2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 02, 2024, 07:08:13 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 211 212 213 214 215 [216] 217 218 219 220 221 ... 818
Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 642654 times)
ObamaMichael
Rookie
**
Posts: 39
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5375 on: November 04, 2020, 05:27:58 AM »


Yes. Biden better securing MI, WI and GA somehow :/
Logged
Badger
badger
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 40,483
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5376 on: November 04, 2020, 05:28:02 AM »

Many of y'all appear to be forgetting the concept of the "Red Mirage".

PA, WI, and MI are the exact reverse of that, where once again DEM Cities in Swing States in the Midwest are the last to turn out the vote.

Keep Calm, don't panic, fundamental numbers look good in all three States (Plus we got AZ and NE-02 and possibly GA & NC as backups).

Work Swing Shift West Coast, so nowhere close to crash yet tonight.
Is NC not already gone?

Is it?

Says who?

Trump only up 77k by NYT numbers and plenty of votes outstanding (Most likely heavily DEM).

Not to nitpick my friend, but I'm highly curious. What's the latest word on what votes are out there in NC? Numbers? Sources? Presumably all mail in ballots
Logged
Calthrina950
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,919
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5377 on: November 04, 2020, 05:28:31 AM »

Still hoping Biden pulls this out, by losing FL+OH.

If Trump also ends up with 240-269 EV, I'd have won 2 high-risk bets on William Hill and cash in almost 1000€s ... (1200$).

Florida and Ohio would both get knocked out of bellwether status if Biden wins the election while losing both states. And that seems very likely at this point.
Logged
soundchaser
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,630


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.26

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5378 on: November 04, 2020, 05:28:35 AM »

Mail ballots in Nevada were *heavily* Democratic this year, even more so than usual, so if that’s what we’re still waiting on I’d say Biden’s going to win.
Logged
Gren
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 266
Spain


Political Matrix
E: 1.03, S: -2.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5379 on: November 04, 2020, 05:28:47 AM »

Imagine this result, with 300 Electoral votes for Uncle Joe. Lmao.



Not sure about Nevada, but I think you may be right.
Logged
Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese
JOHN91043353
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,574
Sweden


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5380 on: November 04, 2020, 05:29:17 AM »

Are they even counting any longer in Michigan, or did they all go to bed?
Logged
It’s so Joever
Forumlurker161
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,046


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5381 on: November 04, 2020, 05:29:32 AM »

Many of y'all appear to be forgetting the concept of the "Red Mirage".

PA, WI, and MI are the exact reverse of that, where once again DEM Cities in Swing States in the Midwest are the last to turn out the vote.

Keep Calm, don't panic, fundamental numbers look good in all three States (Plus we got AZ and NE-02 and possibly GA & NC as backups).

Work Swing Shift West Coast, so nowhere close to crash yet tonight.
Is NC not already gone?

Is it?

Says who?

Trump only up 77k by NYT numbers and plenty of votes outstanding (Most likely heavily DEM).

Not to nitpick my friend, but I'm highly curious. What's the latest word on what votes are out there in NC? Numbers? Sources? Presumably all mail in ballots
I mean, you can look yourself at the outstanding votes.
A large chunk of them are in Orange County.
Logged
Starry Eyed Jagaloon
Blairite
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,835
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5382 on: November 04, 2020, 05:31:07 AM »



This is so weird.
Logged
American2020
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,514
Côte d'Ivoire


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5383 on: November 04, 2020, 05:31:37 AM »

Finally Larry Sabato'd be right about his prdiction, except NC.
Logged
VBM
VBNMWEB
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,908


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5384 on: November 04, 2020, 05:31:49 AM »

Can someone please tell me what’s going on in Arizona?
Logged
Pick Up the Phone
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 429


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5385 on: November 04, 2020, 05:31:59 AM »

Really want that 332-206 map.
Logged
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,906
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5386 on: November 04, 2020, 05:32:31 AM »

Many of y'all appear to be forgetting the concept of the "Red Mirage".

PA, WI, and MI are the exact reverse of that, where once again DEM Cities in Swing States in the Midwest are the last to turn out the vote.

Keep Calm, don't panic, fundamental numbers look good in all three States (Plus we got AZ and NE-02 and possibly GA & NC as backups).

Work Swing Shift West Coast, so nowhere close to crash yet tonight.
Is NC not already gone?

Is it?

Says who?

Trump only up 77k by NYT numbers and plenty of votes outstanding (Most likely heavily DEM).

Not to nitpick my friend, but I'm highly curious. What's the latest word on what votes are out there in NC? Numbers? Sources? Presumably all mail in ballots
I mean, you can look yourself at the outstanding votes.
A large chunk of them are in Orange County.
Not too good for Trump in that case. Orange County is among the safest counties for Democrats in the state.
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,879


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5387 on: November 04, 2020, 05:32:42 AM »

Are they even counting any longer in Michigan, or did they all go to bed?

A lot of states seem to be sleeping right now.
Logged
urutzizu
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 587
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5388 on: November 04, 2020, 05:32:47 AM »
« Edited: November 04, 2020, 05:45:21 AM by urutzizu »



Slovenian Prime Minister (very much a trumpist Ideologically) first World Leader to congratulate Trump. Not sure this will age well. Could have a real bad impact on relations if Biden wins.
Logged
BlueSwan
blueswan
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,453
Denmark


Political Matrix
E: -4.26, S: -7.30

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5389 on: November 04, 2020, 05:33:04 AM »

Can someone please tell me what’s going on in Arizona?
I just feel like I have to trust Foxnews on this.

Writing that makes me feel dirty.
Logged
President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,350
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5390 on: November 04, 2020, 05:33:23 AM »

I think what the election also reveals is the deep polarization by looking at Safe States. Trump improved in Indiana and Missouri so far, Biden in California, Washington and New Jersey. He's still under 60% in New York, but I expect that to change. Especially Erie County should go blue.
Logged
ObamaMichael
Rookie
**
Posts: 39
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5391 on: November 04, 2020, 05:33:34 AM »

Nevada tightening even more. Joe will lose here. Back to giving Trump the upper hand
Logged
American2020
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,514
Côte d'Ivoire


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5392 on: November 04, 2020, 05:33:51 AM »

Can someone please tell me what’s going on in Arizona?
I just feel like I have to trust Foxnews on this.

Writing that makes me feel dirty.

It's a paradox.
Logged
Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,288
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5393 on: November 04, 2020, 05:33:56 AM »

FiveThirtyEight says the city of Green Bay is all that’s left in Wisconsin. It’s over.
Logged
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,906
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5394 on: November 04, 2020, 05:34:23 AM »



Slovenian Prime Minister (very much a trumpist Ideologically) first World Leader to congratulate Trump. Not sure this will age well. Could have a real bad impact on relations if Biden wins.
[insert joke relating to Melania here]
Logged
VBM
VBNMWEB
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,908


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5395 on: November 04, 2020, 05:34:47 AM »

https://mobile.twitter.com/DoomConnoisseur/status/1323936248973742080

 
Logged
Astatine
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,884


Political Matrix
E: -0.72, S: -5.90

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5396 on: November 04, 2020, 05:35:28 AM »



Slovenian Prime Minister (very much a trumpist Ideologically) first World Leader to congratulate Trump. Not sure this will age well. Could have a real bad impact on relations if Biden wins.
Well he served a jail sentence already for being corrupt, so ofc he congratulates his brother in faith.
Logged
politics_king
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,591
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5397 on: November 04, 2020, 05:36:17 AM »


The guy doesn't know how to add.
Logged
BlueSwan
blueswan
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,453
Denmark


Political Matrix
E: -4.26, S: -7.30

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5398 on: November 04, 2020, 05:36:48 AM »

That tweet is wrong.
Logged
soundchaser
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,630


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.26

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5399 on: November 04, 2020, 05:36:55 AM »



Slovenian Prime Minister (very much a trumpist Ideologically) first World Leader to congratulate Trump. Not sure this will age well. Could have a real bad impact on relations if Biden wins.
Well he served a jail sentence already for being corrupt, so ofc he congratulates his brother in faith.

Y’know, the one big consolation of tonight: if Biden wins, it’s likely Trump is going to face a legal sh**tstorm in New York.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 211 212 213 214 215 [216] 217 218 219 220 221 ... 818  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.069 seconds with 10 queries.