2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 646751 times)
Statilius the Epicurean
Thersites
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« Reply #3700 on: November 03, 2020, 11:06:12 PM »

The fact that John King on CNN is on his map giving VA to Biden saying "let's assume that there's something wrong with the reporting there and he gains on Trump's lead" is uhhhhhhhh.
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ibagli
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« Reply #3701 on: November 03, 2020, 11:06:22 PM »

I don’t understand. For weeks people have been warned about the “red mirage,” yet people are still falling for it anyway.

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Donald Trump’s Toupée
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« Reply #3702 on: November 03, 2020, 11:06:42 PM »

I may literally be the only one on this forum who got tonight absolutely spot on.

How’s the humble pie?
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Horus
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« Reply #3703 on: November 03, 2020, 11:06:44 PM »

I'm black and I'm honestly wondering how Trump is doing better with my demographic than last time. What do these black Trump voters see in Trump? The Latino results I can at least kinda see with the whole socialism thing, but black voters?

This article is one perspective

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-partisan-gender-and-generational-differences-among-black-voters-heading-into-election-day/
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Bootes Void
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« Reply #3704 on: November 03, 2020, 11:06:47 PM »

Biden slowly creeping up in Wisconsin
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forsythvoter
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« Reply #3705 on: November 03, 2020, 11:06:54 PM »

None of the Wisconsin early vote is in except Dane. We're seeing the election day vote right now
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NYSforKennedy2024
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« Reply #3706 on: November 03, 2020, 11:06:55 PM »

Madison Cawthorn becomes the youngest Congressman in decades.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #3707 on: November 03, 2020, 11:07:02 PM »

I don’t understand. For weeks people have been warned about the “red mirage,” yet people are still falling for it anyway.

Yet you fell for some stupid blue mirage in Kentucky
I perfectly understand.
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Pyro
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« Reply #3708 on: November 03, 2020, 11:07:11 PM »

The fact that John King on CNN is on his map giving VA to Biden saying "let's assume that there's something wrong with the reporting there and he gains on Trump's lead" is uhhhhhhhh.

I mean we have like nothing out of Fairfax, to be fair.
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Alcibiades
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« Reply #3709 on: November 03, 2020, 11:07:18 PM »

Biden has very likely won AZ.
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #3710 on: November 03, 2020, 11:07:18 PM »

NE-02:  Biden ahead by about nine with 57% in (per CNN)
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #3711 on: November 03, 2020, 11:07:23 PM »

Guys.
Finally found the website to the official Nebraska State elections office for district results.
Here is the link to NE-02 results ...

https://electionresults.nebraska.gov/resultsSW.aspx?text=Race&type=PC&map=CTY

That site has Biden by ~10% in both NE-01 and NE-02???
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #3712 on: November 03, 2020, 11:07:42 PM »

Guys.
Finally found the website to the official Nebraska State elections office for district results.
Here is the link to NE-02 results ...

https://electionresults.nebraska.gov/resultsSW.aspx?text=Race&type=PC&map=CTY

Oh wow.
Just noticed that Biden is also leading in NE-01 (and not just NE-02).
Really?
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iamaganster123
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« Reply #3713 on: November 03, 2020, 11:07:42 PM »

Joe Biden won NH, a close Clinton state.
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Donald Trump’s Toupée
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« Reply #3714 on: November 03, 2020, 11:07:48 PM »

When do impeachment proceedings begin?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #3715 on: November 03, 2020, 11:07:53 PM »

I'm black and I'm honestly wondering how Trump is doing better with my demographic than last time. What do these black Trump voters see in Trump? The Latino results I can at least kinda see with the whole socialism thing, but black voters?

D's give you a job when it's time to campaign for them butAA, unless you are a lawyer are locked out of the Congressial and Senate jobs as a white collar job. They only want AA to donate to Act blue


We are smarter than that how, since Covid hit, people have stopped donating to Act blue
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Storebought
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« Reply #3716 on: November 03, 2020, 11:08:00 PM »

I'm black and I'm honestly wondering how Trump is doing better with my demographic than last time. What do these black Trump voters see in Trump? The Latino results I can at least kinda see with the whole socialism thing, but black voters?

Black voters fed up with BLM and the riots? But that's just suspicion on my part.
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Hope For A New Era
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« Reply #3717 on: November 03, 2020, 11:08:06 PM »

Dallas County, Iowa looking like a possible flip. 50R/41D in 2016, it's now 49.1D/48.9R with 96% reporting.

That's some western suburbs of Des Moines + a lot of rurals. Good sign.

Northwest Iowa's big R sink is coming in as well, and Biden still leading by 8.


What an odd election.
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xavier110
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« Reply #3718 on: November 03, 2020, 11:08:10 PM »

Lol if this is a 270-268 race I will scream
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lfromnj
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« Reply #3719 on: November 03, 2020, 11:08:34 PM »


With AZ , Sinema won 45% of whites so makes sense considering almost all the whites are suburbans.
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Zanas
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« Reply #3720 on: November 03, 2020, 11:08:47 PM »

So broadly speaking we're seeing a 3-4 pt polling error in favor of Trump, aren't we? Should still be enough for WI-MI, but I'm very very very nervous about PA.

Also, for now NE-01 seems better for Dems than NE-02, am I missing something here ?
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Alcibiades
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« Reply #3721 on: November 03, 2020, 11:09:10 PM »

Joe Biden won NH, a close Clinton state.

Biden doing very well. Leading in Coos, which I must admit I thought was gone for Dems.
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Hassan 2022
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« Reply #3722 on: November 03, 2020, 11:09:10 PM »

Joe Biden won NH, a close Clinton state.

And it's not even close.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #3723 on: November 03, 2020, 11:09:11 PM »

None of the Wisconsin early vote is in except Dane. We're seeing the election day vote right now

That's really good for Biden then.
Are you sure about this?
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #3724 on: November 03, 2020, 11:09:18 PM »

On a Senate note:  GA-SEN candidate Doug Collins has just conceded to Loeffler.  (NYT)
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