US Senate elections, 2024

[IceSpear]

Can we do the 2026 and 2028 elections next?

[Orser67]

I'm assuming Angus King retires, but everyone else runs.

[Strudelcutie4427]

I'm assuming Angus King retires, but everyone else runs.

No way Feinstein is running at age 91. Hopefully Cruz retires or is on the Supreme Court by then

[lfromnj]

I'm assuming Angus King retires, but everyone else runs.

No way Feinstein is running at age 91. Hopefully Cruz retires or is on the Supreme Court by then

Manchin should retire and Cruz should go on SCOTUS. HE should be banned from electoral politics.

[MAINEiac4434]

Think it's a reasonably close presidential year, maybe Democrat wins by Obama 2012 like margins or slightly less. It's a gain of 3 or 4 seats for the Republicans(depending on the outcome in Florida). King retires in Maine, perhaps there is a good GOP candidate or perhaps Maine has substantially shifted to the right since 2018.

No

Im sure a 95% white state that is 60% rural that has a large conservative base is gonna keep electing democrats.

Vermont Safe R guyz

[lfromnj]

Think it's a reasonably close presidential year, maybe Democrat wins by Obama 2012 like margins or slightly less. It's a gain of 3 or 4 seats for the Republicans(depending on the outcome in Florida). King retires in Maine, perhaps there is a good GOP candidate or perhaps Maine has substantially shifted to the right since 2018.

No

Im sure a 95% white state that is 60% rural that has a large conservative base is gonna keep electing democrats.

Vermont Safe R guyz

Large conservative base is key word
They had a large enough base to elect Lepage.
And Maine is no vermont . It voted for Hillary by 3.

[MAINEiac4434]

Think it's a reasonably close presidential year, maybe Democrat wins by Obama 2012 like margins or slightly less. It's a gain of 3 or 4 seats for the Republicans(depending on the outcome in Florida). King retires in Maine, perhaps there is a good GOP candidate or perhaps Maine has substantially shifted to the right since 2018.

No

Im sure a 95% white state that is 60% rural that has a large conservative base is gonna keep electing democrats.

Vermont Safe R guyz

Large conservative base is key word
They had a large enough base to elect Lepage.
And Maine is no vermont . It voted for Hillary by 3.

No Republican has won a majority of the popular vote for Governor in Maine since 1962.

But I wouldn't expect someone who's never been here to know anything about Maine.

[Bidenworth2020]

Think it's a reasonably close presidential year, maybe Democrat wins by Obama 2012 like margins or slightly less. It's a gain of 3 or 4 seats for the Republicans(depending on the outcome in Florida). King retires in Maine, perhaps there is a good GOP candidate or perhaps Maine has substantially shifted to the right since 2018.

No

Im sure a 95% white state that is 60% rural that has a large conservative base is gonna keep electing democrats.

Vermont Safe R guyz

Large conservative base is key word
They had a large enough base to elect Lepage.
And Maine is no vermont . It voted for Hillary by 3.

No Republican has won a majority of the popular vote for Governor in Maine since 1962.

But I wouldn't expect someone who's never been here to know anything about Maine.

That seems a bit unfair. I wouldn't say the same about someone commenting on Maryland politics. Is Maine just different?

[Orser67]

I'm assuming Angus King retires, but everyone else runs.

I should have specified that "the only electorally important retirement I'm assuming is King." CA is safe D either way, especially in a presidential year. Manchin may very well retire, but he may become a "lifer." Personally, I was pretty surprised he ran this year, so I do wonder if he likes being a senator more than he lets on. I think Cruz is a pretty weak incumbent, so I'm not sure how much his retirement would matter either way.

[MT Treasurer]

I really don’t see Montana being Lean R in 2024. The long-term trends aren’t exactly favorable for the GOP.

[lfromnj]

WV is an insta R pickup. Maybe MT and OH too

yeah ill go with that for WV and OH is tossup and montana is a wtf . The liberal parts of Montana are growing really fast and Tester is a survivor. Plus we all know he will win garfield county in 2024.