2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Tender Branson]

CNN still has outdated PA numbers, Trump's margin has dwindled to 153k.

With how many outstanding votes?

Ca. 450.000

[Dr. Frankenstein]

God help us all... but the "Biden steals the election" conspiracy theories have begun to spread to Germany, apparently among AfD supporter circles. Just saw a German text that explained that Biden is able to "steal" Georgia because Brian Kemp is a "RINO governor" and then this guy went with "why did Angela Merkel donate to the Clinton Foundation... what we witness in the U.S. can happen here too" etc.

Kemp is one of the most conservative governors in the nation.

Who are you to use facts against a conspiracy theory?

[DaleCooper]

CNN still has outdated PA numbers, Trump's margin has dwindled to 153k.

With how many outstanding votes?

Ca. 450.000

Do we think that most of them are from Philadelphia?

[philly09]

CNN still has outdated PA numbers, Trump's margin has dwindled to 153k.

With how many outstanding votes?

Ca. 450.000

Do we think that most of them are from Philadelphia?

311,000 out of Pittsburgh. Biden is 131,000 votes behind Hillary's 2016 total.

[BlueSwan]

States seriously needs to put infrastructure in place to process and count all votes on election night, perhaps bar some overseas votes. Every other civilized nation can do it. In Denmark, voter participation is around 85%, we have barely anybody voting early, so pretty much everybody votes on election day. In the 25 or so elections I have participated in, I have literally never stood in anything that anybody would call a "line". Every time it has been like a regular trip to the supermarket. Worst case is that there are a handful of people in front of me. On average I would say that I have been in and out of the polling place in 5 minutes. Our polling places closes at 8 pm and we usually have a final count before midnight. These counts are MANUALLY done by poll workers, as we don't use voting machines at all. In the following days one further fine count is done of all ballots to ensure election integrity and to figure out exactly which politicians got elected.

It's not rocket science. All it takes is resources and the right infrastructure. Don't tell me that the USA cannot accomplish this in the 21th century.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

I like how Miami-Dade swung wildly against Biden for his "socialist" associations but voted 70-30 in favour of increasing the minimum wage to 15 dollars an hour.

People hate 'socialism', but they love it's policies.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Anything impending before I go to sleep in around half an hour?

[Tender Branson]

CNN still has outdated PA numbers, Trump's margin has dwindled to 153k.

With how many outstanding votes?

Ca. 450.000

Do we think that most of them are from Philadelphia?

311,000 out of Pittsburgh. Biden is 131,000 votes behind Hillary's 2016 total.

The dashboard says that Allegheny had a total of

407.249 mail ballots issued
348.767 returned so far
302.868 already counted
 45.899 still to be counted

https://www.votespa.com/About-Elections/Pages/Counting-Dashboard.aspx

Don't know how accurate that is, because the dashboard also says that more than 700.000 mail ballots remain to be counted in PA, when in fact it's no more than 450.000 in reality.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

These shenanigans has to stop. When is NV dropping votes from Clarke CO so AP can call it to Biden already?

This long drawn out torture is worth the image of Trump sweating and raging in the White House surrounded by his crying children.

I hope Trump Jr. gets indicted, he is actually worse than his dad in some ways.

[BlueSwan]

For some reason I find myself getting more anxious about this result. It would be very 2020 for the remaining states to all go to Trump by razor thin margins or even worse for Nevada to hold, but Arizona flip at the last second.

[Middle-aged Europe]

For some reason I find myself getting more anxious about this result. It would be very 2020 for the remaining states to all go to Trump by razor thin margins or even worse for Nevada to hold, but Arizona flip at the last second.

Well, if this seems to come to pass all we have to do is to stop the counting... muhahahahaha. j/k

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

lol it turns out Red Eagle was actually right about most things this election, even if he got Michigan and Wisconsin off by a couple points

[DaleCooper]

I need to go to sleep soon, but can somebody give me an unbiased, no-BS, non-optimistic, non-pessimistic answer to this question: Should we be worried about Pennsylvania?

[BlueSwan]

For some reason I find myself getting more anxious about this result. It would be very 2020 for the remaining states to all go to Trump by razor thin margins or even worse for Nevada to hold, but Arizona flip at the last second.

Well, if this seems to come to pass all we have to do is to stop the counting... muhahahahaha. j/k

Biden should just go full Trump - declare victory and demand that the count stops while he is ahead. That would be rather hilarious to see trumpist tactics used against themselves.

[n1240]

CNN still has outdated PA numbers, Trump's margin has dwindled to 153k.

With how many outstanding votes?

Ca. 450.000

Do we think that most of them are from Philadelphia?

311,000 out of Pittsburgh. Biden is 131,000 votes behind Hillary's 2016 total.

The dashboard says that Allegheny had a total of

407.249 mail ballots issued
348.767 returned so far
302.868 already counted
 45.899 still to be counted

https://www.votespa.com/About-Elections/Pages/Counting-Dashboard.aspx

Don't know how accurate that is, because the dashboard also says that more than 700.000 mail ballots remain to be counted in PA, when in fact it's no more than 450.000 in reality.

https://results.enr.clarityelections.com/PA/Allegheny/106267/web.264614/#/detail/0004

Here they say 312065 absentees counted which equates to about 36k left in the county.

[Tender Branson]

CNN still has outdated PA numbers, Trump's margin has dwindled to 153k.

With how many outstanding votes?

Ca. 450.000

Do we think that most of them are from Philadelphia?

311,000 out of Pittsburgh. Biden is 131,000 votes behind Hillary's 2016 total.

The dashboard says that Allegheny had a total of

407.249 mail ballots issued
348.767 returned so far
302.868 already counted
 45.899 still to be counted

https://www.votespa.com/About-Elections/Pages/Counting-Dashboard.aspx

Don't know how accurate that is, because the dashboard also says that more than 700.000 mail ballots remain to be counted in PA, when in fact it's no more than 450.000 in reality.

https://results.enr.clarityelections.com/PA/Allegheny/106267/web.264614/#/detail/0004

Here they say 312065 absentees counted which equates to about 36k left in the county.

They are still receiving ballots by mail until FRI though, so the number of received is also going up all the time.

Maybe 40-50k left in reality in Pittsburgh.

[Rand]

I need to go to sleep soon, but can somebody give me an unbiased, no-BS, non-optimistic, non-pessimistic answer to this question: Should we be worried about Pennsylvania?

No.

[DaleCooper]

I need to go to sleep soon, but can somebody give me an unbiased, no-BS, non-optimistic, non-pessimistic answer to this question: Should we be worried about Pennsylvania?

No.

No BS? I can sleep easy and most likely wake up to a Biden presidency?

[Tender Branson]

The numbers on the PA DOS dashboard and Philly are matching.

https://www.votespa.com/About-Elections/Pages/Counting-Dashboard.aspx

https://results.philadelphiavotes.com/VoterTurnoutDetails.aspx?

120.000 mail ballots remain to be counted in city, with late-arriving maybe as much as 150k.

90% of those will go to Biden.

Biden should erase Trump's PA lead alone with the remaining Philly+Pittsburgh ballots ...

[Inmate Trump]

I need reassurance.

The longer this stretches out the more it seems like Trump will win.

Are we going to win Georgia?
Are we going to win PA?

[Kamala's side hoe]

They may not be the final results yet, but Orange County city numbers for the Presidential race are quite odd and interesting. Biden is leading in heavily white South County cities like Lake Forest, Mission Viejo, and Laguna Niguel but Trump won in Westminster and Fountain Valley where he lost four years ago suggesting a swing back towards the Republicans among Vietnamese voters.

No idea about Westminster but Hillary won Fountain Valley by 0.3% in 2016, which Romney won by wel over 10%. It’s not at all surprising the city flipped back, and could’ve plausibly done so without a super big R swing among OC Vietnamese.

[Inmate Trump]

The number of the PA DOS dashboard and Philly are matching.

https://www.votespa.com/About-Elections/Pages/Counting-Dashboard.aspx

https://results.philadelphiavotes.com/VoterTurnoutDetails.aspx?

120.000 mail ballots remain to be counted in city, with late-arriving maybe as much as 150k.

90% of those will go to Biden.

Biden should erase Trump's PA lead alone with the remaining Philly+Pittsburgh ballots ...

People keep saying that but he still hasn’t erased the lead yet...

[Tender Branson]

The number of the PA DOS dashboard and Philly are matching.

https://www.votespa.com/About-Elections/Pages/Counting-Dashboard.aspx

https://results.philadelphiavotes.com/VoterTurnoutDetails.aspx?

120.000 mail ballots remain to be counted in city, with late-arriving maybe as much as 150k.

90% of those will go to Biden.

Biden should erase Trump's PA lead alone with the remaining Philly+Pittsburgh ballots ...

People keep saying that but he still hasn’t erased the lead yet...

Because the counting takes some time ?

[Tarrin Kael]

How likely are we to hold Perdue to below 50% at this point?

[Inmate Trump]

How likely are we to hold Perdue to below 50% at this point?

Is it at all likely Biden wins GA at this point?