Georgia senate seats runoff(s) megathread
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Author Topic: Georgia senate seats runoff(s) megathread  (Read 267954 times)
BudgieForce
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« Reply #4100 on: January 05, 2021, 10:49:18 PM »
Quote from: FL & OH: Not Even Once on January 05, 2021, 10:47:04 PM
If the Dekalb CEO's numbers are accurate, then it's still enough for Warnock, but it will come down to the wire for Ossoff.

We know Dekalb had 270,000+ early votes and about 60,000 EV votes.
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here2view
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« Reply #4101 on: January 05, 2021, 10:49:32 PM »
Trust the needle
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redjohn
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« Reply #4102 on: January 05, 2021, 10:49:39 PM »


Update just now. CNN's numbers are wrong.
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It's Perro Sanxe wot won it
Mimoha
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« Reply #4103 on: January 05, 2021, 10:49:41 PM »
It wouldn’t be Atlas if it didn’t snatch doom from the jaws of ecstasy
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Roronoa D. Law
Patrick97
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« Reply #4104 on: January 05, 2021, 10:49:46 PM »

Literally, nothing has changed.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #4105 on: January 05, 2021, 10:49:57 PM »
If Dekalb is at 85% raw turnout of November, then there should be around 320k votes: with 140k counted, that'd imply 180k outstanding and would be a lot more in line with Sterling's figures.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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« Reply #4106 on: January 05, 2021, 10:50:46 PM »
I trust sterling a lot more than some democratic career politician machine figure
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This user has not been convicted of 34 felonies
20RP12
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« Reply #4107 on: January 05, 2021, 10:51:01 PM »
Sterling sensed the doom and decided to throw us a bone
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Skunk
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« Reply #4108 on: January 05, 2021, 10:51:17 PM »
The lying fake news media is trying to steal this election from Jon Ossoff. Us real Americans aren't having it!
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n1240
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« Reply #4109 on: January 05, 2021, 10:51:27 PM »
The needle provides estimates by vote type and by county, you can take the time to analyze by comparing them to the reported early/absentee votes received, or checking in what precincts there is outstanding election day vote to find that there isn't anything egregiously bad within their estimates. My only main issues are they seem to be overestimating mail vote in Fulton and DeKalb by about 20k cumulatively, but that probably wouldn't be enough to change the outcome unless GA reg is within .25%, which seems unlikely given the other available data.
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #4110 on: January 05, 2021, 10:51:47 PM »
Gabriel Sterling is FF!
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UncleSam
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« Reply #4111 on: January 05, 2021, 10:52:22 PM »
I will say that the needle is estimating based off of 205k remaining DeKalb votes. That number seems high given that we are seeing reports of ~175k. Probably is still enough for Ossoff but might be more like Lean / Likely Ossoff rather than Likely / Safe if the 175k figure is right.

Obviously we aren't going to know more until DeKalb actually drops, which should happen any minute now.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4112 on: January 05, 2021, 10:52:32 PM »
Quote from: redjohn on January 05, 2021, 10:49:39 PM


Update just now. CNN's numbers are wrong.

Turns out Trump was validated by the D's win.  CNN is fake news.
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ηєω ƒяσηтιєя
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« Reply #4113 on: January 05, 2021, 10:52:44 PM »
I'm sorry. I just really want the Dems to win. Sorry again.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4114 on: January 05, 2021, 10:52:48 PM »
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rhg2052
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« Reply #4115 on: January 05, 2021, 10:53:12 PM »
Begone, doomers.
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #4116 on: January 05, 2021, 10:53:54 PM »
I’m shocked we’re grabbing defeat from the jaws of victory.

Shocked I tell you.

Where are the posts who mocked me?
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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #4117 on: January 05, 2021, 10:54:13 PM »
Needle just jumped from Leaning to Probably Ossoff.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #4118 on: January 05, 2021, 10:54:17 PM »

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forsythvoter
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« Reply #4119 on: January 05, 2021, 10:54:21 PM »
Cobb just dumped. It's now 57.9-42.1% / 57.2% - 42.8% with 94% in. It's on track for a 1-2 point D swing from Biden's numbers in November.
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ExSky
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« Reply #4120 on: January 05, 2021, 10:54:27 PM »
cnn knew exactly what they were doing
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4121 on: January 05, 2021, 10:54:32 PM »
Perdue's lead is down to 98k now and nothing new in yet from DeKalb.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
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« Reply #4122 on: January 05, 2021, 10:54:49 PM »
Quote from: MillennialModerate on January 05, 2021, 10:53:54 PM
I’m shocked we’re grabbing defeat from the jaws of victory.

Shocked I tell you.

Where are the posts who mocked me?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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« Reply #4123 on: January 05, 2021, 10:54:56 PM »
gabriel sterling is daddy
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MR DARK BRANDON
Liam
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« Reply #4124 on: January 05, 2021, 10:54:56 PM »
Quote from: MillennialModerate on January 05, 2021, 10:53:54 PM
I’m shocked we’re grabbing defeat from the jaws of victory.

Shocked I tell you.

Where are the posts who mocked me?
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