Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 02, 2024, 07:27:55 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1		 « previous next »
Thread note


Pages: 1 ... 133 134 135 136 137 [138] 139 140 141 142 143 ... 179
Author Topic: Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1  (Read 213566 times)
KingSweden
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,227
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3425 on: November 09, 2018, 02:32:37 PM »
Mohave, for reference, was R+51 in 2016
Logged
fldemfunds
Rookie
**
Posts: 168
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3426 on: November 09, 2018, 02:33:32 PM »
Quote from: Thatkat04 on November 09, 2018, 02:28:54 PM
So Cochise County dropped 4021 votes. It was McSally +11. They should be comepletly done now.

Mohave county dropped about 2000 votes. Was a McSally +39 batch. They probably have about 6000 votes left to count.

I'm getting all this info from @DrRyanLove on twitter f.y.i.

I don't see this on the twitter feed, can you post a link to the source?
Logged
Thatkat04
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 462
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3427 on: November 09, 2018, 02:34:09 PM »
Quote from: fldemfunds on November 09, 2018, 02:33:32 PM
Quote from: Thatkat04 on November 09, 2018, 02:28:54 PM
So Cochise County dropped 4021 votes. It was McSally +11. They should be comepletly done now.

Mohave county dropped about 2000 votes. Was a McSally +39 batch. They probably have about 6000 votes left to count.

I'm getting all this info from @DrRyanLove on twitter f.y.i.

I don't see this on the twitter feed, can you post a link to the source?

https://twitter.com/DrRyanLove/with_replies

Edit: Sorry, I thought i couldnt post links.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,573
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3428 on: November 09, 2018, 02:34:32 PM »

I read a twitter thread from someone who volunteered as a poll worker there. She said it was a massive s-show.
Logged
pppolitics
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,970


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3429 on: November 09, 2018, 02:34:50 PM »
Quote from: fldemfunds on November 09, 2018, 02:33:32 PM
Quote from: Thatkat04 on November 09, 2018, 02:28:54 PM
So Cochise County dropped 4021 votes. It was McSally +11. They should be comepletly done now.

Mohave county dropped about 2000 votes. Was a McSally +39 batch. They probably have about 6000 votes left to count.

I'm getting all this info from @DrRyanLove on twitter f.y.i.

I don't see this on the twitter feed, can you post a link to the source?
Logged
CellarDoor
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 766
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3430 on: November 09, 2018, 02:35:40 PM »


Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3431 on: November 09, 2018, 02:36:59 PM »
Quote from: CellarDoor on November 09, 2018, 02:35:40 PM


That's a very bad sign for McSally, especially since the early vote in AZ-09 actually had a Dem registration advantage iirc.
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,047
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3432 on: November 09, 2018, 02:37:38 PM »
Quote from: CellarDoor on November 09, 2018, 02:35:40 PM




Yeah, they're probably going to project Sinema the winner tonight.
Logged
pppolitics
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,970


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3433 on: November 09, 2018, 02:38:24 PM »
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,047
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3434 on: November 09, 2018, 02:38:42 PM »


Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,047
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3435 on: November 09, 2018, 02:39:37 PM »
Quote from: pppolitics on November 09, 2018, 02:38:24 PM


None of this looks good for McSally.
Logged
Thatkat04
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 462
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3436 on: November 09, 2018, 02:42:23 PM »
As I noted in the other thread, the argument that tonight's Maricopa's drop will be R+10 seems pretty thin. It very well might be, but just because in person election day votes were R+10 doesnt mean early votes dropped off on election day will be.
Logged
GP270watch
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,685


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3437 on: November 09, 2018, 02:42:50 PM »
Quote from: Virginiá on November 09, 2018, 02:27:56 PM

It's all so very pathetic and they should be ashamed of themselves. Just let the process play out instead of whining and delegitimizing our institutions for absolutely nothing.

 It's very shameful, I agree. Sadly you can't shame these people. You can only try and educate the Public to take their civic duties seriously and oppose this nonsense.

 Most reasonable people agree with one person, one vote. Most agree that every vote should be counted. That the voting process should be fair and easy and that elections should be organized and above reproach.

 
Logged
psychprofessor
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,293


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3438 on: November 09, 2018, 02:44:11 PM »
Quote from: Lou Barletta's Teeth on November 09, 2018, 02:39:37 PM
Quote from: pppolitics on November 09, 2018, 02:38:24 PM


None of this looks good for McSally.

Let's get this fu#king thing done (M. McSally, 2017)
Logged
Gass3268
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,573
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3439 on: November 09, 2018, 02:48:57 PM »


I feel like you can separate these counties into 3 categories:

Sinema Counties (Apache, Coconino, Pima & Santa Cruz): 68,600   
Toss Up Counties (Maricopa & Navajo): 349,000
McSally Counties (Cochise, Gila, La Paz, Mohave, Pinal, Yavapai & Yuma): 38,543   
Logged
Gass3268
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,573
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3440 on: November 09, 2018, 02:50:57 PM »
Also:
Logged
Gass3268
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,573
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3441 on: November 09, 2018, 02:54:11 PM »
No voter fraud says the Florida Department of Elections:
Logged
Gass3268
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,573
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3442 on: November 09, 2018, 02:57:06 PM »
The last of Santa Cruz Country dropped, Sinema's lead bumped up a bit to +8,936.
Logged
pppolitics
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,970


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3443 on: November 09, 2018, 03:02:05 PM »
If McSally loses, is Ducey going to appoint her to the other seat?
Logged
_
Not_Madigan
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,103
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.29, S: -7.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3444 on: November 09, 2018, 03:02:49 PM »
Quote from: The Inevitable Kevin Stitt on November 09, 2018, 02:52:52 PM
Worth noting that AZ-9 is a high turnout white liberal district. That could mean the Secretary of State race is not decided yet as this is Katie Hobbs’ home seat too

I think an argument is to be made that the SOS race is the more up-in-the-air race at this point. Which matters because it would disincentivize Ducey from going for Senate in 2020 if Hobbs is SOS

I mean both candidates in the SOS race haven't given up/declared victory, so I do think they recognize it's still a race as well.  Hopefully Maricopa goes big for them and they pull it out.
Logged
CellarDoor
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 766
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3445 on: November 09, 2018, 03:05:21 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on November 09, 2018, 02:57:06 PM
The last of Santa Cruz Country dropped, Sinema's lead bumped up a bit to +8,936.

This continues the trend of Sinema doing better in these late arriving counts than she did through election day.  She received 69.2% of the vote for this last dump, vs. 67.9% of the Santa Cruz vote counted prior to it.
Logged
Former Kentuckian
Cal
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,166


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3446 on: November 09, 2018, 03:05:49 PM »

So much for the tolerant left right
Logged
pppolitics
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,970


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3447 on: November 09, 2018, 03:11:46 PM »
Logged
Gass3268
Moderator
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,573
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3448 on: November 09, 2018, 03:15:32 PM »
Quote from: pppolitics on November 09, 2018, 03:11:46 PM


McSally gained 857 votes.
Logged
CellarDoor
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 766
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -4.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3449 on: November 09, 2018, 03:15:34 PM »
Quote from: pppolitics on November 09, 2018, 03:11:46 PM


3,499 votes.  Sinema received 38.4% of these votes, vs. 36.9% of the vote counted in this county before them.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 133 134 135 136 137 [138] 139 140 141 142 143 ... 179  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.042 seconds with 9 queries.