2020 Absentee/Early Voting megathread 2

[Adam Griffin]

Sorry for the quality (feeling lazy right now):

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/PoliticsReid/status/1321568439891234816?s=20

Ohio, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Florida, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.

Wow. This is incredibly smart.

[dspNY]

Any guess on what total turnout will be in Florida? In 2016 we had 9.5M and we now have almost 7.3M with four days of early voting left

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

https://twitter.com/TravisCoClerk/status/1321558271468228616?s=20
As of an hour ago, Travis County reached 100% of their 2018 vote totals.

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/tbonier/status/1321542576504188928

[Landslide Lyndon]

Any guess on what total turnout will be in Florida? In 2016 we had 9.5M and we now have almost 7.3M with four days of early voting left

Around 10.5-11 million.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

https://twitter.com/TravisCoClerk/status/1321558271468228616?s=20
As of an hour ago, Travis County reached 100% of their 2018 vote totals

Yeah I was kind of confused about that. Does that mean someone messed up the math when they posted their 486k tweet a few hours ago? Or are they not counting mail ballots in this latest tweet? Either way, Travis will easily set a new record today.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Yeah I was kind of confused about that. Does that mean someone messed up the math when they posted their 486k tweet a few hours ago? Or are they not counting mail ballots in this latest tweet? Either way, Travis will easily set a new record today.

I'd assume they're counting mail ballots as well. They've had two 20k vote days in a row with yesterday being bigger than Monday. Wouldn't surprise me if there's a steady increase throughout this week

EDIT: I had some confusion because I've been basing turnout off 2016 presidential votes. I've been going off of 468 instead of 477k. Seems 9,000 voters just left the presidential race blank? I can't find total votes from the counties or state sites

[dspNY]

Any guess on what total turnout will be in Florida? In 2016 we had 9.5M and we now have almost 7.3M with four days of early voting left

Around 10.5-11 million.

OK so that means as of now, 66-69% of the state has already voted and we still have 4 days of early voting remaining. It could mean over 80% of the state will vote by the end of the early voting period

[Storr]

Sorry for the quality (feeling lazy right now):

Relevant, and funny I guess, California is at 54.2% of 2016.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Sorry for the quality (feeling lazy right now):

You missed Vermont (71.1) and Massachusets (58.4).

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Not even a pandemic or the potential for national VBM shenanigans will prevent Californians from waiting until Election Day to return their ballots

[Adam Griffin]

Sorry for the quality (feeling lazy right now):

You missed Vermont (71.1) and Massachusets (58.4).

He literally updated it as I was making the map:

https://twitter.com/ElectProject/status/1321568456634966017

[Ljube]

Not even a pandemic or the potential for national VBM shenanigans will prevent Californians from waiting until Election Day to return their ballots

Could Trump somehow sabotage mail-in ballots and win California? Say, they get lost.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Not even a pandemic or the potential for national VBM shenanigans will prevent Californians from waiting until Election Day to return their ballots

Could Trump somehow sabotage mail-in ballots and win California? Say, they get lost.

Please provide even a faintly plausible way this could happen.  We'll wait.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Not even a pandemic or the potential for national VBM shenanigans will prevent Californians from waiting until Election Day to return their ballots

Could Trump somehow sabotage mail-in ballots and win California? Say, they get lost.

Considering 22% of the returned ballots are GOP and Independents have returned more ballots than Republicans, I highly doubt it.

However, I am entertaining the thought that we'll get a reverse 2018 effect. Instead of late ballots being heavily Democrat, they'll be heavily Republican and cause narrowing in races like the OC House seats

[wbrocks67]

Good news for Biden out of Broward. He's going there tomorrow too. Needs to turbocharge turnout there.

https://twitter.com/steveschale/status/1321579879268311040

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

Good news for Biden out of Broward. He's going there tomorrow too. Needs to turbocharge turnout there.

https://twitter.com/steveschale/status/1321579879268311040

!ping Forumlurker.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

I know it's California, but I found these graphs interesting:

https://twitter.com/CA_120/status/1321125466137219073?s=20
https://twitter.com/CA_120/status/1321125472776826882?s=20
https://twitter.com/CA_120/status/1321128187368124416?s=20

[Adam Griffin]

[Gass3268]

More good Supreme Court news, this time out of North Carolina:

https://twitter.com/mjs_DC/status/1321595356283625472?s=20

[Skill and Chance]

Not even a pandemic or the potential for national VBM shenanigans will prevent Californians from waiting until Election Day to return their ballots

Could Trump somehow sabotage mail-in ballots and win California? Say, they get lost.

Considering 22% of the returned ballots are GOP and Independents have returned more ballots than Republicans, I highly doubt it.

However, I am entertaining the thought that we'll get a reverse 2018 effect. Instead of late ballots being heavily Democrat, they'll be heavily Republican and cause narrowing in races like the OC House seats

Perhaps SCOTUS is going to strike down all state laws allowing ballots received after election day to count, which throws the election to... Biden because Democrats generally returned their ballots first.

*Trump wins the PV because the post-election day CA vote was still Dem leaning

[Storr]

More good Supreme Court news, this time out of North Carolina:

https://twitter.com/mjs_DC/status/1321595356283625472?s=20

LOL Republicans completely threw out SC nomination tradition, confirmed Barrett in only 30 days, and now she won't rule on cases before the court. lmao

[Non Swing Voter]

Every single post in here on the last 3 pages suggests this is going to be a Biden landslide.  Still we are all pooping our pants because of 2016 and the fact that there is a conceivable path for Trump.  But no-one should be surprised if Biden wins the popular vote by the biggest vote margin ever. 

[EJ24]

Every single post in here on the last 3 pages suggests this is going to be a Biden landslide.  Still we are all pooping our pants because of 2016 and the fact that there is a conceivable path for Trump.  But no-one should be surprised if Biden wins the popular vote by the biggest vote margin ever. 

I think I may have said this before, but the fact that so many Democrats are pooping their pants and petrified of another 2016 is exactly why the landslide is going to happen. That was just an unbelievable motivator.