenteed but it's not DOOMSDAY SCENRIO UNTIL ALL THE VOTES ARE COUNTED AND THATS ALL BIDEN NEEDS WITHOUT AZ, GA AND KS to get reelected

But, Rs blocking Biden on BBB and Voting Rights is hurting Rs with swing state voters top Collins which is a fake moderate is endangered her reelection prospects in 26

The number one issue in AZ is opposition to Biden and the progressive left Democrats.  Nobody even knows what's in the Voter Rights Bill or how it will effect them at the moment just like with the BBB Bill.  Even with the biased polls, only about 52-58% support the proposals they are asked about, but none of them are aware the the voting ID portion is not in the Bill despite it receiving 67-80-% approval from voters.  Just like the BBB did until it didn't pass cause people actually discussed, and now CBS says a vast majority don't think it helps.  Based on that CBS poll, 70% of voters just want Democrats to focus on the issues that are important to them.  

Real talk though... Sinema and Manchin aren't going to let Democrats enact a bill that will inevitably used to defraud them out of a Senate seat.  Same day voting and automatic absentee ballot, as well as 22 day residency requirement, are all means to commit voter fraud.  

In a Paterson, NJ election, 20% of ballots were rejected due to fraudulent activity by the Menendez Campaign where the margin of victory was 240 votes.  https://thenewamerican.com/what-dems-want-nationally-locality-s-mail-in-vote-fraud-so-bad-judge-orders-new-election/

In Philadelphia, PA, an election judge was convicted of taking bribes to add ballots tot he tally.
https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/former-philadelphia-judge-elections-convicted-conspiring-violate-civil-rights-and-bribery

Sinema and Manchin aren't going to put voting integrity in the hands of their own party when they know these issues are commonplace.  So the Federal Voting Control Act is not passing.  

[Hollywood]

A 44 percent Approvals in a CBS poll isn't the death penalty in Jan 2022 he only needs to be at 50/48 which he is on track to be at on Election day it's 3.0 Unemployment and 3.0 GDP and Whitmer, Warnock and Kelly aren't at 34 percent as Civiq says Biden Approvals are at in MI, AZ and GA they're at neat or close to 50 we will keep our blue states and Rs will keep the Red states because entrenched incumbent in 3.0 unemployment and Biden is at 30/65 at Border wall states especially in FL/TX but the H can go either way

How is Biden at 35 at MI and GA and Whitmer is at 48 percent and so is Warnock but Biden is at 35 percent in NC and OH because Tim Ryan and Beasley are at 40 percent

The CBS Poll says voters don't care about anything you just said in regards to the economy.  Biden is not on track to be at 50-48%.  He is on track to be at 38-62% given that the is that deep underwater on practically every issue.  

Democrat Governor of Virginia had good numbers in comparison to Biden's much better approvals in November, and McAullife got smacked cause none of you understood the state and local issues.  Polls consistently show that solid Democrats haven't a clue which way the wind is blowing, or what issues are important to most people.  

In Michigan, it's been discovered that Whitmer hid Covid-19 nursing home deaths just like Cuomo, but came up with a better excuse for her deception.  The landscape in GA and AZ just keeps getting worse for Democrats.  Sinema might have saved AZ by opposing build back better.  

The fact that you think FL could flip just demonstrates my point about Democrats not having clue about the environment and issues in these states.  There are Democrats that don't even want DeSantis out of office, and many of them won't even donate cause it's so futile.  DeSantis is considered best Governor in the country by most Floridians.  Hundreds of thousands of refugees from blue states came to FL to get away from the Cuomos and the Whitmers.  Not only will Republicans be more enthusiastic in the next election, they will a voter registration advantage.  The Republicans had a 38-30% lead over the Democrats in turnout, because most of the independents are basically Republicans that didn't choose a party at the DMV.  

If you go bye the IPOS NOT CHERRY PICKING POLLS IPSOS HAS HIM AT 47/51 AND 50/48 AND ZOGBY HAS HIM AT 50/48 Job Approval and 43/50 Job Performance

He isn't there now but can be by Nov

Rassy is a partisan pollster from Fox news it's just like looking at PPP polls and PPP hasn't come out with Amy polls since they had Ds ahead in OH Sen

I gave you three polls (2Ds and 1R).  You can add YouGov, Gallup and Trafalgar to the mix. InsiderAdvantage and NBC/Hart.  Change, Suffolk, Marist, Monmouth 

You're cherry picking two polls that aren't even normally used for Approval Ratings, and one of them is from a month ago.  They are not even in a reasonable margin of error.

The reason the ones I mention are so important is due to the many voters that don't have an opinion, which demonstrates a lack of enthusiasm by voters in the Democrat base.  And the reason for this is due to them disagreeing with almost every single one of Biden's policy, except maybe Covid-19. 

Civiqs is a poll of 150,000 people from all 50 states, and that map that's disturbing you shows a lack of support in even the blue states.  They've been sniffing the same trend as Rasmussen since the summer and fall.  If Ipso and Zogby were correct as D polls modeled, Youngkin would not be Governor. 

As you can see from the IPSO graph, they've been behind the trend of the dynamic approval polls, and haven't had any idea which way the wind was blowing since August.  As we saw from VA exit polls, they wrong, Rasmussen was correct, and they were backed by many A polls. 
https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/news-polls/ipsos-core-political-presidential-approval-tracker-01132022

Stop watching CNN and go talk to people.  Hicks, blacks, and Hispanics, as well as construction workers, white collar workers, and moms.  I went to the two college campuses near my house, and there was a huge Republican presence and Democrat absence. 

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Whitmer is up 48/39 in MI or tied and Warnock is behind 49/38 and Mark Kelly is up 41/40 or 43/39; how does that equate to Coviq polls showing 35 percent Approvals in AZ, GA and MI it doesn't but Beasley is behind 42/40 in NC and Tim Ryan is down 44/40 which does coalace around 34 percent Approvals, in NC and OH, that's why I am cherry picking blue state v red state polls

Rassy has Biden at 38/60 Approvals overall trash can poll

[pbrower2a]

One needs to know:

1. what is the source of the poll? This is especially true with interactive polls that may be directed at people accessing strongly-conservative or strongly-liberal news or political sites.  Interactive polls provided by a political party, union, political-action committee, or commercial special-interest group are worthless. Insider polls generally are honest about places not reasonably in contest, but not key states.

2. the adjustments made. A pollster might have a large number of interviews from elderly people and few from younger people, and may adjust the sample sizes to reflect a more natural proportion of people interviewed.   

3. Sample size. Larger sample sizes are better; wider regional, ethnic, and economic diversity is better. States more homogeneous (let us say Vermont) or in which people are concentrated heavily in a small part of the state (Illinois) are less trickier than those with huge regional divides (Texas). This is not so much a matter of state size. I would expect the San Francisco, Los Angeles, and San Diego areas to be fairly similar in politics. I would expect Dallas to be very different from Amarillo or El Paso.

4. Questions. Loaded questions ("Do you believe that Donald Trump was a disaster as President" or "Do you question that someone nearly 80 can be an effective President?" are to be avoided. Few pollsters are that blatant, but some newbies might be.
 

 

[Hollywood]

Whitmer is up 48/39 in MI or tied and Warnock is behind 49/38 and Mark Kelly is up 41/40 or 43/39; how does that equate to Coviq polls showing 35 percent Approvals in AZ, GA and MI it doesn't but Beasley is behind 42/40 in NC and Tim Ryan is down 44/40 which does coalace around 34 percent Approvals, in NC and OH, that's why I am cherry picking blue state v red state polls

Rassy has Biden at 38/60 Approvals overall trash can poll

So you are truly hack with the polls.  Glengariff and Detroit News?  They showed Peters with the same 10 point lead over James in October 2020, and it ended up as a 1 point lead for Peters on election day.   I love how the fake news calls Glengariff an Independent source when they are Democrats.  You always use Trafalgar over some other nonsense.  Always.  They got MI Senate Race wrong by 2 points, and they averaged within margin of error.  75% over the Cell Phone without demographics?  I'm trashing that poll and your entire post.    

So Trafalgar has Craig up by 6.  We use Trafalgar we there isn't anything better on 538.  The fact you didn't use Trafalgar after in a Republican year when it just nailed VA means I'm at least right about you having no clue.  Whitmer is currently getting hit by the Republicans for killing people in nursing homes and a manipulating the nursing home deaths by 30-40 percent.  

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I know it's a 3o4/235 Map but my prediction doesn't have to be accurate and it's a fun map and I can put anything I want on it because the server doesn't block you, I am a Tim Ryan and Beto and Crist fan and it's fun to think they can win, hopefully they do but they're upsets

I am the one that said it's the Nate Silver blue wall of ME 2 rule

[Anti-Trump Truth Socialite JD Vance Enjoying Juror]

Wow this thread is unreadable.

[Person Man]

Wow this thread is unreadable.

There’s definitely been a decline that respect as the presidents have changed.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I forgot whom I was talking to Hollywood is 2016 reincarnated, he's just treating me nicely not shouting at me like he usually do

But, everyone knows that Biden is at the bottom of the polls but D's at the end of the day, the Final poll is on Election day and it's not over 11 mnths from now

RS aren't gonna sweep everything like Civiq polls act like they are at 35/55 Approvals 50H seats and 35 Govs, because 2010 was a different Environment, we were in a deep Recession and 10 percent Unemployment and Obamacare was unpopular, now we're at 3.0 Unemployment and 3.0 GDP


Biden isn't at 35/55 likeCiviq says he's where IPSOS SAY 47/51  where a 304/234 map is possible we only need WI, MI, PA, Trump us in AZ and welike to have AZ as wave insurance but he wasn't in the Rust belt the only states he need🤭🤭🤭🤭