2020 Absentee/Early Voting megathread 2

[philly09]

https://twitter.com/WMUR9/status/1323401768705921024

[DaleCooper]

The reason I'm skeptical of the Erickson commentary is that he's pretending that there are enough undecideds left to swing the election dramatically in one candidate's favor. The vast majority of people have already voted in Georgia. There isn't going to be a huge shift towards Republicans at the last minute because there aren't enough minds left to change, let alone all the data that indicates there are very few undecideds anyway. 

[new_patomic]

The reason to be skeptical of Erickson is that Erickson is a hack and why would he know anything

[swf541]

The reason to be skeptical of Erickson is that Erickson is a hack and why would he know anything

Bingo lol

Idk who considers him seriously at this point

[Sellsell]

From a UK perspective I feel sorry for the American people.  A choice between Trump or Biden. What the hell has happened to the USA

[Sellsell]

From a UK perspective I feel sorry for the American people.  A choice between Trump or Biden. What the hell has happened to the USA

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Minnesota's final early vote count is in: www.sos.state.mn.us/election-administration-campaigns/data-maps/absentee-data

1,716,575 votes or 57.8% of 2016. Hennepin County is above 71% and Ramsey County above 65% of 2016 turnout.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

From a UK perspective I feel sorry for the American people.  A choice between Trump or Biden. What the hell has happened to the USA

I'm proud to cast my vote for Biden

He's a man who has served our country for 47 years, has a wealth of experience, a big heart & lots of empathy, knows the pain of working and suffering people, and is a reasonable and moderate voice.

I think he'll make a great President, but even if he sucks, there's a few potential Republicans that I wouldn't mind voting for in 2024

[soundchaser]

From a UK perspective I feel sorry for the American people.  A choice between Trump or Biden. What the hell has happened to the USA

Yes, thank you for your condescension, country currently being run by Boris Johnson.

[Pick Up the Phone]

From a UK perspective I feel sorry for the American people.  A choice between Trump or Biden. What the hell has happened to the USA

Are you serious? Biden is a great candidate.

[LimoLiberal]

30,000 more absentee ballots in Wake County today. Probably good for Democrats.

https://twitter.com/gercohen/status/1323413029053173760

[Horus]

From a UK perspective I feel sorry for the American people.  A choice between Trump or Biden. What the hell has happened to the USA

Yes, thank you for your condescension, country currently being run by Boris Johnson.

For all of his faults, Johnson has at least stood up to Putin and endorsed Biden. That's a lot more than I thought he'd do. He looks set to lose next election to Sir Keir anyways.

[Flabuckeye]

This is huge.... if we can trust it.

I know we all are down on TargetSmart for Modeled Party, however, what about demographics like age and education?  Should just be from the voter file, right?

Here is total 2016 Florida Election compared to where we are now in 2020 (TargetSmart is a few days behind in numbers at 8.4M).

If this can be trusted:
-Florida has already hit same amount of college educated whites
-Has a bit to go on AAs but like people have been saying, some like to vote on ED.
-By FAR the biggest takeaway.  Non-College whites are 1.2 Million less than in 2016. That is an immense amount to make up on ED.

[Sellsell]

It seems to me. From a distance I grant you, that you think Biden is a great candidate. He has been a loser since forever.  Now at 80 odd years he is the saviour of the US. Wow. You guys are truly delusional

[It’s so Joever]

It seems to me. From a distance I grant you, that you think Biden is a great candidate. He has been a loser since forever.  Now at 80 odd years he is the saviour of the US. Wow. You guys are truly delusional

Who let Jfern make a second account?

[Hindsight was 2020]

It seems to me. From a distance I grant you, that you think Biden is a great candidate. He has been a loser since forever.  Now at 80 odd years he is the saviour of the US. Wow. You guys are truly delusional

Sir this is a strict no malarkey zone. So hit the road Jack because we are on a quest to say America and eat vanilla ice cream.....and we’re all out of vanilla ice cream

[GeorgiaModerate]

It seems to me. From a distance I grant you, that you think Biden is a great candidate. He has been a loser since forever.  Now at 80 odd years he is the saviour of the US. Wow. You guys are truly delusional

A loser?  Biden was elected to the Senate seven times, and to the Vice-Presidency twice.  And he's less than 80 years old.  Try checking your facts.

[MRS DONNA SHALALA]

It seems to me. From a distance I grant you, that you think Biden is a great candidate. He has been a loser since forever.  Now at 80 odd years he is the saviour of the US. Wow. You guys are truly delusional

I see troll farms aren't even bothering to establish accounts with a decent post history anymore.

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

From a UK perspective I feel sorry for the American people.  A choice between Trump or Biden. What the hell has happened to the USA

LMAO you guys had to choose between Johnson and Corbyn. Meanwhile, we have a great choice (Biden) and the worst choice in the world (Trump). No complaints here.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

It seems to me. From a distance I grant you, that you think Biden is a great candidate. He has been a loser since forever.  Now at 80 odd years he is the saviour of the US. Wow. You guys are truly delusional

There's a lot of wisdom to be gained as you age

[Non Swing Voter]

Dem early vote lead in Florida has ticked up to 116k.  They now lead the in person early vote in Miami Dade.

[Tintrlvr]

This is huge.... if we can trust it.

I know we all are down on TargetSmart for Modeled Party, however, what about demographics like age and education?  Should just be from the voter file, right?

Here is total 2016 Florida Election compared to where we are now in 2020 (TargetSmart is a few days behind in numbers at 8.4M).

If this can be trusted:
-Florida has already hit same amount of college educated whites
-Has a bit to go on AAs but like people have been saying, some like to vote on ED.
-By FAR the biggest takeaway.  Non-College whites are 1.2 Million less than in 2016. That is an immense amount to make up on ED.

Education wouldn't be in the voter file; that part must be modeled.

[Flabuckeye]

This is huge.... if we can trust it.

I know we all are down on TargetSmart for Modeled Party, however, what about demographics like age and education?  Should just be from the voter file, right?

Here is total 2016 Florida Election compared to where we are now in 2020 (TargetSmart is a few days behind in numbers at 8.4M).

If this can be trusted:
-Florida has already hit same amount of college educated whites
-Has a bit to go on AAs but like people have been saying, some like to vote on ED.
-By FAR the biggest takeaway.  Non-College whites are 1.2 Million less than in 2016. That is an immense amount to make up on ED.

Education wouldn't be in the voter file; that part must be modeled.

Damn.  I don’t trust any of their “modeling”

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

Are we really going to pull it off in Florida and Georgia guys?

[swf541]

Are we really going to pull it off in Florida and Georgia guys?

A resounding MAYBE, LETS GO