2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 657509 times)
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #9175 on: November 05, 2020, 03:37:18 AM »

They may not be the final results yet, but Orange County city numbers for the Presidential race are quite odd and interesting. Biden is leading in heavily white South County cities like Lake Forest, Mission Viejo, and Laguna Niguel but Trump won in Westminster and Fountain Valley where he lost four years ago suggesting a swing back towards the Republicans among Vietnamese voters.

I thought something like that might happen. Very curious to see how Newport Beach ends up. Anyway, this should be good for Dems in redistricting because it makes it basically impossible to draw a GOP district in OC.
Couldn't this have been driven by WWC as well?

Maybe. Again, questions like these need precinct results.
That's a good point.
Indeed, many things we cannot really answer right now. Things will clear up over the next days and weeks.
I just knew that many communities in OC have a mixture of Asians and (working class) Whites.
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musicblind
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« Reply #9176 on: November 05, 2020, 03:37:32 AM »

313,000 mail ballots in Pittsburgh, overwhelmingly for Biden. 35,000 mail ballots need to be hand reviewed, and it is believed that those were the incorrect ballots that were sent out by mistake.

Some in person votes need to be counted, but it sounds like the majority are mail ballots.

That's pretty much it. Unless there is some huge surprise in that batch of ballots, I don't see how Trump wins.
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H. Ross Peron
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« Reply #9177 on: November 05, 2020, 03:38:10 AM »

They may not be the final results yet, but Orange County city numbers for the Presidential race are quite odd and interesting. Biden is leading in heavily white South County cities like Lake Forest, Mission Viejo, and Laguna Niguel but Trump won in Westminster and Fountain Valley where he lost four years ago suggesting a swing back towards the Republicans among Vietnamese voters.

I thought something like that might happen. Very curious to see how Newport Beach ends up. Anyway, this should be good for Dems in redistricting because it makes it basically impossible to draw a GOP district in OC.
Couldn't this have been driven by WWC as well?

It's not impossible, but Fountain Valley and Westminster are mostly middle class cities so white populations there would be generally college educated.

EDIT: Also if we were seeing a shift in the West Coast White Working Class, we'd be seeing very different numbers in Riverside County, Arizona, and parts of northern California.
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #9178 on: November 05, 2020, 03:38:28 AM »

So from what I can gather. There were 750 (give or take) thousand absentee votes to count in Pennsylvania. Over the course of the evening that got lowered to 450k (give or take). Does this mean that we can expect those 300k that were counted but not reported to get released sometime tonight or will they wait and release it all together once they count everything?
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musicblind
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« Reply #9179 on: November 05, 2020, 03:39:29 AM »

So from what I can gather. There were 750 (give or take) thousand absentee votes to count in Pennsylvania. Over the course of the evening that got lowered to 450k (give or take). Does this mean that we can expect those 300k that were counted but not reported to get released sometime tonight or will they wait and release it all together once they count everything?

Those 300,000 are just from Philly, I believe. Right? or no?
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philly09
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« Reply #9180 on: November 05, 2020, 03:39:54 AM »

So from what I can gather. There were 750 (give or take) thousand absentee votes to count in Pennsylvania. Over the course of the evening that got lowered to 450k (give or take). Does this mean that we can expect those 300k that were counted but not reported to get released sometime tonight or will they wait and release it all together once they count everything?

It's possible they dump the whole thing and give the state to Biden.
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n1240
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« Reply #9181 on: November 05, 2020, 03:40:03 AM »

So from what I can gather. There were 750 (give or take) thousand absentee votes to count in Pennsylvania. Over the course of the evening that got lowered to 450k (give or take). Does this mean that we can expect those 300k that were counted but not reported to get released sometime tonight or will they wait and release it all together once they count everything?

The 750k estimate was just bad/outdated and was considering some places like York which already counted their absentee votes like 24 hours ago to still have 70k remaining absentee ballots.
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Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook
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« Reply #9182 on: November 05, 2020, 03:40:13 AM »

Georgia and North Carolina are both 100% in, it must be late mail ballots and absentees that are keeping the two from being called. Or AP is lying.
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Pick Up the Phone
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« Reply #9183 on: November 05, 2020, 03:40:49 AM »

Martha McSally has refused to concede to Mark Kelly, despite him being over 100,000 votes ahead.

Such a nasty woman.
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #9184 on: November 05, 2020, 03:41:55 AM »

So from what I can gather. There were 750 (give or take) thousand absentee votes to count in Pennsylvania. Over the course of the evening that got lowered to 450k (give or take). Does this mean that we can expect those 300k that were counted but not reported to get released sometime tonight or will they wait and release it all together once they count everything?

The 750k estimate was just bad/outdated and was considering some places like York which already counted their absentee votes like 24 hours ago to still have 70k remaining absentee ballots.

Can you spell out what this means for Biden in PA please? Sorry, I'm exhausted and am not sure I understand.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #9185 on: November 05, 2020, 03:42:06 AM »

Martha McSally has refused to concede to Mark Kelly, despite him being over 100,000 votes ahead.

Such a nasty woman.
McSally is just trying to be Donald Trump in a dress. And to do that she has to stuff like this.
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Astatine
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« Reply #9186 on: November 05, 2020, 03:44:40 AM »

Martha McSally has refused to concede to Mark Kelly, despite him being over 100,000 votes ahead.

Such a nasty woman.
Can someone encourage her to run again for that seat in 2022 "cuz this years' result was rigged"? Please!
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
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« Reply #9187 on: November 05, 2020, 03:45:32 AM »

Martha McSally has refused to concede to Mark Kelly, despite him being over 100,000 votes ahead.

Such a nasty woman.
Can someone encourage her to run again for that seat in 2022 "cuz this years' result was rigged"? Please!

Nah, it's time for her to step aside for Kelly Ward.
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musicblind
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« Reply #9188 on: November 05, 2020, 03:45:42 AM »

Martha McSally has refused to concede to Mark Kelly, despite him being over 100,000 votes ahead.

Such a nasty woman.
Can someone encourage her to run again for that seat in 2022 "cuz this years' result was rigged"? Please!

If only we could run against McSally in every race.
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Pick Up the Phone
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« Reply #9189 on: November 05, 2020, 03:46:20 AM »

Martha McSally has refused to concede to Mark Kelly, despite him being over 100,000 votes ahead.

Such a nasty woman.
Can someone encourage her to run again for that seat in 2022 "cuz this years' result was rigged"? Please!

Nah, it's time for her to step aside for Kelly Ward.

How about a Joe Arpaio comeback?
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n1240
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« Reply #9190 on: November 05, 2020, 03:50:55 AM »

So from what I can gather. There were 750 (give or take) thousand absentee votes to count in Pennsylvania. Over the course of the evening that got lowered to 450k (give or take). Does this mean that we can expect those 300k that were counted but not reported to get released sometime tonight or will they wait and release it all together once they count everything?

The 750k estimate was just bad/outdated and was considering some places like York which already counted their absentee votes like 24 hours ago to still have 70k remaining absentee ballots.

Can you spell out what this means for Biden in PA please? Sorry, I'm exhausted and am not sure I understand.

In theory it hurts Biden but I don't see Biden losing PA at this point since there is more than enough ballots to give Biden the lead and then some. The 750k estimate was just misleading some people for a period of time I think because it was outdated whilst it was being widely shared.
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Hnv1
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« Reply #9191 on: November 05, 2020, 03:53:22 AM »

These shenanigans has to stop. When is NV dropping votes from Clarke CO so AP can call it to Biden already?
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H. Ross Peron
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« Reply #9192 on: November 05, 2020, 03:55:23 AM »

I like how Miami-Dade swung wildly against Biden for his "socialist" associations but voted 70-30 in favour of increasing the minimum wage to 15 dollars an hour.
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Middle-aged Europe
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« Reply #9193 on: November 05, 2020, 04:01:00 AM »
« Edited: November 05, 2020, 04:06:13 AM by ByeDon/Harris »

God help us all... but the "Biden steals the election" conspiracy theories have begun to spread to Germany, apparently among AfD supporter circles. Just saw a German text that explained that Biden is able to "steal" Georgia because Brian Kemp is a "RINO governor" and then this guy went on with "why did Angela Merkel donate to the Clinton Foundation... what we witness in the U.S. can happen here too" etc.
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T'Chenka
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« Reply #9194 on: November 05, 2020, 04:03:31 AM »

God help us all... but the "Biden steals the election" conspiracy theories have begun to spread to Germany, apparently among AfD supporter circles. Just saw a German text that explained that Biden is able to "steal" Georgia because Brian Kemp is a "RINO governor" and then this guy went with "why did Angela Merkel donate to the Clinton Foundation... what we witness in the U.S. can happen here too" etc.
LMAO!

"RINO Brian Kemp steals elections for Democrats" is the funniest thing I've heard all month.
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philly09
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« Reply #9195 on: November 05, 2020, 04:03:46 AM »

CNN still has outdated PA numbers, Trump's margin has dwindled to 153k.
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #9196 on: November 05, 2020, 04:04:36 AM »

CNN still has outdated PA numbers, Trump's margin has dwindled to 153k.

With how many outstanding votes?
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Rand
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« Reply #9197 on: November 05, 2020, 04:05:07 AM »

These shenanigans has to stop. When is NV dropping votes from Clarke CO so AP can call it to Biden already?

This long drawn out torture is worth the image of Trump sweating and raging in the White House surrounded by his crying children.
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musicblind
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« Reply #9198 on: November 05, 2020, 04:05:25 AM »

God help us all... but the "Biden steals the election" conspiracy theories have begun to spread to Germany, apparently among AfD supporter circles. Just saw a German text that explained that Biden is able to "steal" Georgia because Brian Kemp is a "RINO governor" and then this guy went with "why did Angela Merkel donate to the Clinton Foundation... what we witness in the U.S. can happen here too" etc.

Kemp is one of the most conservative governors in the nation.
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philly09
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« Reply #9199 on: November 05, 2020, 04:05:57 AM »

CNN still has outdated PA numbers, Trump's margin has dwindled to 153k.

With how many outstanding votes?

Not sure. The last update was around 11:30.
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