Illinois Redistricting Megathread
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Author Topic: Illinois Redistricting Megathread  (Read 32073 times)
StateBoiler
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« Reply #450 on: October 19, 2021, 08:45:40 AM »
Two VRA complaints filed against the Democrats map, which is funny. One from East St. Louis blacks that got splintered apart and one from Chicago Hispanics.

https://www.bnd.com/news/local/article255066387.html
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Stuart98
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« Reply #451 on: October 19, 2021, 09:11:05 AM »
Quote from: StateBoiler on October 19, 2021, 08:45:40 AM
Two VRA complaints filed against the Democrats map, which is funny. One from East St. Louis blacks that got splintered apart and one from Chicago Hispanics.

https://www.bnd.com/news/local/article255066387.html
Hoping the legislative maps get overturned, congressional gerrymandering can be justified since it counterbalances gerrymandering by the other party elsewhere, but there's no excuse for state legislative gerrymandering.
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Spectator
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« Reply #452 on: October 19, 2021, 12:47:40 PM »
Quote from: StateBoiler on October 19, 2021, 08:45:40 AM
Two VRA complaints filed against the Democrats map, which is funny. One from East St. Louis blacks that got splintered apart and one from Chicago Hispanics.

https://www.bnd.com/news/local/article255066387.html

That’s not the congressional map.
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BoiseBoy
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« Reply #453 on: October 19, 2021, 02:44:07 PM »
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Abdullah
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« Reply #454 on: October 19, 2021, 06:15:02 PM »
SMH My Head...

Why do Illinois Democrats keep unilaterally disarming? It's this or nothing:


Image Link

/s obviously (somewhat)
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lfromnj
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« Reply #455 on: October 20, 2021, 09:45:22 AM »
Quote from: BoiseBoy on October 19, 2021, 02:44:07 PM


Surprised no one sued Oklahoma for doing the same.
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #456 on: October 20, 2021, 01:08:34 PM »
Quote from: lfromnj on October 20, 2021, 09:45:22 AM
Quote from: BoiseBoy on October 19, 2021, 02:44:07 PM


Surprised no one sued Oklahoma for doing the same.
Laws don’t apply to Republicans.
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Stuart98
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« Reply #457 on: October 20, 2021, 06:45:50 PM »
« Edited: October 20, 2021, 06:50:55 PM by Stuart98 »
This 15-2 map would be, very literally, the gerrymander to end all gerrymanders. Brutally efficient in a way that would be near-impossible to top without ignoring the VRA and/or going complete spaghetti.



W/ Counties:

Chicago inset:


Nearly every D incumbent lives in their current district, except for Quigley, who is moved to the 16th to open up the 5th for a hispanic candidate. Of the R incumbents, Kinzinger lives in the 1st; Bost lives in the 12th; Davis lives in the 13th; Miller and LaHood live in the 17th.

Demographics of VRA districts:
1st:

2nd:

4th:

5th:

7th:


This is a 15-2 map in every single dataset on DRA.

President 2020:

President 2016:

Senate 2016:

Attorney General 2018:


In 2020 data, the closest district is IL-12, which is Biden +3.4 The second closest is IL-17, which is Biden +11.6. The third closest is IL-03, which is Biden +12.9.

tl;dr get republican members of congress to join democrats in passing a gerrymandering ban speedrun
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Spectator
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« Reply #458 on: October 20, 2021, 09:13:29 PM »
The Illinois ugliness makes me so excited to see the monstrosity that NY Dems come up with Smiley
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Non Swing Voter
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« Reply #459 on: October 21, 2021, 01:23:28 PM »
Quote from: YOU JUST POSTED MALARKEY! on October 19, 2021, 06:15:02 PM
SMH My Head...

Why do Illinois Democrats keep unilaterally disarming? It's this or nothing:


Image Link

/s obviously (somewhat)

Irrational leftist: "It's because Dems are geographically concentrated in big cities and suburbs and you can't just split them up!" 

Republicans: "*split the sh** out of Austin, Houston, Dallas, Miami, Raleigh, Charlotte, Salt Lake City*

I guess city splitting is only OK when the GOP does it to make city voters irrelevant.
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Mr. Illini
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« Reply #460 on: October 21, 2021, 07:24:32 PM »
Beautiful 16th Stuart. Puts the north side of Chicago in a district with Galena lmao
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Gracile
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« Reply #461 on: October 23, 2021, 11:32:10 AM »
The proposed map's districts in Chicago only have minimal changes (likely due to the more senior incumbents' preferences and parochial concerns), but there are some interesting changes in the city at the fringes. Most notably, IL-05 has taken in the gentrifying parts of Logan Square from IL-04 to make it more Hispanic, as well as predominantly white neighborhoods like the Ukrainian Village and Gold Coast from IL-07 which would increase the black plurality. IL-04 additionally took in some Hispanic precincts on the edge of the current IL-05. These are changes that I would expect to remain in place in the final map.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #462 on: October 23, 2021, 04:20:19 PM »
« Edited: October 23, 2021, 04:23:57 PM by Gass3268 »
Illinois updated their map. Looks like they might have created another Latino district.
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Thunder98
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« Reply #463 on: October 23, 2021, 04:23:10 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on October 23, 2021, 04:20:19 PM
Illinois updated their map



Is that plan 14-3 D or 15-2 D? I can't tell.
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Stuart98
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« Reply #464 on: October 23, 2021, 04:27:25 PM »
Quote from: Thunder98 on October 23, 2021, 04:23:10 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on October 23, 2021, 04:20:19 PM
Illinois updated their map



Is that plan 14-3 D or 15-2 D? I can't tell.
This is 14-3; any 15-2 will include a snake to Carbondale.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #465 on: October 23, 2021, 04:34:50 PM »
Appears to be a much more solid 14-3 map.

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Gass3268
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« Reply #466 on: October 23, 2021, 04:35:33 PM »
« Edited: October 23, 2021, 04:50:15 PM by Gass3268 »
Newman was double bunked with Casten.
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Stuart98
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« Reply #467 on: October 23, 2021, 04:40:04 PM »
They really, really hate Newman it seems.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #468 on: October 23, 2021, 04:42:09 PM »
DRA link.

https://davesredistricting.org/join/1ff0850d-12b1-404e-be5a-556b7281083e
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lfromnj
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« Reply #469 on: October 23, 2021, 04:42:47 PM »
Not sure if Amarillo to Denton is more crazy or Danville to Chicago.
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compucomp
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« Reply #470 on: October 23, 2021, 04:54:42 PM »
Quote from: Stuart98 on October 23, 2021, 04:40:04 PM
They really, really hate Newman it seems.

Indeed, it looks like the Madigan machine still has punch even if he is not running it anymore.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #471 on: October 23, 2021, 04:55:00 PM »
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Nyvin
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« Reply #472 on: October 23, 2021, 05:13:44 PM »
The Democrats would actually gain more net seats out of Illinois than Republicans will out of Texas with this map.
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Gracile
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« Reply #473 on: October 23, 2021, 05:30:36 PM »
This IL-03 would be a pretty good pickup opportunity for someone on the left.
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Donerail
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« Reply #474 on: October 23, 2021, 05:34:47 PM »
Quote from: Minnesota Mike on October 23, 2021, 04:55:00 PM

This is incorrect. Kinzinger's house would be in Lahood's district, not Rush's. Par for the course for Wasserman, I suppose, who seems extremely dedicated to being wrong about Illinois.

Quote from: compucomp on October 23, 2021, 04:54:42 PM
Quote from: Stuart98 on October 23, 2021, 04:40:04 PM
They really, really hate Newman it seems.

Indeed, it looks like the Madigan machine still has punch even if he is not running it anymore.
I do not think this is the case and certainly would not expect Casten to be favored in that seat.
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