Georgia senate seats runoff(s) megathread

[Adam Griffin]

Uhhhh Dekalb CEO Thurmond just said there are only 130k votes left to count in Dekalb...

If that's all that are left and I'm looking at the current totals, Dekalb would only be at around 70% of November's raw totals...that'd be among the lowest (if not the lowest) turnout in the state.

[rhg2052]

I think networks call it for at least Warnock once the DeKalb votes drop.

[Badger]

Wasserman might be getting close to seeing enough on the regular race?

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1346653898854064129

That’s kinda old

In these circumstances? Never!

[MaxQue]

I don’t get the margins are

70k for Kelly
109k for Perdue

Yes Dekalb is outstanding but GOP will pick up votes in almost every remaining area other than that?

So this is a dead tossup...

There is next to no remaining areas outside of Atlanta Metro.

[swf541]

I don’t get it, the margins are

70k for Kelly
109k for Perdue

Yes Dekalb is outstanding but GOP will pick up votes in almost every remaining area other than that?

So this is a dead tossup...

I know I’m usually negetive but seriously... why is this considered so heavily Dem?

There are other dem dominanted counties with vote out more so then gop ones

[SteveRogers]

At this point I think Perdue wins and Loeffler loses.

Why? None of the analysis out there suggests Perdue is going to win.

None of the analysis said Trump would win in 2016. I don't blindly trust the media.

It did in the middle of election night 2016...

[MillennialModerate]

On CNN:  133k votes left to count in DeKalb...is that enough??  What would they have to break

Uhh that’s not NEARLY enough

[UncleSam]

On CNN:  133k votes left to count in DeKalb...is that enough??  What would they have to break

NYT has a lot more votes to count in DeKalb. The EV there was 275k, and they've thus far counted ~140k, so 133k left seems too low. If it is 133k left and they break 85-15 (as NYT expects), Dems would net ~93k out of DeKalb, which would bring the race into roughly a tie. Warnock wins either way, if CNNs' projection is correct then the regular is tilt Ossoff but if they're wrong (as they almost certainly are) it's more like Likely Ossoff. Both race are close to over.

[Omolloy]

I don’t get it, the margins are

70k for Kelly
109k for Perdue

Yes Dekalb is outstanding but GOP will pick up votes in almost every remaining area other than that?

So this is a dead tossup...

I know I’m usually negetive but seriously... why is this considered so heavily Dem?

Because, of course, Chatham, Henry and Cobb are all famously Republican strongholds.

[It's Perro Sanxe wot won it]

On CNN:  133k votes left to count in DeKalb...is that enough??  What would they have to break

Uhh that’s not NEARLY enough

You would say that even if DeKalb had an electorate of a billion

[Hammy]

Uhhhh Dekalb CEO Thurmond just said there are only 130k votes left to count in Dekalb...

If that's all that are left and I'm looking at the current totals, Dekalb would only be at around 70% of November's raw totals...that'd be among the lowest (if not the lowest) turnout in the state.

Does that include mail votes?

[brucejoel99]

At this point I think Perdue wins and Loeffler loses.

Why? None of the analysis out there suggests Perdue is going to win.

None of the analysis said Trump would win in 2016. I don't blindly trust the media.

I'll tell you exactly why I think this - so far, Perdue has held a stronger lead over Ossoff than Loeffler has held over Warnock. Perdue has been a serious, if not low key, member of the Senate. On the other hand, Loeffler, whom I personally like a lot, is being perceived as the billionaire's wife. Her husband runs the boardroom, and she runs the Federation of Republican Women's weekly brunch. She's not as serious a candidate, and she's up against a much stronger opponent than Perdue is.

This would've been an understandable argument to make in the run-up to the election but we're literally at 87% of precincts reporting right now. Even if you don't trust the media, why don't you trust the math inherent to understanding that - barring a Perude/Loeffler overperformance in the Atlanta metro area, a possibility for which there's seemingly no remaining indications at this point - Ossoff/Warnock are on track to win the remaining vote by 9-10 points (which includes the 170,000 DeKalb County early votes, which are expected to break for Ossoff/Warnock by 85-15)?

[GAKas]

Gabriel Sterling tweeted out that there's still 171K in DeKalb as of 15 mins ago. CNN is wrong

[MillennialModerate]

I don’t get the margins are

70k for Kelly
109k for Perdue

Yes Dekalb is outstanding but GOP will pick up votes in almost every remaining area other than that?

So this is a dead tossup...

There is next to no remaining areas outside of Atlanta Metro.

There’s voted out in Columbus near Augusta?

Cobb County numbers are about dead even

[BudgieForce]

Uhhhh Dekalb CEO Thurmond just said there are only 130k votes left to count in Dekalb...

If that's all that are left and I'm looking at the current totals, Dekalb would only be at around 70% of November's raw totals...that'd be among the lowest (if not the lowest) turnout in the state.

Gabriel Sterling says there's 171k

https://twitter.com/GabrielSterling/status/1346660118079950848

[Lourdes]

[Horus]

CNN is wrong

Sensing a theme here.

Folks, turn off CNN if you want to stay sane.

[Omolloy]

Uhhhh Dekalb CEO Thurmond just said there are only 130k votes left to count in Dekalb...

If that's all that are left and I'm looking at the current totals, Dekalb would only be at around 70% of November's raw totals...that'd be among the lowest (if not the lowest) turnout in the state.

Does that include mail votes?

I don't believe so. I was only half paying attention, but it seemed like on CNN they were stressing that this 130k figure almost entirely comes from in-person early voting.

[Adam Griffin]

If the Dekalb CEO's numbers are accurate, then it's still enough for Warnock, but it will come down to the wire for Ossoff.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Uhhhh Dekalb CEO Thurmond just said there are only 130k votes left to count in Dekalb...

If that's all that are left and I'm looking at the current totals, Dekalb would only be at around 70% of November's raw totals...that'd be among the lowest (if not the lowest) turnout in the state.

Something's not right there because were 275k votes in DeKalb just from early voting and only 140k have been reported thus far. Maybe though are just the remaining early votes?

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

Things are getting a bit worrying now.

[Non Swing Voter]

The CNN number seems really wrong to me.  There were 275k early votes in DeKalb and like 50K+ (?) on Election Day.  That's well over 300K votes.  So far only 140K are in.

[CookieDamage]

you guys are so annoying

[Gracile]

Sterling said there is 171k in DeKalb-

https://twitter.com/GabrielSterling/status/1346660118079950848

[ProgressiveModerate]

The 130k number is definately off since that means fewer people will have voted in DeKalb than people who voted early. Maybe they mean 130k votes will be dropped by tonight?