LA 2019 Gov Race: Gov John Bel Edwards wins a 2nd term

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WNN PROJECTIONS:

CA NO. 3 (ACT 446 - HB 428) -- Remedy for Unconstitutional Tax Paid
 
591 of 3934 precincts reporting - 15%
absentee reporting - 54 of 64 parishes   Votes
201,221   YES  57%
151,400   NO  43%
Total: 352,621
CA NO. 4 (ACT 448 - SB 79) -- Allow New Orleans Property Tax Exemptions
 
591 of 3934 precincts reporting - 15%
absentee reporting - 54 of 64 parishes   Votes
125,760   YES  36%
228,460   NO  64%
Total: 354,220

[Politician]

Let the record show I will happily admit I was wrong if JBE wins tonight. I wonder if the same can be said when Bevin crushes it in three weeks

Although JBE could still win, even tonight, his utter collapse in Acadiana makes me resigned to Bevin winning, since Appalachia has had similar voting patterns. Not a direct correlation, but worrying nonetheless.

True, but Kentucky has areas such as Oldham, Cincy burbs, Warren, Daviess, etc. Where Beshear could improve substantially on Conway.

Wait, you're finally admitting Trends Are Real?

Yep. I still think Beshear will win counties such as Elliott, but if he wins he probably needs all the counties above while still losing places like Knott.

[I Can Now Die Happy]

JBE is underperforming  2015 quite a bit in Caldwell
but in other counties he is performing about where he needs to be to get to 50%

[OSR stands with Israel]

Let the record show I will happily admit I was wrong if JBE wins tonight. I wonder if the same can be said when Bevin crushes it in three weeks

Although JBE could still win, even tonight, his utter collapse in Acadiana makes me resigned to Bevin winning, since Appalachia has had similar voting patterns. Not a direct correlation, but worrying nonetheless.

True, but Kentucky has areas such as Oldham, Cincy burbs, Warren, Daviess, etc. Where Beshear could improve substantially on Conway.

Wait, you're finally admitting Trends Are Real?

Trends are real the question is just how long will the trends go on for lol, as a Republican I hope the Republicans can reverse them soon or the GOP will be screwed and be where the 1980s Dems were in Presidential Races .

[Xing]

Finally some votes from Caddo... but only about 1000, and they're not EV.

[wbrocks67]

JBE 46.5% with basically all of Orleans, Caddo, and Baton Rouge out. Will be close.

[Thunder98]

Surprised that Landreau is getting less than 1% of the vote.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

It does look like Trends Are VERY Real down in the Bayou tonight’s as JBE is doing better than in 2015 across the suburbs but much worse in the rurals

[Politician]

Surprised that Landreau is getting less than 1% of the vote.

Not surprised. Third parties always underperform their polling numbers, look at Greg Orman (twice).

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WNN PROJECTION:

 
940 of 3934 precincts reporting - 24%
absentee reporting - 55 of 64 parishes   Votes
179,510   Kyle Ardoin (REP)  41%
146,472   "Gwen" Collins-Greenup (DEM)  34%
82,332   Thomas J. Kennedy III (REP)  19%
25,218   Amanda "Jennings" Smith (REP)  6%
Total: 433,532

[TWTown]

Surprised that Landreau is getting less than 1% of the vote.

I’m not complaining.

[7,052,770]

Seems like Edwards in the high 40s with basically nothing from New Orleans or Baton Rouge in is pretty good, right?

ETA: Basically nothing from Shreveport either.

[Oryxslayer]

It does look like Trends Are VERY Real down in the Bayou tonight’s as JBE isn’t doing better than in 2015 across the suburbs but much worse in the rurals

Conveniently ignores Jefferson, St. Tammany, Lafayette, and a bunch of others.

[KaiserDave]

With 25% in I'd say JBE is well positioned to get 50%, but its far from certain or likely-yet.

[DrScholl]

It's important to remember that David Vitter was heavily flawed so Edwards overperformed in some unusual areas do to that. Some decrease in those areas was to be expected.

[Oryxslayer]

Looks like we got the EBR EV.

[Badger]

WNN PROJECTION:

 
940 of 3934 precincts reporting - 24%
absentee reporting - 55 of 64 parishes   Votes
179,510   Kyle Ardoin (REP)  41%
146,472   "Gwen" Collins-Greenup (DEM)  34%
82,332   Thomas J. Kennedy III (REP)  19%
25,218   Amanda "Jennings" Smith (REP)  6%
Total: 433,532

What race is this, please?

[wbrocks67]

It does look like Trends Are VERY Real down in the Bayou tonight’s as JBE isn’t doing better than in 2015 across the suburbs but much worse in the rurals

Conveniently ignores Jefferson, St. Tammany, Lafayette, and a bunch of others.

And the fact that he is literally at 89% in Orleans so far with so much more left to go.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

It does look like Trends Are VERY Real down in the Bayou tonight’s as JBE isn’t doing better than in 2015 across the suburbs but much worse in the rurals

Conveniently ignores Jefferson, St. Tammany, Lafayette, and a bunch of others.

Are Jeffersonand St. Tammany not suburbs anymore?
Oh my bad I see auto correct put isn’t instead of is

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WNN PROJECTION:

 
940 of 3934 precincts reporting - 24%
absentee reporting - 55 of 64 parishes   Votes
179,510   Kyle Ardoin (REP)  41%
146,472   "Gwen" Collins-Greenup (DEM)  34%
82,332   Thomas J. Kennedy III (REP)  19%
25,218   Amanda "Jennings" Smith (REP)  6%
Total: 433,532

What race is this, please?

Secretary of state

[TWTown]

With 25% in I'd say JBE is well positioned to get 50%, but its far from certain or likely-yet.

31% in now (NYT)

[Oryxslayer]

It does look like Trends Are VERY Real down in the Bayou tonight’s as JBE isn’t doing better than in 2015 across the suburbs but much worse in the rurals

Conveniently ignores Jefferson, St. Tammany, Lafayette, and a bunch of others.

Are Jeffersonand St. Tammany not suburbs anymore?
Oh my bad I see auto correct put isn’t instead of is

yep, is vs isn't changed your message.

[Oryxslayer]

Livingston EV put Rispone ahead of Abraham. It really is a dead heat between them.

[KaiserDave]

Assuming Edwards fails to crack 50%, who's a weaker candidate? Rispone or Abraham?

[TWTown]

NYT is just playing catch-up to the SOS site it seems.
Bel is holding steady at 46% with a decent amount of New Orleans ready to go.