Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

pbower2A has very little to say because Biden is about to cost Ds big time in 22

How low can Ds in the Minority will they go is the question, I am so ready for a Pete Buttigieg Prez, the D's like Obama, Clyburn picked the wrong person, he isn't Landslide Biden he is loser Biden

40% Biden, it's not gonna much anyways if Rs are in the Majority, it didn't during the 2010s

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Just a note for these Dismal Approvals is that we Ds aren't gonna get an 8oM/75 M it's gonna be 65/62M 2016 turnout in a Midterm turnout always go down but we can still replicate a 304/234 blue wall in that scenario the Election is Nov 22 but no question are Rs the Favs in the H they might net 10/20 even if we net 2 Seats in the Senate

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

https://twitter.com/PollsandOdds/status/1474883466684735500?s=20

Bottomless pit

2022 won't be 1894.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://twitter.com/PollsandOdds/status/1474883466684735500?s=20

Bottomless pit

2022 won't be 1894.

It's 2010/14 right now but who knows where it ends up

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The problem for Biden is that when COVID disappears after April it will once again appear during Election season, because Election season is in the heart of Flu season

We're gonna have these constant surges forseeable future every yr

Also, Gas prices and inflation are still too high

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Civiqs is not a reliable pollster and that has been pointed out multiple times here.

And I find it so funny that this InteractivePolls claims to be independent in their bio while every single tweet of theirs is a carefully cherrypicked poll that makes Biden look bad. They didn't even report on the Fox News poll that came out last week showing his approval rating increasing to 47%.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It depends on turnout really will we get a 46M turnout in 2018/65M turnout or an 80M turnout, if we get a Prez turnout we can have wave insurance if it's a 65M 304 blue wall and 46M an R wave and it's gonna be higher than 2021 Terry underperform in Spanberger District all our candidates will be on the ballot not just statewide and it's still VBM


Because it's VBM Midterm turnout doesn't apply since it's not same day voting. But as of now it's probably a 2016 turnout solidify blue wall but it can be a Prez turnout

[pbrower2a]

Hollywood and many Rs don't believe that Hillary won 65M/62 and Biden won 80M/74 and Blks, Latinos make up 30 percent of the D vote and 20 percent of non Evangelical White men and Females make up the remainder of the 50 of the vote of course outside of TX and FL all Minorities including females are Liberal and in TX and FL and OH blacks store still 90/9  devoted to Ds including Asians and Muslims and mixed races

We don't have to get 80 M this Midterm but Biden has an easy path to get 50 percent to Rs 45 percent the only PVI the Rs have won is the House 16/20 abd that was due to Lewinsky from 1995/2007 the Senate has been evenly split between the parties that's why Ds have a g9od chance of having a 52/48 S bye netting WI and PA

Except McAuliffe only got 55% of Biden's vote while Youngkin received 85% of Trump's vote in an election where Biden's approvals were 46-53%.  The biggest factor in the race in terms of turnout and core enthusiasm was the fact that 45% of the electorate strongly disapproved of Biden.  Civiqs, Rasmussen and Trafalgar are right on the money with state and national numbers.  

Avg with Civiqs:
GA = 32-55
OH = 31-61
PA = 39-54
WI = 38-54
NV = 37-56
MI = 38-54
NC = 36-57

National Avg Civq/Trafalgar/Rasmussen = 39-55% with 46% strongly disapproving nationally.  

We don't even have nominees yet and I still think Democrats would be lucky to hang on to 48 Senate Seats.  

The latest polls matter most. Trump had a 60% disapproval rate in Iowa and just under 60% disapproval in Ohio during his term... about when China took revenge upon Trump for high tariffs on imports of Chinese manufactures. China would greatly reduce its purchases of American farm products in states deemed critical to the 2020 election. Iowa is the definitive agribusiness state and Ohio is headed in that direction as most of its cities decline.

Trump opened the spigots of farm supports to offset (really, more than offset) farmers' losses, which is basically the practice of buying votes instead of reverting to a sounder economic policy. Tariffs are barely-visible taxes, but they impose great inefficiency upon an economy for questionable benefit of a few. They raise costs of domestic production and make exports more difficult to sell. The sole justifications that I can see for tariffs is that those who import much of their stuff are comparatively-rich people such as foreign workers who participate little in the local economy as consumers but import a bunch of stuff from 'back home'.   

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

MSNBC says it's a 304/234 map the ME 2 flipping in 2024 on Angus King because in 2018 we had 46 M but in 2020 we had 80 but in 2016 we had 65 if we maintain a 65 M advantage based on VBM we can still solidify the blue wall but of course turnout is gonna go wayyyy down in Midterm but Minorities are still gonna vote

We had lower turnout in Cali recall and Newsom won bye the same margin as in 2020 the rule is if IA or IN are double digits it's a 304 map but if they are within single digits it's a 413 map and Fink is down 14 but when Biden was at 57 she was 7 or less down

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1475224121051160586?s=20

[pbrower2a]

I expect little polling this weekend (holidays) or next, so I expect to see little new statewide polling until about three weeks from Wednesday unless by such an entity that does interactive polls.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden still struggling with his Approvals but Covid Omnicron will be over in April I am so sick of these 42% Approvals

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I expect little polling this weekend (holidays) or next, so I expect to see little new statewide polling until about three weeks from Wednesday unless by such an entity that does interactive polls.

I doubt they do interactive polls thru did that last time state by state and look how that turned out we were supposed to win NC, SC and ME

MSNBC interactive polls

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

pbower2A if Rs take the House they are expected the hold it until the next Redistricting 2030 but who knows how long the R lockout will be we took the H in 2006 before 2010, but definitely Biden not getting rid of Covid is a dark cloud over his Prez and what makes it worse is that Election is during flu season again in September

Biden has been stuck at 42 percent since the Debt Ceiling crisis and GoVt Shutdown, he was like Newsom at 57% during Cali recall no Debt Ceiling showdown until end of September

He gets momentum and gets up to 50/48 in some polls but the overall tracking had him at 42%

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Just a note to pbower2A looking for interactive polls and 48/48 Approvals no Prez has ever been reelected per Gallup under 50% and Biden is at 43/51

He did get in and so did Ossoff and WARNOCK bye promise stimulus checks last yr for everyone

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Just a note to pbower2A looking for interactive polls and 48/48 Approvals no Prez has ever been reelected per Gallup under 50% and Biden is at 43/51

He did get in and so did Ossoff and WARNOCK bye promise stimulus checks last yr for everyone

Obama, Truman and W Bush say hi

[pbrower2a]

pbower2A if Rs take the House they are expected the hold it until the next Redistricting 2030 but who knows how long the R lockout will be we took the H in 2006 before 2010, but definitely Biden not getting rid of Covid is a dark cloud over his Prez and what makes it worse is that Election is during flu season again in September

Biden has been stuck at 42 percent since the Debt Ceiling crisis and GoVt Shutdown, he was like Newsom at 57% during Cali recall no Debt Ceiling showdown until end of September

He gets momentum and gets up to 50/48 in some polls but the overall tracking had him at 42%

Lockout of the other side forever? That implies a dictatorship.

About 40% of Americans would be perfectly satisfied with a dictatorship so long as the victims were people that they did not know and did not care about. A hint to smart American kids in the event that America comes under an anti-intellectual regime that sees anyone with an IQ over about 100 as a menace and anyone with an average level of intelligence a suspect: learn a foreign language. Take your junior year in Prague or Helsinki, or maybe Jakarta if you prefer warm weather... and defect.

Trump was at an even worse position in polling at times, and he came close to getting re-elected. He got close to re-election by opening the spigots of farm subsidies to offset the personal distress of  farmers from a trade war, but that simply bloated the budget deficits for us all.   

Donald Trump gave us a taste of despotism, and it was certainly ugly. We had to spit it out twice -- once in November and once again in January. The next time we will need our stomachs pumped.   

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We will see if Voting Rights pass, we're not the problem critical of Biden Manchin and Sinema are whom are obstruction of Voti g Rights abd Schumer says Jan 17 the he will vote on a rule change

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

As I said before we're not gonna top out past 80 M votes in a Midterm Election and it's a ME rule EC 304/234 MAP ANYWAYS


We're as likely to lose MI, WI and PA unLess a PPP poll says that as RS are likely to lose OH, FL and NC by a Mason Dixon poll aandthe Border crisis has not subsided yet regardless if Voting Rights passes

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Damn, olawakandi alone has made more than 1200 posts in this thread

So what, And

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Damn, olawakandi alone has made more than 1200 posts in this thread

So what, And

I'm fine with you making 1,200 more.
You can never have enough OC.

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Biden still struggling with his Approvals but Covid Omnicron will be over in April I am so sick of these 42% Approvals

You never know what will happen, nobody thought omicron would be a thing on November 15

[RJ]

Here's an article about approval ratings of a few key official I found interesting (hopefully others do to):


https://www.yahoo.com/news/chief-justice-roberts-highest-approval-164404597.html


If you scroll down the page it says Biden's approval rating is at 43% among others

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden polls will gradually get better and he only needs to be at 50/45; on Election and there still can be a blue wave and hopefully Crist beats DeSantis Trump only won FL bye 3 any blue wave can blow DeSantis out especially if Voting Rights pass

COVID and Pandemic will end in April like it always do after Flu season, we opened Bars, Stadiums and Dorms after flu season last year

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Whitmer Approvals not GOOD 46/49 and Biden 40/56 in MI🤭🤭🤭