2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[wbrocks67]

If Biden wins Michigan by 3% or higher, will Debbie Dingell take back her stupid comments on how Dems have flopped and failed and 'need to get better talking to working class men and women'?

DUDE you literally said it wouldn't be close for months. Why should anyone care what you think?

3% in Michigan is not really that close.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

But why is it November 5th and we are all still talking about this? Most of you guys said it would be a landslide and Trump had no chance? You said I was crazy for thinking it was even competitive. Are you guys now trying to convince yourselves that Trump didn't win?

I mean, once all the votes are counted, it's quite possible Biden has over 300K EVs, so that not be competitive

Nice to know we added the entire continent of Africa to our great, great country.  

Namibia --> Solid Biden!

[philly09]

Wasserman still being a Biden win, due to Trump underperforming his margins, and Biden doing well in rural counties like Bethlehem where he is leading by 0.4(Trump won it 2016).  He spoke to a PA GOP spokesman who said Trump "is in deep trouble".

Bethlehem, PA? That's Lehigh and Northampton counties.  

I do try to take these "I spoke to [blank]" accounts with a grain of salt.  These folks, whoever they are, might not have any more info than the rest of us.  

Biden has taken the lead in Northampton.

[MillennialModerate]

Wasserman said Biden would have to run the table with Georgia votes and he sounded extremely pessimistic.

Georgia SoS says only 25k votes left and Biden down 18k. This is the final time I’ll say it, Georgia is over.

[SN2903]

But why is it November 5th and we are all still talking about this? Most of you guys said it would be a landslide and Trump had no chance? You said I was crazy for thinking it was even competitive. Are you guys now trying to convince yourselves that Trump didn't win?

I mean, once all the votes are counted, it's quite possible Biden has over 300K EVs, so that not be competitive

It's very possible once all the votes are counted Trump was re-elected.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Wasserman still being a Biden win, due to Trump underperforming his margins, and Biden doing well in rural counties like Bethlehem where he is leading by 0.4(Trump won it 2016).  He spoke to a PA GOP spokesman who said Trump "is in deep trouble".

Bethlehem, PA? That's Lehigh and Northampton counties.  

I do try to take these "I spoke to [blank]" accounts with a grain of salt.  These folks, whoever they are, might not have any more info than the rest of us.  

Biden has taken the lead in Northampton.

Oh I'm aware (shame on me, I had Northampton as Trump hold).  I'm talking about the state as a whole.  

[wbrocks67]

Outside of those ~35K ballots in Allegheny County, Biden also outperformed Hillary 2016.

2016: Hillary +16.4
2020 (so far): Biden +19.1

In at least decent-to-big counties completed so far in PA, Biden has improved *at least* 2/3% on Hillary's margin.

There also appears to be a *LOT* still out in Erie and Lehigh too in terms of mails. Delaware and Bucks seem to have good chunks out too.

[SN2903]

If Biden wins Michigan by 3% or higher, will Debbie Dingell take back her stupid comments on how Dems have flopped and failed and 'need to get better talking to working class men and women'?

DUDE you literally said it wouldn't be close for months. Why should anyone care what you think?

3% in Michigan is not really that close.

Trump most likely won bro. He won Florida by 3%, Iowa and Ohio by 8%, Texas by 6%. He has a  very good chance of carrying Nevada or Arizona. Georgia looks good and PA too. GOP won this election. Gained in the house and senate is GOP still. If it goes to litigation he has the edge.

[philly09]

Outside of those ~35K ballots in Allegheny County, Biden also outperformed Hillary 2016.

2016: Hillary +16.4
2020 (so far): Biden +19.1

In at least decent-to-big counties completed so far in PA, Biden has improved *at least* 2/3% on Hillary's margin.

There also appears to be a *LOT* still out in Erie and Lehigh too in terms of mails. Delaware and Bucks seem to have good chunks out too.

Widely reported that Biden will take Erie back from Trump.

[wbrocks67]

Wasserman said Biden would have to run the table with Georgia votes and he sounded extremely pessimistic.

Georgia SoS says only 25k votes left and Biden down 18k. This is the final time I’ll say it, Georgia is over.

If there are actually only 25K left, and Biden gets ~75% as he's been getting, that would literally be a tie.

[wbrocks67]

Outside of those ~35K ballots in Allegheny County, Biden also outperformed Hillary 2016.

2016: Hillary +16.4
2020 (so far): Biden +19.1

In at least decent-to-big counties completed so far in PA, Biden has improved *at least* 2/3% on Hillary's margin.

There also appears to be a *LOT* still out in Erie and Lehigh too in terms of mails. Delaware and Bucks seem to have good chunks out too.

Widely reported that Biden will take Erie back from Trump.

Yep, Biden has closed the gap and there appears to be a lot of mail still out there.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Outside of those ~35K ballots in Allegheny County, Biden also outperformed Hillary 2016.

2016: Hillary +16.4
2020 (so far): Biden +19.1

In at least decent-to-big counties completed so far in PA, Biden has improved *at least* 2/3% on Hillary's margin.

There also appears to be a *LOT* still out in Erie and Lehigh too in terms of mails. Delaware and Bucks seem to have good chunks out too.

That margin in Chester County is pretty stunning (+16, a sixteen-point swing from 2012).  

[wbrocks67]

RE: Georgia - we may have the same issue as PA. The state says there is "25K left to count" but we don't know if there is a lag, wherein there is votes that been *counted* but not *reported* yet. I.e. they may have counted 10K but not reported them yet.

[Middle-aged Europe]

So, what Doom level are we currently at? Are we still holding steady at DOOM-CON 5 or are we already at DOOM-CON 4?

[philly09]

Outside of those ~35K ballots in Allegheny County, Biden also outperformed Hillary 2016.

2016: Hillary +16.4
2020 (so far): Biden +19.1

In at least decent-to-big counties completed so far in PA, Biden has improved *at least* 2/3% on Hillary's margin.

There also appears to be a *LOT* still out in Erie and Lehigh too in terms of mails. Delaware and Bucks seem to have good chunks out too.

Widely reported that Biden will take Erie back from Trump.

Sourcey-source?

The NYT election ticker. Mail ballots in Erie are breaking 3 to 1 for Biden.

[wbrocks67]

It's possible GA has *counted* votes but not *reported* them, since the 25K figure is way off from the 60K+ figure they said last night.

https://twitter.com/tbonier/status/1324325307004915712

https://twitter.com/ArmandoNDK/status/1324326523151781888

[Hindsight was 2020]

Also fwi the guy who is being cited by the doomers here with Pennsylvania says even with his numbers Biden is gonna win Pennsylvania. He just has the margin slightly under 100k

[wbrocks67]

Dauphin County, PA (Harrisburg) is interesting too. Nearly done counting.

2016: Hillary +2.9
2020: Biden +8.3

[JerryArkansas]

It's possible GA has *counted* votes but not *reported* them, since the 25K figure is way off from the 60K+ figure they said last night.

https://twitter.com/tbonier/status/1324325307004915712

https://twitter.com/ArmandoNDK/status/1324326523151781888

The same thing in PA.  Just because a ballot has been processes doesn't automatically mean that it is posted.  I haven't see a Fulton update all night.

[Inmate Trump]

Will we know today?

[wbrocks67]

Suburb Philly shift in PA with mostly completed:

Montgomery County
2016: Hillary +21.3
2020: Biden +26.0

Chester County
2016: Hillary +9.4
2020: Biden +16.6

[MasterJedi]

If Biden wins Michigan by 3% or higher, will Debbie Dingell take back her stupid comments on how Dems have flopped and failed and 'need to get better talking to working class men and women'?

DUDE you literally said it wouldn't be close for months. Why should anyone care what you think?

3% in Michigan is not really that close.

Trump most likely won bro. He won Florida by 3%, Iowa and Ohio by 8%, Texas by 6%. He has a  very good chance of carrying Nevada or Arizona. Georgia looks good and PA too. GOP won this election. Gained in the house and senate is GOP still. If it goes to litigation he has the edge.

Uh oh, someone drank the hard kool aid.

[Silent Hunter]

That's because the Fulton County website administrators wisely decided to do what some people here should - go home and get some sleep.

[DaleCooper]

Suburb Philly shift in PA with mostly completed:

Montgomery County
2016: Hillary +21.3
2020: Biden +26.0

Chester County
2016: Hillary +9.4
2020: Biden +16.6

And Trump seems to have overperformed his 2016 margins almost nowhere, correct?

[JerryArkansas]

Will we know today?

Secretary of State says we will by noon.  Take of that what you will.