LA 2019 Gov Race: Gov John Bel Edwards wins a 2nd term

[KaiserDave]

wow, he UNDERPERFORMED Hillary in Richland, which is fully in

These are the obvious results of polarization, and should not be used to make conclusions about a race that JBE is obviously overperforming Hilldawg in.

[2016]

Pretty certain that this will go to a Runoff. There ain't enough Votes left to push JBE over 50%. Mission Accomplished by Republicans.

[Ashley Biden's Diary]

Pretty certain that this will go to a Runoff. There ain't enough Votes left to push JBE over 50%. Mission Accomplished by Republicans.

And there's a sub zero percent chance of JBE winning a runoff after a month of Trump promoting the Republican.

[Oryxslayer]

Interesting that it seems everyone ended up trolled by the Early Vote. I wouldn't be surprised if the lower dem numbers were because JBE identifiied dixiecrats as GOP voters, and saw suburban registered republicans in places  like Jefferson as favorable to his odds. it certainly looks like Edwards will hit his polling, maybe a bit higher once all is said and done.

[IceSpear]

Doesn't seem like there's enough votes left for JBE to crack 50% or for Abraham to overtake Rispone. Matchup looks set.

[Politician]

Pretty certain that this will go to a Runoff. There ain't enough Votes left to push JBE over 50%. Mission Accomplished by Republicans.

And there's a sub zero percent chance of JBE winning a runoff after a month of Trump promoting the Republican.

lol

[I Can Now Die Happy]

what's funny is that he did outperform Hillary by around 11% in Jefferson Davis Parish (and in other areas) lmaoooo

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION:

Candidate   Party   Vote   Pct.
John Bel Edwards*
Democrat
483,999   45.7%
Eddie Rispone
Republican
290,027   27.4
Ralph Abraham
Republican
261,090   24.6
Oscar Dantzler
Democrat
8,613   0.8
Patrick Landry
Republican
8,581   0.8
Gary Landrieu
Independent
7,811   0.7
1,060,121 votes, 77% reporting (3,045 of 3,934 precincts)

[BP🌹]

Another dump from NOLA failed to substantially increase JBE's statewide percentage.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Doesn't seem like there's enough votes left for JBE to crack 50% or for Abraham to overtake Rispone. Matchup looks set.

Yeah, I’m not optimistic about this runoff unlike the people rating it Likely D or whatever. A month of Trump rallies in Louisiana? Yikes

[Oryxslayer]

A bunch of East Baton Rough votes came in ... Did not help Edwards as much as I thought it would

Mostly the GOP side of the city. Note whats still out, and how it relates to the urban core, or the  more southern university precincts.

 

[Mr. Smith]

Time to stick a fork in this one. Governor Rispone is a go

Bummer.

[Politician]

Time to stick a fork in this one. Governor Rispone is a go

Bummer.

Is this a joke?

[Thunder98 🇮🇱 🤝 🇵🇸]

It appears this race is likely to go to a runoff with a JBE and Rispone match up.

[KaiserDave]

A bunch of East Baton Rough votes came in ... Did not help Edwards as much as I thought it would

Mostly the GOP side of the city. Note whats still out, and how it relates to the urban core, or the  more southern university precincts.

 

Would you call it JBE vs Rispone yet or can this still end tonight?

[Ashley Biden's Diary]

Remember when posters were saying a few months back that a Dem triple sweep this year was more likely than an R sweep? LOL

[BP🌹]

Time to stick a fork in this one. Governor Rispone is a go

Bummer.

Is this a joke?

No. Rispone seems to be a much better candidate than Abraham, and like others said, a month of Trump rallying his cultists will be devastating.

[Zaybay]

Remember when posters were saying a few months back that a Dem triple sweep this year was more likely than an R sweep? LOL

I do believe that almost everyone believed that this race was going to a runoff, so that fact isnt really surprising. The percentage is what most are looking at.

[Ebsy]

Trump is not going to hold multiple rallies in Louisiana over the next month. He actually has other stuff he needs to do (like golf and watch FOX and Friends.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Time to stick a fork in this one. Governor Rispone is a go

Bummer.

Is this a joke?

Why is it a joke? Rispone and Abraham are on track to get more votes than JBE combined. Wait til the GOP coalesces around one candidate

[Gracile]

I think in the end Edwards will barely make it into the runoff (~48%).

[Suburbia]

I have this race as Lean D

Democrats need to appeal to rural voters.

Democrats can chew gum and walk at the same time.

If Democrats are a big tent party, prove it. Show up in rural Louisiana tomorrow.

Jobs, healthcare, policing reform.

That's all Democrats need to talk about.

[TWTown]

Looks like a runoff, now what will matter is what the end result will be for JBE. I’d feel more optimistic about this race if he can at least get to 47%.

[Ashley Biden's Diary]

I have this race as Lean D

Democrats need to appeal to rural voters.

Democrats can chew gum and walk at the same time.

If Democrats are a big tent party, prove it. Show up in rural Louisiana tomorrow.

Jobs, healthcare, policing reform.

That's all Democrats need to talk about.

THEY.DON'T.CARE. All they care about is "muh caravan, muh abortion, muh 2nd amendment".

[IceSpear]

Doesn't seem like there's enough votes left for JBE to crack 50% or for Abraham to overtake Rispone. Matchup looks set.

Yeah, I’m not optimistic about this runoff unlike the people rating it Likely D or whatever. A month of Trump rallies in Louisiana? Yikes

I said this a year ago back when JBE had yuge leads and the CW was he was an Unbeatable Titan who would win in a landslide in round 1:

Now that Kennedy has declined to run I'd rate it a toss up. I think JBE is in decent shape to win considering he's pretty popular and the fact that he won't have the strongest challenger, but it's still Louisiana. I wouldn't be at all surprised if Abraham or whoever makes it a tight race once their name recognition goes up and they get a Trump endorsement. But for now if forced to bet I'd bet on JBE.

I was heavily mocked for rating this a toss up for the longest time, lol. I will now accept my accolades.