Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1
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  Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1
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Author Topic: Election 2018 Open Thread - Part 1  (Read 210023 times)
Baki
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« Reply #3150 on: November 08, 2018, 08:17:33 PM »

Sinema's lead now up to 9600.
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User157088589849
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« Reply #3151 on: November 08, 2018, 08:17:55 PM »

Apache county in pushing lead to 9610

Navajo, Cochise and coconino to come.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #3152 on: November 08, 2018, 08:17:59 PM »

Orange County, CA just updated their numbers.

CA-45:  Walters margin dropped from +3.2 to +2
CA-48:  Rouda's margin increased from +2 to +2.4

Gonna take another sec to crunch the new CA-39 numbers
What about Kim vs. Cisneros?


He just said he's working on it.

Kim netted 3 votes. Which is bad for her, because she got 54% of Tuesday ballots in the OC part of CA39.
Is CA like AZ in which the "late earlies" tend to be left-leaning?


The better comparison is AZ to CA, not CA to AZ. CA late ballots are WAY MORE dem then day of CA ballots and AZ late ballots.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #3153 on: November 08, 2018, 08:19:32 PM »

Sinema lead now at 9,600.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #3154 on: November 08, 2018, 08:19:34 PM »

Huh, it seems that "weak candidate" Cisneros will probably defeat "rising star" Kim.
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henster
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« Reply #3155 on: November 08, 2018, 08:19:53 PM »

I keep hearing the next Maricopa batch should favor McSally is this true? Did Dems do bad there on election day?
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #3156 on: November 08, 2018, 08:19:59 PM »

Comparing numbers to the CA SOS website, here's where CA-39 stands now:

Kim (R):         78,667   50.6%    (+466 from new OC votes)
Cisneros (D):  76,793   49.4%  (+2,463 from new OC votes)

Kim's margin shrinks from +2.6 to +1.2

Think thats more LA dependent not OC, where Cisneros cleaned up on Tuesday. The race was Dem LA vs R OC.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #3157 on: November 08, 2018, 08:22:38 PM »

I keep hearing the next Maricopa batch should favor McSally is this true? Did Dems do bad there on election day?

Favor as in she won't get creamed by 15 points like she did in today's batch.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #3158 on: November 08, 2018, 08:24:09 PM »

I keep hearing the next Maricopa batch should favor McSally is this true? Did Dems do bad there on election day?

Favor as in she won't get creamed by 15 points like she did in today's batch.
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Sestak
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« Reply #3159 on: November 08, 2018, 08:24:19 PM »

wait hang on. Was 39 Kim +3 or Cisneros +1997?
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
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« Reply #3160 on: November 08, 2018, 08:24:51 PM »

It's amazing that Dems have done better in NV/AZ/TX than MO/IN/ND. I'm not surprised, but it's fun to see real demographic destiny come true.
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Jeppe
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« Reply #3161 on: November 08, 2018, 08:28:30 PM »

No idea what the other guy is smoking, but updated CA-39 results

Kim - 78,677 (51.27%) +466
Cisneros - 74,893 (48.74%) +463

Kim increased her lead by 3 votes with tonight’s batch.
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The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow
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« Reply #3162 on: November 08, 2018, 08:29:29 PM »

Scott is currently giving a press conference about voting discrepancies in Palm Beach and Broward... I’ve only seen a couple minutes, but he said that Nelson is trying to “steal the election from the people of Florida” and made sure to mention that he is utilizing “Hillary Clinton’s lawyers.” Despicable!
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Xing
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« Reply #3163 on: November 08, 2018, 08:29:35 PM »

It's amazing that Dems have done better in NV/AZ/TX than MO/IN/ND. I'm not surprised, but it's fun to see real demographic destiny come true.

Yeah, although FL definitely didn't vote to the left of Wisconsin, like everyone was saying it would.
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
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« Reply #3164 on: November 08, 2018, 08:29:44 PM »

No idea what the other guy is smoking, but updated CA-39 results

Kim - 78,677 (51.27%)
Cisneros - 74,893 (48.74%)

Kim increased her lead by 3 votes with tonight’s batch.

Sorry, too many numbers between this tri-county district
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Sestak
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« Reply #3165 on: November 08, 2018, 08:30:07 PM »

No idea what the other guy is smoking, but updated CA-39 results

Kim - 78,677 (51.27%) +466
Cisneros - 74,893 (48.74%) +463

Kim increased her lead by 3 votes with tonight’s batch.

Yeah, uh, I think Interlocutor found an extra 2K for Cisneros somewhere.
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ajc0918
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« Reply #3166 on: November 08, 2018, 08:30:38 PM »

Scott is currently giving a press conference about voting discrepancies in Palm Beach and Broward... I’ve only seen a couple minutes, but he said that Nelson is trying to “steal the election from the people of Florida” and made sure to mention that he is utilizing “Hillary Clinton’s lawyers.” Despicable!

Scott doesn’t sound like a winning candidate right now.
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CellarDoor
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« Reply #3167 on: November 08, 2018, 08:30:45 PM »

If Sinema receives similar margins from the rest of Pima county's uncounted ballots, she would net another ~21,600 votes from that county alone.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #3168 on: November 08, 2018, 08:31:43 PM »

No idea what the other guy is smoking, but updated CA-39 results

Kim - 78,677 (51.27%) +466
Cisneros - 74,893 (48.74%) +463

Kim increased her lead by 3 votes with tonight’s batch.

Yeah, uh, I think Interlocutor found an extra 2K for Cisneros somewhere.

Send him to Florida.
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Baki
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« Reply #3169 on: November 08, 2018, 08:31:48 PM »

Basically everything is down to the rest of Maricopa and what it brings.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #3170 on: November 08, 2018, 08:33:00 PM »

Anita Malik and Hiral Tipernini might get within single digits when all is said and done.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #3171 on: November 08, 2018, 08:34:39 PM »

If Democrats manage to take the Arizona senate seat and all of the outstanding California congressional districts...then I would say they had a very good midterm overall.  It certainly wasn't perfect and I probably wouldn't even call it a wave, but I would still be happy with the results.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #3172 on: November 08, 2018, 08:35:40 PM »

Rick Scott just spoke from the steps of the Governor's mansion, accusing liberal activists and Hillary Clinton's lawyers of trying to steal the election from him. Appeared to be covered in sweat.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #3173 on: November 08, 2018, 08:36:17 PM »

No idea what the other guy is smoking, but updated CA-39 results

Kim - 78,677 (51.27%) +466
Cisneros - 74,893 (48.74%) +463

Kim increased her lead by 3 votes with tonight’s batch.

Yeah, uh, I think Interlocutor found an extra 2K for Cisneros somewhere.

I noted that here:

Orange County, CA just updated their numbers.

CA-45:  Walters margin dropped from +3.2 to +2
CA-48:  Rouda's margin increased from +2 to +2.4

Gonna take another sec to crunch the new CA-39 numbers
What about Kim vs. Cisneros?


He just said he's working on it.

Kim netted 3 votes. Which is bad for her, because she got 54% of Tuesday ballots in the OC part of CA39.

It is possible for those 2K to exist, they  just he to have come from the LA/San Berndardino portion of the seat
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henster
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« Reply #3174 on: November 08, 2018, 08:37:19 PM »

How many votes are there left in Broward?
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