2020 Absentee/Early Voting megathread 2
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  2020 Absentee/Early Voting megathread 2		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: 2020 Absentee/Early Voting megathread 2  (Read 84628 times)
Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2450 on: November 02, 2020, 09:08:26 PM »
I was skimming the vote totals from Florida and it seems like a good majority of NPA early votes are from Democratic leaning counties, definitely over 50%.  
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2451 on: November 02, 2020, 09:09:56 PM »
Quote from: Mine eyes have seen the glory of the crushing of the Trump on November 02, 2020, 08:58:44 PM
Quote from: Blairite on November 02, 2020, 08:22:15 PM
Quote from: Non Swing Voter on November 02, 2020, 08:20:21 PM

How'd he get the blue check mark?  doesn't that mean it's verified?

Verified for the guy (@ira) who just changed his display name to Beto O'Rourke.

And is now suspended. Presumably for impersonating a public figure?

Amazing that he got to almost 200k followers before getting suspended.
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MRS DONNA SHALALA
cuddlebuns
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« Reply #2452 on: November 02, 2020, 09:14:42 PM »
Finally managed to persuade my lovely and talented Data Scientist SO into mapping out the NC ballot returns by congressional district for a side project/to get the hang of Tableau. Looking like very tight races in NC-09 and NC-11, while Dems have a surprisingly healthy lead in NC-08. As we thought though, for all competitive House races it comes down almost entirely to how NPA's break, unless GOP e-day turnout is through the roof.

You can access the data here:

https://dolcikey.medium.com/2020-presidential-election-looking-at-north-carolina-voter-data-in-tableau-bff98408aafb
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #2453 on: November 02, 2020, 09:15:20 PM »
Quote from: Non Swing Voter on November 02, 2020, 09:09:56 PM
Quote from: Mine eyes have seen the glory of the crushing of the Trump on November 02, 2020, 08:58:44 PM
Quote from: Blairite on November 02, 2020, 08:22:15 PM
Quote from: Non Swing Voter on November 02, 2020, 08:20:21 PM

How'd he get the blue check mark?  doesn't that mean it's verified?

Verified for the guy (@ira) who just changed his display name to Beto O'Rourke.

And is now suspended. Presumably for impersonating a public figure?

Amazing that he got to almost 200k followers before getting suspended.

Well how many followers did Milo Yiannopoulos have?
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ExSky
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« Reply #2454 on: November 02, 2020, 09:16:38 PM »
Quote from: Mine eyes have seen the glory of the crushing of the Trump on November 02, 2020, 08:58:44 PM
Quote from: Blairite on November 02, 2020, 08:22:15 PM
Quote from: Non Swing Voter on November 02, 2020, 08:20:21 PM

How'd he get the blue check mark?  doesn't that mean it's verified?

Verified for the guy (@ira) who just changed his display name to Beto O'Rourke.

And is now suspended. Presumably for impersonating a public figure?

What a way to go tho
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redjohn
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« Reply #2455 on: November 02, 2020, 09:17:09 PM »
Quote from: Unbeatable Titan Donna Shalala on November 02, 2020, 09:14:42 PM
Finally managed to persuade my lovely and talented Data Scientist SO into mapping out the NC ballot returns by congressional district for a side project/to get the hang of Tableau. Looking like very tight races in NC-09 and NC-11, while Dems have a surprisingly healthy lead in NC-08. As we thought though, for all competitive House races it comes down almost entirely to how NPA's break, unless GOP e-day turnout is through the roof.

You can access the data here:

https://dolcikey.medium.com/2020-presidential-election-looking-at-north-carolina-voter-data-in-tableau-bff98408aafb

Tell your SO thanks, this is great!
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It’s so Joever
Forumlurker161
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« Reply #2456 on: November 02, 2020, 09:20:43 PM »
Quote from: LimoLiberal on November 02, 2020, 09:05:26 PM
Quote from: philly09 on November 02, 2020, 08:55:52 PM


Won't Election Day flip this though? Or am I paranoid?
Don’t worry fellow Doomercrat, most votes in Arizona are by mail anyways!
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philly09
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« Reply #2457 on: November 02, 2020, 09:28:02 PM »
Montana is now over their 2016 total.
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MR DARK BRANDON
Liam
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« Reply #2458 on: November 02, 2020, 09:34:03 PM »
« Edited: November 02, 2020, 09:38:41 PM by UBI man good »
Quote from: philly09 on November 02, 2020, 08:55:52 PM
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philly09
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« Reply #2459 on: November 02, 2020, 09:39:38 PM »
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
Blairite
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« Reply #2460 on: November 02, 2020, 09:42:02 PM »

Am I the only one who thinks Atlas has gone overboard with cum humor?
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swf541
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« Reply #2461 on: November 02, 2020, 09:42:25 PM »

Yes
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
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« Reply #2462 on: November 02, 2020, 09:48:11 PM »
« Edited: November 02, 2020, 10:02:03 PM by Make PA Blue Again! »
Quote from: philly09 on November 02, 2020, 09:39:38 PM


This is very good to hear.

If there's one person I can almost completely trust when it comes to PA's politics, it's a Casey.
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philly09
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« Reply #2463 on: November 02, 2020, 10:03:26 PM »
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MikeIrvine
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« Reply #2464 on: November 02, 2020, 10:05:58 PM »

But did you see the spooky ghost?
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philly09
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« Reply #2465 on: November 02, 2020, 10:20:25 PM »
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philly09
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« Reply #2466 on: November 02, 2020, 10:41:00 PM »
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philly09
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« Reply #2467 on: November 02, 2020, 10:44:57 PM »
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ExSky
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« Reply #2468 on: November 02, 2020, 10:51:38 PM »
Quote from: philly09 on November 02, 2020, 10:44:57 PM


White non college voters are close to a ceiling. The rural counties simply lack the growth and any possible margin increased to turn the state back around. Texas’ time as a safe R state is over. It’s going to be true tossup here on out.
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soundchaser
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« Reply #2469 on: November 02, 2020, 10:55:21 PM »
Quote from: philly09 on November 02, 2020, 10:44:57 PM


If Texas flips (and I really, really think it will), I think it’ll be the highlight of my year.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #2470 on: November 02, 2020, 11:17:49 PM »
Charlie Cook was on MSNBC and seemed very confident about Biden winning.

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philly09
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« Reply #2471 on: November 02, 2020, 11:19:16 PM »
Quote from: Make PA Blue Again! on November 02, 2020, 11:17:49 PM
Charlie Cook was on MSNBC and seemed very confident about Biden winning.



Yeah, it was basically a non-call call.
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2472 on: November 02, 2020, 11:19:54 PM »
Quote from: Make PA Blue Again! on November 02, 2020, 11:17:49 PM
Charlie Cook was on MSNBC and seemed very confident about Biden winning.


How confident were they back in 2016?
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Tintrlvr
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2473 on: November 02, 2020, 11:21:30 PM »
Quote from: philly09 on November 02, 2020, 10:44:57 PM


Is the data he's citing TargetSmart modeling? Because...

Edit: Oh, Tom Bonier is the TargetSmart CEO.
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musicblind
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« Reply #2474 on: November 02, 2020, 11:22:56 PM »
Quote from: philly09 on November 02, 2020, 10:44:57 PM


I respect Paul Begala, but we all know he has a horse in this race.

Hope he's right, though.
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