Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump never got to 50 percent and isn't at 50 percent now against Biden

[pbrower2a]

More evidence of the Biden Comeback! THANK YOU NEW HAMPSHIRE!
https://twitter.com/steinhausernh1/status/1473340541324730372?s=21

Paging pbrower2a and his NUT maps.

The last map that I had is now a "nut map" New Hampshire may be a very small state, but it is usually close to the national average. In view of  2004 and 2016 a Democrat can lose despite barely winning New Hampshire. This poll comes as the "loss" of Afghanistan loses its sting. How will the Omicron variant affect politics? I can't say.

It's one state, and a very small state with only four of 537. But it ain't Idaho and it ain't Rhode Island, either.

  

Biden approval

positive and 50% to 55%

Anyone who wants to revive one of those "nut maps" is welcome to show it again. Reality made such a map "nutty". Reality can change.  

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://www.yahoo.com/news/students-end-hunger-strike-voting-195501777.html

There is hope that Voting Rights can get passed and change in Fillibuster can be Amended to pass  Voting Rights, Rs haven't won yet

D's should of did this in the Summertime when Biden had 57 percent Approvals but if Voting Rights passes a wave will follow, the Rs haven't won anything, yet

If they get in control we're gonna go back to the Trump yrs they're not gonna help the poor they just want Power

[pbrower2a]

As the Apartheid system showed in South Africa, who gets to vote can decide practically every election.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's a ME 2 304:<EC map anyways despite what Vaccinated Bear 🐻🐻 says it is because Biden Approvals are similar to Trump's was in 2020 and he can end up at 50/45 on Election night 221 D in the H erased but a 51/48 Senate with GA going to a Runoff

But, if Voting Rights passes it a whole new ballgame I saw on TV Psaki said VR may not pass D's always try to get your hopes up for VR then let you down what happened to Rev Barber and Jesse Jackson they vanished

It's called fundraising try to get you to donate to longshots like Crist, T Ryan and Beasley we haven't seen any Senate polls especially on OH and NC but they give us doomed Fink polls in Iowa

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

It's laughable that Democrats bragged about Biden's polling numbers based on a 4-day trend where his Approval rises by 1-2 points.  I saw dozens of articles making celebrating an imaginary "Bounce Back" in support for Biden and Democrats, which Mandela Barnes, and other brainwashed Democrat lemmings, repeated throughout social media.  It was obvious from the data last week that the notorious Democrat pollsters were cooking the numbers in favor of the Democrats, which is why 538 gave them a D+2 to 4% Mean Reverted Bias.  The Democrat bias is much worse than Nate Silver, and it's likely that Biden has a Disapproval in the range of 54-58% at a time when the country is heading towards a disastrous Covid-19 Economic restriction/shutdown that will devastate Americans. 

InsiderAdvantage, Rasmussen and Marist are all illustrating a growing hatred for Biden and the Democrats among Independents and Hispanics.  The Democrats are becoming more fractured as the Republicans become a bigger, more united part of the electorate. 

In less than one year, we've come to the point where Democrats have convinced most Americans that Trump is a far superior Executive Branch Branch Leader than both Biden and Harris. 

Democrats can scream all they want about insurrection conspiracies.  I've said that from the beginning.  It's a crutch I knew would hurt them, but I didn't predict that it would catapult Trump. 

You have NY Democrats voting on internment camps for the unvaccinated Americans, in addition to drastic reductions in due process rights, this Wednesday. God help them if they pass it.  I can think of better way to turn 2/3rds of Americans into insurrectionists than creating a law that will result in the illegal detention of unvaccinated family members.       

Marist is the only legitimate outlier. IA is a GOP pollster and Rasmussen is... Rasmussen. Maybe you should stop cherrypicking from a pretty bad crop of pollsters.

No. You should.

Fox News is "the only legitimate outlier".

Ipsos has a (B-) rating, and CNN has (C). AI and Rasmussen both a better pollsters with (B) rating. Not only you're cherry-picking, you are cherry-picking "from a pretty bad crop of pollsters".

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, Dec. 19-21, 1500 adults including 1315 RV

Adults:

Approve 39 (-2)
Disapprove 49 (-1)

Strongly approve 17 (-2)
Strongly disapprove 37 (-1)

RV:

Approve 42 (-1)
Disapprove 50 (-1)

Strongly approve 19 (-2)
Strongly disapprove 39 (-1)

GCB (RV only): D 43 (+1), R 36 (-2)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden is still losing to Trump 49/41 the pollster is right if Biden doesn't get to 50% per Gallup he will LOSE

HE DIDNT DO ANYTHING ANYWAY

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

D's aren't leading on GCB here is the Insider Advantage poll

D's ahead on GCB is garbage

https://overland.amgreatness.com/app/uploads/2021/12/National-Poll-1-Dec-21-Results.pdf


Control House

Rs 48/43%

Control Senate

Rs 51/42%

Prez
Trump 49/41

Job performance

Biden

41/58%

Southern Border
Biden 30/65

Inflation
Positive 30/65 Negative

pbower2A it's a Red wave🛑🛑🛑🛑

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

So much for Beto on TX Gov in a Pandemic he wants open borders

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

It's a ME 2 304:<EC map anyways despite what Vaccinated Bear 🐻🐻 says it is because Biden Approvals are similar to Trump's was in 2020 and he can end up at 50/45 on Election night 221 D in the H erased but a 51/48 Senate with GA going to a Runoff

Biden is still losing to Trump 49/41 the pollster is right if Biden doesn't get to 50% per Gallup he will LOSE

HE DIDNT DO ANYTHING ANYWAY

Between this posts there is only one sh**tty poll of YouGov

// 🐻🐻🐻

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Where is wbrooks he is nowhere to be found I posted that before the Insider Advantage polls

[Aurelius]

https://twitter.com/GiancarloSopo/status/1472970642244972546

The speed of the Hispanic red shift is astonishing.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's a ME 2 304:<EC map anyways despite what Vaccinated Bear 🐻🐻 says it is because Biden Approvals are similar to Trump's was in 2020 and he can end up at 50/45 on Election night 221 D in the H erased but a 51/48 Senate with GA going to a Runoff

Biden is still losing to Trump 49/41 the pollster is right if Biden doesn't get to 50% per Gallup he will LOSE

HE DIDNT DO ANYTHING ANYWAY

Between this posts there is only one sh**tty poll of YouGov

// 🐻🐻🐻

The internals for RS look bleak in NV and GA  so the 304 wall can still stand

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Warnock down bye 1in GA and Laxalt only 4 ahead of CCM not 10 that Sisolak was down bye

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/GiancarloSopo/status/1472970642244972546

The speed of the Hispanic red shift is astonishing.

Not only is this a clear outlier, but the n= for this group is probably like 100 or something.

[Aurelius]

https://twitter.com/GiancarloSopo/status/1472970642244972546

The speed of the Hispanic red shift is astonishing.

Not only is this a clear outlier, but the n= for this group is probably like 100 or something.

N=224, MOE=7 points.

[BigSerg]

More evidence of the Biden Comeback!

https://twitter.com/PollProjectUSA/status/1473776684532785159?s=20

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

https://twitter.com/GiancarloSopo/status/1472970642244972546

The speed of the Hispanic red shift is astonishing.

Not only is this a clear outlier, but the n= for this group is probably like 100 or something.

N=224, MOE=7 points.

Moreover, literally every trend starts from an outlier.

Polls showed Trump doing ok with Hispanics in 2016 and Libs said no way, he hates latinos.
In 2020 polls showed Trump improving Hispanics. Outliers! said wbrocks.

Last months WSJ poll showed this



Outlier! said Libs.

Now Marist show this


What does wbrocks say?

 

https://twitter.com/GiancarloSopo/status/1472970642244972546

The speed of the Hispanic red shift is astonishing.

Not only is this a clear outlier, but the n= for this group is probably like 100 or something.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

More evidence of the Biden Comeback!

https://twitter.com/PollProjectUSA/status/1473776684532785159?s=20

COVID is gonna disappear in the Spring these are Dec polls not Sept 22 polls

[pbrower2a]

Axios-Ipsos Poll of Hispanic Adults

"Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joe Biden?"

Favorable - 53%
Unfavorable - 35%
Don't Know / Skipped - 12%
Favorable + 18%

1,064 Hispanic Adults living throughout the nation were surveyed between December 02 and December 14, 2021.
The margin of error is ±3.8 percentage points at the 95% confidence level.


This pollster has a B- Rating from FiveThirtyEight:

In the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election, it underestimated the Republican margin by 2.5%
In the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election in AZ, it underestimated the Republican margin by 1.7%
In the 2020 U.S. Senate Election in AZ, it underestimated the Republican margin by 6.7%
In the 2020 U.S. Presidential Election in FL, it underestimated the Republican margin by 7.4%

So much for the allegedly-strong and swift (Atlas) Red shift of Hispanic voters nationwide. The Trump campaign and the GOP front groups were pushing a Red (as in Marxist-Leninist) scare on Spanish-language media especially in Florida, and that ha gone quiet. I would expect Hispanic voters of all kinds to drift R as their economic conditions improve. Note also the heavy intermarriage by Hispanics with non-Hispanic white people, which has already changed the "ethnic" meaning of "Hispanic". With persons born to such mixed marriages, the issue is not so much appearance as culture.

[ElectionsGuy]

The hilarious thing about the "Biden comeback" narrative is that they lost the "Safe D" state of Virginia when Biden's approval was -8 in RCP/538 averages. Now his approval is... -9... in polls that mostly overestimate/overrepresent Democrats and their voters. Even a -6 wouldn't come close to stopping them from losing key Senate and governor races in states that are more Republican than the country as a whole. Biden doesn't just need a comeback, he needs a reversal back to pre-August levels.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The hilarious thing about the "Biden comeback" narrative is that they lost the "Safe D" state of Virginia when Biden's approval was -8 in RCP/538 averages. Now his approval is... -9... in polls that mostly overestimate/overrepresent Democrats and their voters. Even a -6 wouldn't come close to stopping them from losing key Senate and governor races in states that are more Republican than the country as a whole. Biden doesn't just need a comeback, he needs a reversal back to pre-August levels.

Lol it's 10 mnths til the Election COVID 19 WILL END IN APRIL LIKE THE SEASONAL FLU, TS STILL A 304 MAP UNTIL WE LOSE IT OUR H abd Gov withvthe exception of KY and LA replicates the 3o3 blue wall the map of 304 replicates the end result on what will happen on Nov 22 not what is happening now Jan 22 you should know that after how many yrs of posting


Rs haven't cracked the Blue wall since we ran a corrupt female Benghazi Hillary

The Rs are Favs in the H due to Redistricting unless Voting rights passes a D's are Favs in Senate WI and Pa and Johnson praised an Insurrectionists and along with Toomey isn't a Juggernaut like you and many Rs claim he is, he won bye 150K votes

Biden only had to be at 50 percent on one day near election day not 1o mnths before and it's VBM not Same day voting

We lost VA because our Federal H abd Senate candidates weren't on the ballot TERRY underperformed in Spanberger District if she was running he would of done better, in Nov 22 everyone will be running

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

(A-)-rated Trafalgar Group* (R)
https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/12/TRF-Biden-Approval-1222-Poll-Report.pdf
1,073 LV
DEC 18-21, 2021


Likely Voters:
40 (+4 since NOV 26-29)
56 (-3)
Strongly: 10/47

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Wbrooks only come on when Biden has 50 percent Approvals