LA 2019 Gov Race: Gov John Bel Edwards wins a 2nd term

[Thunder98 🇮🇱 🤝 🇵🇸]

Who do you think will win the 2019 LA Gov race and will it go to a runoff?

[Lisa's voting Biden]

Edwards will most likely win outright and avoid a runoff.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

JBE has governed like an R; but with a D next to his name

[PSOL]

JBE has governed like an R; but with a D next to his name

What are your smoking and where can I get some?

[soundchaser]

JBE has governed like an R; but with a D next to his name

Speaking as someone who lived in this state during Bobby Jindal's tenure: you could not be more wrong if you tried.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

JBE has governed like an R; but with a D next to his name

Speaking as someone who lived in this state during Bobby Jindal's tenure: you could not be more wrong if you tried.

I was complementing him due to fact, he has kept a fiscal conservative record at the same time he expanded Medicaid and food stamps to needy. Just like Breaux, who was a fiscal hawk.

I am no conseevative, as you know

[soundchaser]

He really hasn't, though, and he's had several run-ins with the legislature because of it (look at the TOPS/higher ed fiasco that almost defunded college for the whole state last year). A Republican governor would almost certainly have made massive cuts that JBE refused to.

I agree he's been a conservative Democrat -- and I'm not remotely thrilled with him for signing the abortion bill -- but he's still a world away from the Republicans in this state.

[GlobeSoc]

JBE will win if he gets 50% in the first round but the other guy will win if its a runoff

[ElectionsGuy]

I think he'll get 45-50% in the first round and 50-55% in the runoff.

[Del Tachi]

Edwards will most likely win outright and avoid a runoff.

[😥]

Edwards will most likely win outright and avoid a runoff.

[Frenchrepublican]

As of now I think there will be a runoff

JBE : 45%
Abraham : 35%
Rispone : 10%
Remaining dudes : 10%

In the end JBE wins the runoff 52/48

[Politician]

Edwards will most likely win outright and avoid a runoff.

[Gracile]

I don't think an outright win is assured. Out of caution, I'll say JBE gets in the high 40s in the first round but ends up winning the runoff.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

JBE and Beshear should win. Not sure about MS, until more polling is done

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Jungle:

JBE 46%

Abraham 36%

Rispone 14%

Other Randos 4%

Runoff:

Abraham wins 52-48

[Lechasseur]

JBE will win, not sure if it goes to a runoff or not though

[Skill and Chance]

It's either going to be a JBE majority blowout in the 1st round (most likely IMO) or a close 51/49ish runoff either way if he can't close the deal in October.   

[Mr. Smith]

I dunno who wins overall, but JBE probably just misses the majority the first time around.

[Frodo]

So there is a general consensus that Governor John Bel Edwards will be re-elected -the great divide seems to be whether he will have to undergo a runoff to get there. 

[McNukes™ #NYCMMWasAHero]

So there is a general consensus that Governor John Bel Edwards will be re-elected -the great divide seems to be whether he will have to undergo a runoff to get there. 

More or less. I think most Republican/Independent voters will oppose the Democrat; JBE's chances are likely overrated here. However, if the majority of undecideds vote for JBE in the first round, it's possible for him to win in the first round. A rather odd scenario.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Winner: JBE

BIG losers no matter the winner: Women

[Thunder98 🇮🇱 🤝 🇵🇸]

Only 3 1/2 weeks until the October 12th, Primary and it appears that the race is likely in JBE's favor at this point.

[Xing]

I think Edwards will get pretty close to 50% in either direction, so I'm not sure whether or not it will go to a run-off. If it does, Edwards probably wins by 4-6%.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

I suspect Edwards gets ~ 48% in the first round before winning 53-47 or so in the runoff. I don’t see him winning a runoff in a landslide though I would be surprised if he lost re-election.